ATL: CRISTOBAL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hammy]

A tad west of where I thought it was so there's still a small amount of shear affecting it.

[chaser1]

Oh... the "Nasa site". Thanks. Won't load on my smart phone for some reason (strange, I thought it used too...?)

[tolakram]

The html5 loop should load. Try a small window ...

Phone shaped.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-73&info=ir&zoom=2&width=300&height=400&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=15

[HurriGuy]

Well I guess this going to be a recurve. Not seeing a lot of ridging in all the 00z models.

[chaser1]

The html5 loop should load. Try a small window ...

Phone shaped.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-73&info=ir&zoom=2&width=300&height=400&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=15

Thanks Mark, but "no-go". The frames appeared to be in play mode, but no picture. Tried as you suggested. It's odd; my phone is an Android (Samsung Note II) & should play that loop. Oh well, am all stormed- out LOL. Tomorrow's another day - G'night all!

[Hammy]

Both recon passes through the storm seem to have missed the center by a bit.

[SouthFLTropics]

Well it appears for right now that once again we have dodged another one here in FL. I don't want anyone to think that I'm disappointed because our time will come once again. With that said this has turned out to be one of the most anti-climatic storms I can ever recall. All hype and no substance.

For the record...if something changes and that turns out being wrong I like my crow served medium rare with a cold brew to wash it down.

SFT

[bahamaswx]

Center seems to be displaced a bit to the NW edge of the main convection, which sure doesn't seem to be moving much.

[somethingfunny]

04L is actually looking like a storm now! It also looks like it's stalled.

[Airboy]

Pressure down from 1004 to 1001 between the two latest center fixes, maybe convection starting to have some effect.

Edit: Looks like it's up to 1003, not moving much right now.

[JtSmarts]

We have Cristobal.

NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE
THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED TO TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL.
THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 MPH...75 KM/H WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

[GCANE]

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
620 AM AST SUN AUG 24 2014


...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE
THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED TO TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL.
THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 MPH...75 KM/H WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.


SUMMARY OF 620 AM AST...1020 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 73.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NNW OF MAYAGUANA ISLAND
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[bahamaswx]

LLC is in danger of being naked once the first visible shots come in.

[abajan]

Mods, please change the thread title

[cycloneye]

Mods, please change the thread title

Apparently there were no fellow staff at the time of upgrade and I was taking a shower but title is edited.

[Equilibrium]

Its questionable wether this was all ready TS on the 23rd at the time of this pass was a one 50 knt flag.


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[GCANE]

Looks like there was an overshooting top just east of the LLC at sunrise

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 0_SWHR.GIF

[GCANE]

Outflow looks good on the east side due to ventilation from the ULL at about 15N 60W.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... zoom=&time


However, it is bad on the west side due to the ULL at about 24N 83W.

This one is moving west into the GOM and could improve Cristobal's outflow during the day today.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

[HurriGuy]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes


check out the small swirl you can see in the first set of frames on nasa's satellite.

looks to be dropping SW

[GCANE]

Warm core at 200 to 300 mb.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... _xsect.gif

However, there is a rather high inversion up to about 500 mb.

This is inhibiting convection at the LLC which could likely be an effect of the ULL to the west.