ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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ozonepete
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#3181 Postby ozonepete » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Ive noticed the low clouds deck around the center is beginning to thicken and the convection on the side is slowly getting closer. could see a burst near the center over the next hours.


I see that too, Aric. Also some really large bursts of deep convection coming towards Tampa in the next few hours.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3182 Postby tolakram » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:35 pm

Flakeys wrote:Is it better to try to guess, or say I don't know.


When you are forecasting a storm there is no choice.
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#3183 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:36 pm

18z HWRF starting. 12z was the western outlier:
Image
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#3184 Postby EmeraldCoast93 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:36 pm

The wind has really picked up here in the past hour or so. Gusts up around 35 mph probably.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3185 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:37 pm

Now the local news in Sarasota is on and of course, the idiot surfers are out and the streets are flooding on the barrier islands.

Dear Surfers,

They are called "barrier" islands for a reason.

It is also called "rip tide" for a reason.

Sincerely,

People sick of hearing our tax dollars used to save your stupid tuckus.
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#3186 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:37 pm

Please be safe out there to all of my fellow Floridians facing these adverse conditions. I am really fearful of the copious amounts of rain totals many here could be looking at by the middle of this upcoming week because of Debby's slow forecasted movement. This could rival Fay '08 in several areas across the state. This really could be very very bad.
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#3187 Postby artist » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:37 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
634 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...RIVIERA BEACH...JUPITER...

* UNTIL 700 PM EDT

* AT 633 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR RIVIERA
BEACH...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NORTH PALM BEACH...
JUNO BEACH...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3188 Postby thetruesms » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:37 pm

Flakeys wrote:Not much wind in Citrus County. But a TON of rain.
Funnily enough, it's the opposite here in Tally - wind is picking up, but not as much rain :lol:
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#3189 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:38 pm

:uarrow: thetruesms

Yeah...I figured if it does occur, longer ranges would be more likely...that is the time frame where no one thinks "oh hey! It's outside the cone that was posted 4 days ago now!", because the cone has updated like 10 or 15 times by then...you're not going to remember, and no one ever goes back to do a verification of it on here.
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#3190 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:40 pm

Dry air has really begun to get pulled in the west side now that its has stalled. that will keep it in check for awhile till the shear weakens ( if at all)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
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Re:

#3191 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:40 pm

EmeraldCoast93 wrote:The wind has really picked up here in the past hour or so. Gusts up around 35 mph probably.


Yep, had a gust here on my Weather station about an hour ago to 34mph.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3192 Postby tolakram » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:43 pm

30 frame live visible loop. Rapid scan mode, speed it up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3193 Postby tolakram » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:46 pm

Latest Visible

Image
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3194 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:47 pm

tolakram wrote:30 frame live visible loop. Rapid scan mode, speed it up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30


It might be a visual illusion from the upcoming sunset, but it looks (to my unprofesisonal eyes) that clouds are building back over the center of circulation, or at least the western side of the center.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3195 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:47 pm

tolakram wrote:30 frame live visible loop. Rapid scan mode, speed it up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30


Yeah tried that and it makes me dizzy.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3196 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:47 pm

tolakram wrote:30 frame live visible loop. Rapid scan mode, speed it up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=30


Really looks like the convection in the NW Quad might be pulling it slightly to the NW.
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#3197 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:50 pm

That slight NW Drift appears better here..........

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... channel=lc
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#3198 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:50 pm

Look at the convection to the NW of the center...notice the cirrus aren't streaming off to just the NE anymore? They fanned out to the W/SW/S/SE/E...shear dropping? What level was the shear at?
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3199 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:51 pm

Meh ... maybe this is like looking at fair weather cumulus because I see a stationery storm with no movement.

The LSU image though is nice. Good one to bookmark.
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#3200 Postby RL3AO » Sun Jun 24, 2012 5:54 pm

They're in the air but no HDOBs.
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