ATL: ISAAC - Models

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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#481 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:08 am

boca wrote:the recurve is in the Bahamas


Basically Irene 2.0 in that scenario?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#482 Postby sandyb » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:13 am

CrazyC83 wrote:
boca wrote:the recurve is in the Bahamas


Basically Irene 2.0 in that scenario?


whats that mean for the east coast
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#483 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:15 am

CrazyC83 wrote:
boca wrote:the recurve is in the Bahamas


Basically Irene 2.0 in that scenario?


The only models I see that recurve this in the Bahamas is the BAMD, AEMN and the clipper model.. the TVCN is still south of Cuba
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#484 Postby boca » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:16 am

CrazyC83 wrote:
boca wrote:the recurve is in the Bahamas


Basically Irene 2.0 in that scenario?


I noticed thaty Florisa was in the middle of the Spagehetti models now its all in the Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#485 Postby Stormlover2012 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:22 am

This has to develop first,it will be a slow slow process
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#486 Postby shredderola » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:28 am

can somebody please post a link to the pasta site being discussed. Thanks in advance.
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#487 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:30 am

shredderola wrote:can somebody please post a link to the pasta site being discussed. Thanks in advance.


If you go to the home page you will see a models tab. Its the site called SWFMD. Just be sure to click storm 94
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#488 Postby otowntiger » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:54 am

Stormlover2012 wrote:This has to develop first,it will be a slow slow process
and according to wxman57 it aint very likely to do much in the way of developing before the islands. If it doesn't develop, which is obviously very much in question now, then all the concern of where its going should be great dimenished.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#489 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:59 am

otowntiger wrote:
Stormlover2012 wrote:This has to develop first,it will be a slow slow process
and according to wxman57 it aint very likely to do much in the way of developing before the islands. If it doesn't develop, which is obviously very much in question now, then all the concern of where its going should be great dimenished.

Not true. While in the short term it is weaker, that could lead it to stay further south and move into much more favorable areas such as the WCarib and GOM, not only allowing it to strengthen more then, but also threaten more people.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#490 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 20, 2012 10:40 am

12z GFS coming up now:

It is out to 30hrs so far:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLoop.html
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#491 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 10:51 am

12Z GFS @ 66 hrs SE of P.R.maybe trying to strengthen a little
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP066.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#492 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 20, 2012 10:57 am

Hispainola is going to get this one.. let's see what happens on the other side of the island.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLoop.html
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#493 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 10:59 am

Looks like its gonna be shredded by Hispaniola at 84 HRS
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP084.gif
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#494 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:02 am

Still hanging on @ 96 Hrs http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#495 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:05 am

This run is further north than the 00z and the 06z.. the trend is north and over the islands, which makes this forecast by the GFS very tricky.
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#496 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:07 am

@ 108 N.E. of Jamaica, trending even more north
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP108.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#497 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:09 am

considering what's happening with the LLC at the moment i guess we should take these runs with a grain of salt
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#498 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:10 am

@ 120 Hr into S.E. Cuba could be the end of it after that,,,,,,Maybe

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif
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#499 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:15 am

Strange @ 132 it looks like it is traversing the spine of Cuba but yet maintaining
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP132.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#500 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:17 am

North coast of Cuba ... heading for Keys ... little stronger
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal150.gif
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