ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[AHS2011]

any chances of this thing becoming the first hurricane?

[Aric Dunn]

I have the COC of Alberto near closer to 31.5N, continues to move WSW to SW this morning, dry air has taken control on its eastern semicircle. I will not be surprised if it gets closer to the 30th latitude before it was to get pulled to the NE starting tomorrow.

yeah the 12z Euro yesterday brought it south of 30N just offshore jax.

[Aric Dunn]

any chances of this thing becoming the first hurricane?

very low at this point unless the dry air disappeared

[NDG]

Zoomed in radar loop.

click here

[Aric Dunn]

Actually latest visible loop this morning. it appears to be on a more SSW motion and picking up some forward speed. Also last night it went over a cool spot in the sst's but in a couple hours will be heading 27c sst's and that should help it out some. shear is still low around 10kts. but not very anticyclonic.

[cycloneye]

Down to 40kts on 12z Best Track.

AL, 01, 2012052012, , BEST, 0, 317N, 793W, 40, 1000, TS

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest

[wxman57]

Dew points down into the upper 40s over SC/NC this morning. All that dry air is now flowing into Alberto. Good news for coastal residents, as this should not be much of a storm.

[AHS2011]

Is the N.H.C. sending in a reconnaissance aircraft into Alberto today? Also, now, Alberto is looking healthier than it did.....or am I seeing things incorrectly?

[NDG]

Dew points down into the upper 40s over SC/NC this morning. All that dry air is now flowing into Alberto. Good news for coastal residents, as this should not be much of a storm.

Wow, you are right, I had not looked at the current dew points this morning along their coast.
Unless Alberto gets back into the heart of the gulf stream there may not be much of it left later today if it keeps moving closer to the coast.

[NDG]

Alberto's LLC is now free of deep convection near its COC.

[northjaxpro]

I have been closely monitoring Alberto's forward motion to the southwest. It continues moving southwest at about 7 mph. Yesterday, I was expecting Alberto to stall out off the South Carolina coast, but it may drift a bit closer to give the Southeast Georgia areas around Brunswick to just north of the Jax area later today into tonight. Although the LLC is exposed, it is pretty to view it on the visible satellite imagery.

[Chickenzilla]

In the discussion,NHC says that Alberto is sheared from west-southwest.

Although Alberto lies over the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream...dry air in the vicinity of the cyclone and strong west-southwesterly shear should limit the intensification process.

Then why the only thunderstorms are west of the circulation center?

[ouragans]

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...ALBERTO WEAKENS A LITTLE...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE WILL
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 79.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM ESE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

COASTAL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM GEORGIA THROUGH THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALBERTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST. ALBERTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MOVE LITTLE THROUGH MONDAY. A
NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS ANTICIPATED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINA AND GEORGIA COASTS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTH CAROLINA IN THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY OR MONDAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1500 UTC SUN MAY 20 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

COASTAL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM GEORGIA THROUGH THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALBERTO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 79.7W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE 40SE 60SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 79.7W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.2N 79.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.4N 79.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.3N 77.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 34.2N 75.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 38.0N 70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 39.5N 66.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 79.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THE CENTER OF ALBERTO HAS BECOME MORE EXPOSED THIS MORNING...AND THE
DEEPEST CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE
SYSTEM. OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE ALL
SUGGESTING AN INTENSITY AROUND 35 KT...BUT THE ADVISORY INTENSITY
IS ONLY BEING LOWERED TO 40 KT FOR NOW. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...AT
WHICH TIME ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS CAN BE MADE.

ALBERTO APPEARS TO HAVE AT LEAST THREE STRIKES AGAINST ANY
RE-INTENSIFICATION. FIRST...DEWPOINTS OVER SOUTHEASTERN U.S. ARE
ROUGHLY 50 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT...AND THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY INGESTING
SOME OF THIS DRY AIR. SECOND...THE CENTER IS MOVING WEST OF THE
GULF STREAM OVER COOLER SHELF WATERS NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA/
GEORGIA COAST. AND THIRD...UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE OVER THE SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST THEREFORE KEEPS ALBERTO AT LOW-END TROPICAL-STORM STRENGTH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION OCCURRING ON
THURSDAY. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE
INTENSITY GUIDANCE. ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL BY
72 HOURS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT
TIMING OF THAT TRANSITION.

A BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES HAS CAUSED ALBERTO
TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD SINCE YESTERDAY...AND THE CURRENT
MOTION IS 250/5 KT. THE BLOCKING ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY POSITIONED
OVER WESTERN NEW ENGLAND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLIDING EASTWARD
TODAY WITH A PROGRESSIVE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST. ALBERTO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE LITTLE THROUGH
TONIGHT...BUT THE EVOLVING STEERING PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
ACCELERATE THE STORM NORTHEASTWARD BEGINNING ON MONDAY. THERE IS
VERY LITTLE SPREAD IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THEREAFTER...THE ECMWF DIVERGES FROM THE CLUSTER OF OTHER MODELS
AND SHOWS A SLOWER...MORE SOUTHERN SOLUTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS THEREFORE A LITTLE SLOWER AND FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS ON DAYS 3 AND 4.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/1500Z 31.5N 79.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 21/0000Z 31.2N 79.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 21/1200Z 31.4N 79.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 22/0000Z 32.3N 77.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 22/1200Z 34.2N 75.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 23/1200Z 38.0N 70.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 24/1200Z 39.5N 66.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH

[Aric Dunn]

In the discussion,NHC says that Alberto is sheared from west-southwest.

Although Alberto lies over the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream...dry air in the vicinity of the cyclone and strong west-southwesterly shear should limit the intensification process.

Then why the only thunderstorms are west of the circulation center?
[img]http://img268.imageshack.us/img268/4162/albertosat.jpg[/mg]

maybe they meant it will be sheared. if it gets to far south it will run into the very high strong west an sw shear

[Aric Dunn]

well if convection does not come back soon. it probably wont and alberto will be done for.

[brunota2003]

Recon is enroute!

000
URNT15 KNHC 201725
AF302 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 11 20120520
171700 3247N 08220W 4844 06017 0211 -135 -180 073018 019 /// /// 03
171730 3247N 08217W 4844 06016 0210 -135 -176 072019 019 /// /// 03
171800 3247N 08214W 4845 06013 0210 -137 -181 072019 020 /// /// 03
171830 3247N 08211W 4846 06013 0210 -137 -181 076020 021 /// /// 03
171900 3247N 08208W 4844 06017 0210 -136 -184 073018 019 /// /// 03
171930 3248N 08204W 4845 06013 0210 -132 -181 071018 018 /// /// 03
172000 3248N 08201W 4845 06015 0210 -133 -188 068017 018 /// /// 03
172030 3248N 08158W 4845 06013 0209 -132 -188 070019 021 /// /// 03
172100 3248N 08155W 4844 06015 0208 -135 -199 072020 020 /// /// 03
172130 3248N 08152W 4844 06015 0208 -135 -197 069019 021 /// /// 03
172200 3248N 08148W 4844 06015 0208 -135 -194 068020 021 /// /// 03
172230 3249N 08145W 4843 06016 0208 -137 -195 067019 020 /// /// 03
172300 3249N 08142W 4843 06016 0207 -136 -190 072021 021 /// /// 03
172330 3249N 08139W 4845 06011 0206 -134 -185 070020 021 /// /// 03
172400 3249N 08136W 4844 06011 0206 -135 -177 067020 020 /// /// 03
172430 3249N 08132W 4844 06010 0205 -133 -184 073019 020 /// /// 03
172500 3249N 08129W 4844 06012 0205 -135 -184 073020 020 /// /// 03
172530 3249N 08126W 4843 06013 0205 -138 -188 076021 022 /// /// 03
172600 3249N 08123W 4846 06007 0205 -139 -181 079022 022 /// /// 03
172630 3248N 08120W 4845 06010 0205 -136 -197 085022 023 /// /// 03
$$
;

[brunota2003]

