ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

[jaxfladude]

Have to go to Gainesville today(darn heart), just lovely. Hope all goes as well as can be, prayers to all.

I'm here in Gainesville, and right now it's nothing but rain, rain, rain. Be careful on the roads. People in this town tend to underestimate these storms.

I know, here in Jax, we have the same kind of people....will take it easy....stay safe all.

[CrazyC83]

New Tornado Watch - much of Florida

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM EDT THU JUN 6 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA PENINSULA
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1045 AM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA
TO 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 282...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER OF TS ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FL PENINSULA TODAY. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FROM THE
ERN GULF OF MEXICO WEST OF TPA INTO THE NRN PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON. TBW AND MLB VAD WIND PROFILES EXHIBIT VERY STRONG LOW
LEVEL SHEAR/SRH IN THE ERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION...WHICH WILL
PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL SUPERCELLS INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.


...WEISS

[ROCK]

I think the winds will be stronger than 60 mph on the next advisory.

is that an eye? lol had to be said...

at least one met says it is an eye, or a developing eye anyway:

https://twitter.com/JonathanBelles/stat ... 2643427328

IMO, they wont bump up winds without RECON to confirm...that is if they can get into the storm before landfall.

BTW- that is not an eye in the true definition...more like an eye like feature.

[northjaxpro]

Heavy rain continuing here as my gauge is now already at 2 inches for the day and counting.

Next advisory should be out now from NHC.

[floridasun78]

i waking up like 4 time by noaa radio here in miami doing early morning

[psyclone]

Tampa bay down toward Charlotte harbor about to get hammered pretty good.

[GCANE]

Core temp up to 2C

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 6_TANO.GIF

[lester]

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
1100 AM EDT THU JUN 06 2013

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO MOVE ONSHORE THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.2N 84.3W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

[robbielyn]

north of tampa hernando county getting hammered now. blustery heavy rain

[tolakram]

latest saved radar loop shows "eye" wall opening up.

[northjaxpro]

What time is Recon due in this afternoon?

[robbielyn]

on visible shows a tiny hole inside the coc look like pinpoint eye

[tropicwatch]

IMO, they wont bump up winds without RECON to confirm...that is if they can get into the storm before landfall.

BTW- that is not an eye in the true definition...more like an eye like feature.

They should be able to get there before landfall, they are scheduled to take off around 11:45am CDT.

[ROCK]

What time is Recon due in this afternoon?

12:45 but if they dont leave sooner this will be on land soon....they need to hurry if they are going to make another pass....

[lester]

What time is Recon due in this afternoon?

They'll take off at 12:45pm, should be in the storm by 2pm

[tolakram]

on visible shows a tiny hole inside the coc look like pinpoint eye

That's a break in the convection. The CoC is NE of that area IMO.

[TheStormExpert]

Not thrilled about the tail band forming in the FL straits though. That's going to smack into SFL this afternoon.

Knowing that it could effect S. FL in the afternoon hours could lead to an bumpy afternoon here in S. FL.

[northjaxpro]

What time is Recon due in this afternoon?

12:45 but if they dont leave sooner this will be on land soon....they need to hurry if they are going to make another pass....

Exactly. I wish they would have left earlier this morning.

[Evil Jeremy]

Going by motion on radar, I can't see Andrea making landfall within the cone. Should landfall a little bit south of the cone if it keeps moving ENE.

[Frank2]

It certainly feels tropical here in Fort Lauderdale - the current DP at FXE is 78 (about how the bathroom feels after you take a hot shower), but that's what happens when a tropical system is nearby...

Ugh - I'm moving to Montana (lol)...

Frank