WPAC: INVEST 94W

[dexterlabio]

And another one on the western pacific...

94W INVEST 15kts-1010mb

7.7N 157.3E

[euro6208]

LOW chance

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.7N 157.3E,
APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AND POORLY DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. A 132326 ASCAT
PASS SHOWS BROAD TROUGHING WITH RELATIVELY WEAK (10 TO 15 KNOTS)
WINDS AND NO LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH LIMITED OUTFLOW AND LOW (05 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO
15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

[euro6208]

94W INVEST 140714 1200 7.9N 155.3E WPAC 15 1010

Northwest of Pohnpei...

[euro6208]

Poof

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7N
157.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 155.5E, APPROXIMATELY 331 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. A 150247Z AMSU-B AND 150208Z GCOM
MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AND POORLY DEVELOPED LLCC WITH
SOME FLARING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH LIMITED OUTFLOW AND VERY HIGH (20 TO 30 KNOTS)
VWS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.