000
URNT15 KNHC 201735
AF302 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 12 20120520
172700 3248N 08116W 4844 06011 0205 -139 -185 081022 023 /// /// 03
172730 3248N 08113W 4844 06012 0206 -140 -227 080021 022 /// /// 03
172800 3248N 08110W 4847 06007 0205 -136 -225 080017 017 /// /// 03
172830 3248N 08107W 4846 06007 0205 -135 -212 084016 017 /// /// 03
172900 3247N 08104W 4845 06007 0204 -135 -195 087015 016 /// /// 03
172930 3247N 08101W 4844 06010 0203 -137 -168 091015 016 /// /// 03
173000 3247N 08057W 4844 06010 0204 -145 -162 094016 017 /// /// 03
173030 3247N 08054W 4845 06007 0204 -141 -163 098015 017 /// /// 03
173100 3247N 08051W 4844 06010 0203 -138 -164 099015 016 /// /// 03
173130 3246N 08048W 4847 06006 0204 -136 -165 101016 016 /// /// 03
173200 3246N 08044W 4844 06010 0204 -134 -165 107015 016 /// /// 03
173230 3246N 08041W 4845 06007 0203 -138 -160 105016 016 /// /// 03
173300 3246N 08038W 4844 06009 0204 -139 -163 102017 017 /// /// 03
173330 3246N 08035W 4845 06007 0203 -140 -174 097016 017 /// /// 03
173400 3245N 08031W 4845 06007 0203 -140 -170 094015 015 /// /// 03
173430 3245N 08028W 4845 06007 0203 -142 -168 092014 015 /// /// 03
173500 3245N 08025W 4846 06005 0202 -142 -195 092014 015 /// /// 03
173530 3245N 08022W 4847 06004 0202 -140 -224 098014 015 /// /// 03
173600 3244N 08019W 4844 06007 0201 -142 -211 102015 016 /// /// 03
173630 3244N 08015W 4844 06007 0201 -144 -222 099014 015 /// /// 03
$$
;

[brunota2003]

Descending to operational altitude

000
URNT15 KNHC 201745
AF302 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 13 20120520
173700 3244N 08012W 4844 06007 0201 -146 -177 098013 014 /// /// 03
173730 3244N 08009W 4844 06006 0200 -144 -226 095012 012 /// /// 03
173800 3244N 08006W 4845 06005 0200 -142 -295 099012 012 /// /// 03
173830 3243N 08002W 4840 06013 0200 -137 -342 115012 013 /// /// 03
173900 3243N 07959W 4845 06005 0201 -135 -362 121013 014 /// /// 03
173930 3243N 07956W 4845 06005 0201 -134 -321 124014 015 /// /// 03
174000 3243N 07953W 4844 06006 0201 -134 -290 124014 014 /// /// 03
174030 3242N 07949W 4845 06006 0201 -135 -276 120012 012 /// /// 03
174100 3242N 07946W 4844 06006 0201 -136 -239 104010 012 /// /// 03
174130 3242N 07943W 4844 06006 0200 -130 -243 105008 008 /// /// 03
174200 3242N 07939W 4840 06013 0200 -133 -160 099011 013 /// /// 03
174230 3241N 07936W 4841 06010 0203 -133 -166 124016 018 /// /// 03
174300 3241N 07933W 4983 05813 0215 -121 -155 136016 017 /// /// 03
174330 3241N 07930W 5211 05471 0203 -101 -169 154017 021 /// /// 03
174400 3241N 07927W 5443 05134 0192 -077 -172 102009 011 /// /// 03
174430 3240N 07923W 5684 04796 0130 -052 -156 058009 010 /// /// 03
174500 3240N 07920W 5936 04445 0126 -032 -132 059011 012 /// /// 03
174530 3240N 07917W 6192 04115 0139 -019 -042 100012 013 /// /// 03
174600 3240N 07915W 6461 03775 0143 +000 -022 092014 015 /// /// 03
174630 3240N 07912W 6740 03438 0144 +023 -023 094012 014 /// /// 03
$$
;

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012
200 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT APPROACHING ALBERTO...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 79.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAVANNAH RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

COASTAL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM GEORGIA THROUGH THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALBERTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST. ALBERTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MOVE LITTLE THROUGH MONDAY. A
NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IS ANTICIPATED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINA AND GEORGIA COASTS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE SHOULD SOON
PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE INTENSITY OF ALBERTO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTH CAROLINA IN THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY OR MONDAY.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH

[brunota2003]

I'm expecting the first pass to be a NE to SW pass...since it seems most of the interesting weather is in the SW quadrant.