ATL: ISAAC - Models
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Anyone paying attention to 96L on the EURO...The plot thickens!!!
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:Weatherboy1 wrote:Is it just me or does this seem like a fairly tight clustering of models for so far out? Seems like a fairly narrow "cone" diameter overall, generally pointed at the FL peninsula or slightly E or W. Not many outliers save the CMC or NOGAPS...
https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_09.gif
yes it is, for the first 72 hours after that there is quite a spread. that map does not include the euro.
I do not were they got there info but did you notice the XTRP? S of W almost WSW maybe?
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InstantWeatherMaps
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Re:
Javlin wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Weatherboy1 wrote:Is it just me or does this seem like a fairly tight clustering of models for so far out? Seems like a fairly narrow "cone" diameter overall, generally pointed at the FL peninsula or slightly E or W. Not many outliers save the CMC or NOGAPS...
https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_09.gif
yes it is, for the first 72 hours after that there is quite a spread. that map does not include the euro.
I do not were they got there info but did you notice the XTRP? S of W almost WSW maybe?
xtrap is not a model its just the extrapolation of the present motion if it were to continue through the forecast period.
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Aric Dunn
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euro now father west than the 00z run but starting to turn now. trough swinging through the southern gulf states. Its different this run becasue its faster and thus the trof could not make the weakness across florida as did the 00z or the gfs.
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
well EURO says it's a Gulf storm.. where is the weakness in there? looks like FL Panhandle area to me
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Last edited by JPmia on Tue Aug 21, 2012 1:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
And so the GFS and EURO battle begins. The EURO seems to be placing his bet on a stronger ridge and further west movement. Can the EURO regain the crown or will GFS remain king???
SFT
SFT
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Re: Re:
xtrap is not a model its just the extrapolation of the present motion if it were to continue through the forecast period
Sorry I know that.Point was direction implied something we have been eluding to all morning and if so further W it goes.
Sorry I know that.Point was direction implied something we have been eluding to all morning and if so further W it goes.
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wxwatcher1999
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Now starts the west shift..Lol!!!!
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:And so the GFS and EURO battle begins. The EURO seems to be placing his bet on a stronger ridge and further west movement. Can the EURO regain the crown or will GFS remain king???
SFT
its not necessarily a stronger ridge its just has a system moving faster and the weakness does not develop in time to turn it over the eastern gulf.
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deltadog03
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wxwatcher1999
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I bet if this would get in the gom it will become major status
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Weatherboy1
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Well SO FAR it looks like we have the EURO as the far southern/western outlier and the CMC as the far eastern/northern outlier. Everybody else kind of clustered in the middle. What will be interesting to see is if we get a significant consensus shift one way or the other overnight. And that is what makes watching these things so darn interesting! LOL
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Jevo
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meriland23
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what in the world is goin on man! this would be worst case scenarion, barely any land interaction, and incredibly warm waters of the gulf, yikes
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
JPmia wrote:Eek:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP192.gif
That appears to be yesterday's run...
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frederic79
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Just wanted to quickly point out that in 2004, Hurricane or TS Ivan was predicted 5 days out by the NHC to go right up the spine of FL. We all know what eventually happened. Go back and look at the graphic archive for Ivan... it looks a lot like what we are seeing with the future Isaac. I am not saying things will work out the same, but it shows how much things can change this far out. If TD9 continue rolling west, as the Euro shows, we could likely be looking at a central to western GOM storm, IMO.
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