Btw is Dotstar still doing dropwindsonde observations out of taiwan.
Yes i believe so...Haiyan is too far south of taiwan's AOR to send one though.
WPAC: HAIYAN - Post-Tropical
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: Re:
Yes i believe so...Haiyan is too far south of taiwan's AOR to send one though.
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm / JTWC=Typhoon
Various agencies and their warnings on this storm. (Note PAGASA the Philippine Agency where the storm is headed will not post a track until Thursday morning)
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Satellites, Charts and Forecasting tools for East Asia at WESTERNPACIFICWEATHER.COM
: HAIYAN
To put haiyan into perspective atm in relation size it looks to be large enough to cover atleast half of the Philippines and its still growing in size. looks to be drawing from a strong kelvin wave.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm / JTWC=Typhoon
Very scared of this, thus many people here in Cebu are buying items for the storm. These are flashlights, canned goods, etc. My hands are shaking... 
Although, its unusually hot over here! We had this before Son-Tinh and Bopha hit us, but not with Wukong - it was sort of soggy.
Scenario with Bopha: Bopha was supposed to hit Cebu City directly. Because of retaining its westerly, slightly west-northwest movement, it clashed through North Central Mindanao instead.
Several agencies [at first] predicted that this will turn WNW on Nov 3, but is resuming its westerly direction UNTIL NOW because of the steering flow, pushing it towards Southern Leyte or Surigao City.
I find Haiyan's track - weird! Previously moving WNW, now moving south of west. Then headed west again. Also, for its low latitude (not as low as 26W/Bopha last year) and its rapid intensification.
Another storm I can recall hitting Visayas and N. Mindanao on November was a storm called 'Mike' or locally 'Ruping'. People said that this was the worst storm that ever occurred in Cebu province, as a Category 4. Because of this, over 700 people's lives perished and caused over $200 million in damages - CEBU ALONE!
GOD BLESS US!
Although, its unusually hot over here! We had this before Son-Tinh and Bopha hit us, but not with Wukong - it was sort of soggy.
Scenario with Bopha: Bopha was supposed to hit Cebu City directly. Because of retaining its westerly, slightly west-northwest movement, it clashed through North Central Mindanao instead.
Several agencies [at first] predicted that this will turn WNW on Nov 3, but is resuming its westerly direction UNTIL NOW because of the steering flow, pushing it towards Southern Leyte or Surigao City.
I find Haiyan's track - weird! Previously moving WNW, now moving south of west. Then headed west again. Also, for its low latitude (not as low as 26W/Bopha last year) and its rapid intensification.
Another storm I can recall hitting Visayas and N. Mindanao on November was a storm called 'Mike' or locally 'Ruping'. People said that this was the worst storm that ever occurred in Cebu province, as a Category 4. Because of this, over 700 people's lives perished and caused over $200 million in damages - CEBU ALONE!
GOD BLESS US!
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xtyphooncyclonex
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If Haiyan will retain its speed, it will make landfall later than expected.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: : HAIYAN
stormkite wrote:To put haiyan into perspective atm in relation size it looks to be large enough to cover atleast half of the Philippines and its still growing in size. looks to be drawing from a strong kelvin wave.
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I guess winds over 35 kph will be felt in 3/4 of the country as it will be close to cat 5 strength..
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hurricanes1234
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It's stopped intensifying for the moment.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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From PAGASA
WEATHER ADVISORY
Weather Advisory No. 1
For: Tropical Storm ("HAIYAN") and the Low Pressure Area (LPA)
Issued at: 11:00 AM, 05 November 2013
The Tropical Storm over the Caroline Islands with International Name ("HAIYAN") was estimated at 2,170 km East of Mindanao (6.5°N 145.9°E) with maximum sustained winds of 95 kph and gustiness of up to 120 kph. It is forecast to move West at 25 kph. This weather disturbance is expected to enter the Philippine Area Of Responsibility (PAR) on thursday morning. It will not affect any part of the country within the next 36 hours.
Meanwhile, the Low Pressure Area was estimated at 160 km Northeast of Puerto Princesa City (11.0°N 119.5°E) and will continue to affect Palawan area bringing moderate to occasionally heavy rainshowers and thunderstorms. Small seacrafts and fishing vessels are advised not to venture out over the seaboard of Palawan due to the expected big waves generated by this weather system.
The next update on this weather disturbance will be incorporated on the regular issuance of public weather forecast at 5:00 pm today.
WEATHER ADVISORY
Weather Advisory No. 1
For: Tropical Storm ("HAIYAN") and the Low Pressure Area (LPA)
Issued at: 11:00 AM, 05 November 2013
The Tropical Storm over the Caroline Islands with International Name ("HAIYAN") was estimated at 2,170 km East of Mindanao (6.5°N 145.9°E) with maximum sustained winds of 95 kph and gustiness of up to 120 kph. It is forecast to move West at 25 kph. This weather disturbance is expected to enter the Philippine Area Of Responsibility (PAR) on thursday morning. It will not affect any part of the country within the next 36 hours.
Meanwhile, the Low Pressure Area was estimated at 160 km Northeast of Puerto Princesa City (11.0°N 119.5°E) and will continue to affect Palawan area bringing moderate to occasionally heavy rainshowers and thunderstorms. Small seacrafts and fishing vessels are advised not to venture out over the seaboard of Palawan due to the expected big waves generated by this weather system.
The next update on this weather disturbance will be incorporated on the regular issuance of public weather forecast at 5:00 pm today.
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
31W HAIYAN 131105 0600 6.4N 144.5E WPAC 70 970
Updated best track has winds up and pressure down...
Updated best track has winds up and pressure down...
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
199
WTPQ83 PGUM 051123
HLSPQ3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON HAIYAN (31W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST TUE NOV 5 2013
...TYPHOON HAIYAN MOVING WEST AWAY FROM WOLEAI...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON WOLEAI...FAIS...ULITHI...YAP...AND NGULU IN YAP
STATE...AND FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF
PALAU. TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR
MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KOROR IN THE REPUBLIC
OF PALAU...AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FARAULEP IS CANCELLED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP
ISLAND IN YAP STATE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS INCLUDING DAMAGING
WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI AND NGULU IN YAP
STATE. TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR
MORE ARE STILL EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS FOR WOLEAI AND
IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOR NGULU.
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON HAIYAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 6.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.8 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS
ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FARAULEP
ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH OF WOLEAI
ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FAIS
ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
ABOUT 440 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP
ABOUT 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
ABOUT 635 MILES EAST OF KAYANGEL
ABOUT 645 MILES EAST OF KOROR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 16 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TYPHOON HAIYAN CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WEST AT 16 MPH.
HAIYAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT CURVES SLOWLY TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
...WOLEAI ATOLL...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY IN A SHELTER UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
.WIND INFORMATION...
EAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT AND
DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS OF 11 TO 14 FEET TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AS HIGH AS
16 FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORES THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH COASTAL
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE
THREATENING. SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO 8 TO 11 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
...YAP...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
MORE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STAY IN A STURDY
SHELTER AWAY FROM SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. LISTEN FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. A NORTHWARD CHANGE IN THE
TRACK COULD RESULT IN UPGRADING TO A TYPHOON WARNING. DO NOT ATTEMPT
INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45
MPH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST
AND DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS NORTHWARD.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
OFFSHORE SEAS WILL BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS SURF OF 13 TO 16 FEET ON EXPOSED
SHORES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE IS
EXPECTED ALONG WINDWARD EXPOSURES AND IN COLONIA LAGOON...WHERE
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE. RIP CURRENTS WILL
BE LIFE THREATENING ALONG REEFS AND COASTLINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.
...NGULU...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
STAY IN A SHELTER WHICH WILL BE ABLE TO WITHSTAND STRONG WINDS. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER TO LAST SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE
STORM. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
.WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PEAK AT 75 TO 85 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
WINDS COULD EXCEED 100 MPH IF HAIYAN MAKES A DIRECT HIT. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 13 TO 16 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND TO 16 TO
20 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING...PRODUCING DANGEROUS SURF AS HIGH AS 20
FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
HIGH TIDE IS LIKELY ALONG WINDWARD EXPOSURES WEDNESDAY EVENING. SEAS
SHOULD SUBSIDE TO 9 TO 12 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.
...FAIS AND ULITHI...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT IF
TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS NORTHWARD. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
A WARNING IS ISSUED. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE FOOD AND WATER IN
CASE OF TYPHOON CONDITIONS. IF NECESSARY...BE PREPARED TO GO TO A
SHELTER.
...WIND INFORMATION...
IF HAIYAN TAKES A MORE NORTHWEST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND TYPHOON CONDITIONS WITH
WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE COULD OCCUR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LISTEN FOR
UPDATED FORECASTS ON TYPHOON HAIYAN.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IF TYPHOON CONDITIONS DEVELOP. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY
REACH 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
...KAYANGEL...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING. COMPLETE YOUR
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
STAY IN A SHELTER WHICH WILL BE ABLE TO WITHSTAND STRONG WINDS. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER TO LAST SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE
STORM. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY BY LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 70 TO 80 MPH
AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH AND
DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
MORNING. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY REACH 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG WINDWARD
SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
...KOROR...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
MORE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STAY IN A
STURDY SHELTER AWAY FROM SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE AROUND NOON
ON THURSDAY. LISTEN FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. A SOUTHWARD CHANGE IN
THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN UPGRADING TO A TYPHOON WARNING. DO NOT
ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS
SOUTHWARD.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 16 FEET ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
MORNING. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY REACH 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG WINDWARD
SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 300 AM...OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
WTPQ83 PGUM 051123
HLSPQ3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON HAIYAN (31W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST TUE NOV 5 2013
...TYPHOON HAIYAN MOVING WEST AWAY FROM WOLEAI...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON WOLEAI...FAIS...ULITHI...YAP...AND NGULU IN YAP
STATE...AND FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF
PALAU. TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR
MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KOROR IN THE REPUBLIC
OF PALAU...AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FARAULEP IS CANCELLED. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP
ISLAND IN YAP STATE. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS INCLUDING DAMAGING
WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI AND NGULU IN YAP
STATE. TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR
MORE ARE STILL EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS FOR WOLEAI AND
IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOR NGULU.
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON HAIYAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 6.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.8 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS
ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FARAULEP
ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH OF WOLEAI
ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FAIS
ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
ABOUT 440 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP
ABOUT 450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
ABOUT 635 MILES EAST OF KAYANGEL
ABOUT 645 MILES EAST OF KOROR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 16 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TYPHOON HAIYAN CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WEST AT 16 MPH.
HAIYAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT CURVES SLOWLY TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
...WOLEAI ATOLL...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY IN A SHELTER UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
.WIND INFORMATION...
EAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT AND
DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS OF 11 TO 14 FEET TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AS HIGH AS
16 FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORES THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH COASTAL
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIFE
THREATENING. SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO 8 TO 11 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
...YAP...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
MORE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. STAY IN A STURDY
SHELTER AWAY FROM SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. LISTEN FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. A NORTHWARD CHANGE IN THE
TRACK COULD RESULT IN UPGRADING TO A TYPHOON WARNING. DO NOT ATTEMPT
INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45
MPH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST
AND DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS NORTHWARD.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
OFFSHORE SEAS WILL BUILD TO 11 TO 14 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS SURF OF 13 TO 16 FEET ON EXPOSED
SHORES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE IS
EXPECTED ALONG WINDWARD EXPOSURES AND IN COLONIA LAGOON...WHERE
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE. RIP CURRENTS WILL
BE LIFE THREATENING ALONG REEFS AND COASTLINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.
...NGULU...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
STAY IN A SHELTER WHICH WILL BE ABLE TO WITHSTAND STRONG WINDS. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER TO LAST SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE
STORM. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
.WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY PEAK AT 75 TO 85 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
WINDS COULD EXCEED 100 MPH IF HAIYAN MAKES A DIRECT HIT. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 13 TO 16 FEET WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND TO 16 TO
20 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING...PRODUCING DANGEROUS SURF AS HIGH AS 20
FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORES. COASTAL INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
HIGH TIDE IS LIKELY ALONG WINDWARD EXPOSURES WEDNESDAY EVENING. SEAS
SHOULD SUBSIDE TO 9 TO 12 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 8 INCHES IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.
...FAIS AND ULITHI...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT IF
TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS NORTHWARD. REVIEW YOUR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF
A WARNING IS ISSUED. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ADEQUATE FOOD AND WATER IN
CASE OF TYPHOON CONDITIONS. IF NECESSARY...BE PREPARED TO GO TO A
SHELTER.
...WIND INFORMATION...
IF HAIYAN TAKES A MORE NORTHWEST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND TYPHOON CONDITIONS WITH
WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE COULD OCCUR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LISTEN FOR
UPDATED FORECASTS ON TYPHOON HAIYAN.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON IF TYPHOON CONDITIONS DEVELOP. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY
REACH 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG WINDWARD SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
...KAYANGEL...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING. COMPLETE YOUR
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
STAY IN A SHELTER WHICH WILL BE ABLE TO WITHSTAND STRONG WINDS. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER TO LAST SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE
STORM. DO NOT ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY BY LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 70 TO 80 MPH
AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH AND
DECREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 20 FEET ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
MORNING. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY REACH 2 TO 4 FEET ALONG WINDWARD
SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
...KOROR...
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
MORE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STAY IN A
STURDY SHELTER AWAY FROM SHORELINES UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE AROUND NOON
ON THURSDAY. LISTEN FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. A SOUTHWARD CHANGE IN
THE TRACK COULD RESULT IN UPGRADING TO A TYPHOON WARNING. DO NOT
ATTEMPT INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 40 TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF TYPHOON HAIYAN SHIFTS
SOUTHWARD.
...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
DANGEROUS SEAS AND SURF OF UP TO 16 FEET ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
MORNING. COASTAL INUNDATION MAY REACH 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG WINDWARD
SHORELINES.
...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...RESULTING IN LOCAL FLOODING IN POOR-DRAINAGE AND
LOW-LYING AREAS.
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 300 AM...OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
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NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
euro6208 wrote:31W HAIYAN 131105 0600 6.4N 144.5E WPAC 70 970
Updated best track has winds up and pressure down...
heart beating fast..... hope that we will be all safe and this once in a lifetime super typhoon!
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139758
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
JMA remains as Severe Tropical Storm.
STS 1330 (HAIYAN)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 5 November 2013
<Analyses at 05/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N6°55'(6.9°)
E143°05'(143.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL70km(40NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 06/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N7°25'(7.4°)
E140°25'(140.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 06/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N8°25'(8.4°)
E137°30'(137.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 07/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N10°35'(10.6°)
E130°20'(130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)
<Forecast for 08/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N11°55'(11.9°)
E122°40'(122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL540km(290NM
STS 1330 (HAIYAN)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 5 November 2013
<Analyses at 05/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N6°55'(6.9°)
E143°05'(143.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL70km(40NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 06/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N7°25'(7.4°)
E140°25'(140.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 06/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N8°25'(8.4°)
E137°30'(137.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 07/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N10°35'(10.6°)
E130°20'(130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)
<Forecast for 08/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N11°55'(11.9°)
E122°40'(122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL540km(290NM
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm / JTWC=Typhoon
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Very scared of this, thus many people here in Cebu are buying items for the storm. These are flashlights, canned goods, etc. My hands are shaking...
GOD BLESS US!
Be strong and pray to god for comfort and guidance and remember that we are always thinking about you people...
Be safe...
The world is watching...
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NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
Latest:
20131105 0830 6.6 -143.9 T4.5/4.5 31W HAIYAN
20131105 0230 6.4 -145.0 T4.0/4.0 31W HAIYAN
eye see you !
20131105 0830 6.6 -143.9 T4.5/4.5 31W HAIYAN
20131105 0230 6.4 -145.0 T4.0/4.0 31W HAIYAN
eye see you !
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm / JTWC=Typhoon
euro6208 wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Very scared of this, thus many people here in Cebu are buying items for the storm. These are flashlights, canned goods, etc. My hands are shaking...
GOD BLESS US!
Be strong and pray to god for comfort and guidance and remember that we are always thinking about you people...
Be safe...
The world is watching...
OFF TOPIC---
5AM, we had a 3.7 aftershock this morning! Yes. We pray everyday, a Cebuano tradition [a Catholic/Christian area]...
BACK TO THE TOPIC---
Haiyan is a large storm, so it might cause typhoon conditions as far as Cebu City and Mayon [Albay].
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3CRDQtQjdw
I guess the effects will be worse than that in this video! Will hear a whistling giant...
I guess the effects will be worse than that in this video! Will hear a whistling giant...
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
i think the storm will turn to a WNW track in the next 24/hours. Haiyan is now getting the attention it deserves and it's only about 1 day and 9 hours since it's birth.
Stay safe xtyphooncyclonex.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Stay safe xtyphooncyclonex.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Severe Tropical Storm
Eye can't be seen in RGB and Visible, but looks very organized.
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