meriland23 wrote:what in the world is goin on man! this would be worst case scenarion, barely any land interaction, and incredibly warm waters of the gulf, yikes
What's going on is potentially the sequel to Ivan.
SFT
ATL: ISAAC - Models
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SouthFLTropics
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Re:
What's going on is potentially the sequel to Ivan.
SFT
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meriland23
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Re:
Jevo wrote:12z ECMWF (Euro)
+192
216hrs is going to be a scary one to see I think.. that was a pretty significant MB drop..
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Aric Dunn
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192 hours the slow north motion has starting should start to accelerate to the n then nne unless the trough misses it.
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InstantWeatherMaps
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:JPmia wrote:Eek:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP192.gif
That appears to be yesterday's run...
Hit refresh on your browser.
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Aric Dunn
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at 216 hours north motion and its deepening large weakness in ridge... which way will it go next. given the break I would say ne
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12z ECMWF (Euro)
+216
+216
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:
Trouble...
oh dear, I will be honest, was hoping for 'something' this year, but if this happens like this..this bad.. I feel nothing but sorrow for whoever gets hit by this.. seriously
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
18z Models - Bend back to west once above the islands.
12z Models
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Kingarabian
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961 MB
Last edited by Kingarabian on Tue Aug 21, 2012 1:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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meriland23
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question is, how reliable is euro this far out based on past hurricanes.. vs the GFS.. this is the first time I have seen a route like this for td 9, and the emmense strength
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
frederic79 wrote:Just wanted to quickly point out that in 2004, Hurricane or TS Ivan was predicted 5 days out by the NHC to go right up the spine of FL. We all know what eventually happened. Go back and look at the graphic archive for Ivan... it looks a lot like what we are seeing with the future Isaac. I am not saying things will work out the same, but it shows how much things can change this far out. If TD9 continue rolling west, as the Euro shows, we could likely be looking at a central to western GOM storm, IMO.
But Ivan was much farther south while entering the Caribbean than TD 9.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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+240
+240
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Stormlover2012
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Like ive been saying for 2 days now the models will keep changing u are looking at 7 days out a lot will be changing
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Kingarabian
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Re:
meriland23 wrote:question is, how reliable is euro this far out based on past hurricanes.. vs the GFS.. this is the first time I have seen a route like this for td 9, and the emmense strength
Take it with a grain of salt as usual. Right now anywhere from NOLA to the East coast is in play.
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