ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4421 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 25, 2012 8:59 pm

500mb ... if this deepens it will turn a little more..

Image
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HurricaneAndrew92

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4422 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:00 pm

Storm looks really good! Nhc and storm2k doing a fabulous job! Thank you all for Fl and gulf coast residents, god bless you all.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4423 Postby Frank P » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:00 pm

Ixolib wrote:Anybody know the conditions that existed with Katrina when she was in a similar position, and how (or if) similar conditions will exist for Issac? Better conditions for organization? Worse?


Katrina came from a different directin to get into the GOM, she crossed across southern Fl from the east as a Cat 1 before entering the GOM, then actually dipped SW before making that big swing towards the MS/LA line...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4424 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:500mb ... if this deepens it will turn a little more..

[img][/img]



a little more in what direction?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4425 Postby BigEasy » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm

Ixolib wrote:Anybody know the conditions that existed with Katrina when she was in a similar position, and how (or if) similar conditions will exist for Issac? Better conditions for organization? Worse?


One thing that is certainly similar, if nothing else, from simply a size perspective ONLY; is the wind field. Katrina had a huge wind field, moving a vast amount of water, with tremendous wave action on top. I remember clearly, when Katrina was still 300+ miles SE of NOLA, 50 foot wave heights were being reported in a wide area of about 30 miles, fomr end to end! That is when I knew some place was going to be in alot of trouble. 50 foot waves have to end up somewhere, especially when they are over 30 miles wide, and Katrina was still building.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4426 Postby weatherSnoop » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:05 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:500mb ... if this deepens it will turn a little more..

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... g8dlm2.GIF[/img]


not too many places to go, eh?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4427 Postby BigEasy » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:06 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:500mb ... if this deepens it will turn a little more..

Image


If what deepens?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4428 Postby Ixolib » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:06 pm

Frank P wrote:
Ixolib wrote:Anybody know the conditions that existed with Katrina when she was in a similar position, and how (or if) similar conditions will exist for Issac? Better conditions for organization? Worse?


Katrina came from a different directin to get into the GOM, she crossed across southern Fl from the east as a Cat 1 before entering the GOM, then actually dipped SW before making that big swing towards the MS/LA line...


True --- but I'm wondering about the conditions of the Gulf now, compared to the conditions that existed when Katrina went into RI on 8/28/05.
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#4429 Postby BigB0882 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:07 pm

And turn where? Some of us don't know how to read those things. lol
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4430 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:07 pm

Do you think if this convection trend continues pressure may go down and winds may even go up at 11?
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#4431 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:07 pm

BigJoeBastardi

Rapid feedback development may be starting with Isaac.. buckle up buckeroos http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html …
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#4432 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:08 pm

This is starting to get intense. Hopefully the stable air in the Gulf will kill it.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4433 Postby Meteorcane » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:09 pm

Pressure will likely be down a few mbs with the next advisory.
Last edited by Meteorcane on Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#4434 Postby ozonepete » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:09 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:Actually, the appearance and synoptic pattern...at least in terms of the lee cyclone and pressure gradient...are a bit similar to those on September 1-2, 1935.


The 1935 storm was very, very small in size compared to this, just for one major aspect. And there are a host of upper air and mesoscale conditions from 1935 that we can never know.
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Re:

#4435 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:10 pm

CronkPSU wrote:BigJoeBastardi

Rapid feedback development may be starting with Isaac.. buckle up buckeroos http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html …

Remember Ernesto, just when we thought RI was happening recon confirmed weakening? 2012 has been interesting so far.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4436 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:10 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Pressure will likely be up a few mbs with the next advisory.

Are you kidding? What makes you think this?
Last edited by HurricaneAndrew92 on Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4437 Postby MJS1 » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:11 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Pressure will likely be up a few mbs with the next advisory.



Why do you believe this to be so?
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Re:

#4438 Postby TwisterFanatic » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:11 pm

galaxy401 wrote:This is starting to get intense. Hopefully the stable air in the Gulf will kill it.


Forecast conditions in the Gulf are expected to be far from stable.
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Re:

#4439 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:12 pm

CronkPSU wrote:BigJoeBastardi

Rapid feedback development may be starting with Isaac.. buckle up buckeroos http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html …


What does rapid feedback development mean?
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Re: Re:

#4440 Postby ObsessedMiami » Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:12 pm

HurricaneAndrew92 wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:BigJoeBastardi

Rapid feedback development may be starting with Isaac.. buckle up buckeroos http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html …

Remember Ernesto, just when we thought RI was happening recon confirmed weakening? 2012 has been interesting so far.

Poor Ernesto. The Bill Buckner of Hurricanes. :cheesy:
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