EPAC: CRISTINA - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

#201 Postby hurricanes1234 » Wed Jun 11, 2014 9:49 pm

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.

I got this from the advisory itself. Cristina is surely a small and cute hurricane! :)
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

Re: EPAC: CRISTINA - Hurricane

#202 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jun 11, 2014 9:52 pm

Impressive. It is organizing fast and gaining symmetry.

Image
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

#203 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 11, 2014 9:55 pm

Raw numbers continue to go up. Really looks a major hurricane.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

Re:

#204 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:03 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Raw numbers continue to go up. Really looks a major hurricane.

What are the latest raw numbers?
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#205 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:04 pm

Looking at it now, I'd give it 90-95 knots.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: Re:

#206 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:08 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Raw numbers continue to go up. Really looks a major hurricane.

What are the latest raw numbers?



6.0.

It'll probably level off at 5.5 after they adjust for error.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

#207 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:12 pm

Cristina currently looks like 95-105 knots, as a rapid rate of organization has just occurred, and is still expected to continue. Eye and eyewall are completely surrounded by cold (red) cloud tops. The core of the system is also very impressive. Albeit the hurricane is in an area of dry air, its small and compact size helped the hurricane to intensify and win against dry air.
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3861
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:
Contact xtyphooncyclonex

Re: Re:

#208 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:15 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Raw numbers continue to go up. Really looks a major hurricane.

What are the latest raw numbers?



6.0.

It'll probably level off at 5.5 after they adjust for error.

Wow. :eek: :eek: :eek: But yeah, Cristina looks really impressive and organized now. I wonder if this becomes another category 4, or if not, it may have a small chance if it would go close, reach or surpass the intensity of Amanda.
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re:

#209 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:20 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Cristina currently looks like 95-105 knots, as a rapid rate of organization has just occurred, and is still expected to continue. Eye and eyewall are completely surrounded by cold (red) cloud tops. The core of the system is also very impressive. Albeit the hurricane is in an area of dry air, its small and compact size helped the hurricane to intensify and win against dry air.

No wind shear generally means dry air won't be a problem.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: Re:

#210 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Jun 11, 2014 10:29 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:What are the latest raw numbers?



6.0.

It'll probably level off at 5.5 after they adjust for error.

Wow. :eek: :eek: :eek: But yeah, Cristina looks really impressive and organized now. I wonder if this becomes another category 4, or if not, it may have a small chance if it would go close, reach or surpass the intensity of Amanda.


I doubt it'll reach 135 knts. Amanda was in much better conditions.
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: EPAC: CRISTINA - Hurricane

#211 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:31 pm

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.4 / 962.0mb/ 99.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.4 5.6 5.8

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: EPAC: CRISTINA - Hurricane

#212 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:32 pm

supercane4867 wrote:CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.4 / 962.0mb/ 99.6kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.4 5.6 5.8

http://i59.tinypic.com/acybsl.jpg


Spot on.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#213 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:36 pm

I'd almost go with 100 knts personally.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: EPAC: CRISTINA - Hurricane

#214 Postby MGC » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:48 pm

Cristina sure has gotten better organized this evening. The hurricane's satellite presentation is quite impressive with deep convection surrounding a small clear eye. I would be surprised if Cristina does not make Cat-3 in the next few hours......MGC
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TropicalAnalystwx13
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2109
Age: 27
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 8:20 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:
Contact TropicalAnalystwx13

#215 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:50 pm

Eye is still having the slightest of trouble remaining warm/circular. I'd go with 95kt for now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re:

#216 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 11, 2014 11:51 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:I'd almost go with 100 knts personally.

Solid estimate.

Beautiful:

Image
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: EPAC: CRISTINA - Hurricane

#217 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 12, 2014 12:09 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

#218 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Jun 12, 2014 12:17 am

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 960.1mb/102.0kt
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#219 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 12, 2014 12:41 am

Looks a little more symmetrical now. Maybe nearing its peak.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22783
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re:

#220 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jun 12, 2014 12:43 am

Yellow Evan wrote:Looks a little more symmetrical now. Maybe nearing its peak.


Sure does.

Image
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Jun 12, 2014 12:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
 Help Support Storm2K
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest