ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane Alexis]

Nice lightning show at the beach tonight. They were distant, but at night it's a beauty to watch.

[NDG]

I agree with the plotted coordinates of TD 1, clearly seen on radar and surface observations.

000
WTNT31 KNHC 010840
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
500 AM EDT TUE JUL 01 2014

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 79.3W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NNW OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[Aric Dunn]

very elongated.. still too much mid shear and dry air.. .. later on after the flow changes dry air wont be a problem..

[TJRE]

LSU -ESL

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/imagery/atmosphere/



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Dry Pockets around the system appear to be fading out ---ATM

[Nimbus]

Still not centered under the convection but mixing the dry air out and getting there. Wonder what recon will find for pressures?

[robbielyn]

She is now looking like a TS baby in the making(baby growing in the womb),taking that shape she should be looking real good in a few hours

[tropicwatch]

Still not centered under the convection but mixing the dry air out and getting there. Wonder what recon will find for pressures?

Unfortunately the aren't taking off until around 11am central time so it will be awhile before we find out.

[NDG]

This morning on IR satellite TD 1 actually looks better than TS Elida in the EPac.

[Dean4Storms]

If the Convection and Consolidation continues to get better this morning Recon might find a 40-50mph TS by the time they get out there later.

[NDG]

Vis satellite this morning and where I see the elongated N-S LLC to be, east of Ft Pierce/Port St Lucie area, not moving much at all this morning.

[NDG]

TD force winds have been affecting Grand Bahama Island all morning long.

[wxman57]

The center looks north of NHC's position on my short visible loop. Also, there's a 35kt WNW wind at one of the coastal stations.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 79.2W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NNW OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

[seahawkjd]

Wxman, what do you think we'll see today? I've moved to coastal NC so closely watching this one.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Looks to me like it moving sw again at a crawl

[NDG]

That's a tall tower SSE of the COC.

[northjaxpro]

As some as already pointed out, TD 1 is slowly mixing out the mid level dry air and is slowly looking more healthier. I think TD 1 has gotten about as close to the FL East Coast as it will get.

For our fellow Storm2K neighbors up in NC, hope TD 1 will only give you a glancing blow and goes by off to sea later this week as it approaches hurricane status by the time it reaches that latitude.

[NDG]

Tropical Storm force wind gusts now in the western tip of Grand Bahama Island.

Conditions at SPGF1 as of
(8:00 am EDT)
1200 GMT on 07/01/2014:




- Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): SW ( 230 deg true )
- Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 31 kts
- Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 36 kts
- Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.85 in
- Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.00 in ( Steady )
- Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 79.9 °F


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spgf1

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track.

AL, 01, 2014070112, , BEST, 0, 275N, 792W, 30, 1007, TD

[tropicwatch]

Possible COC: