ATL: ISAAC - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
adam0983

Re:

#1601 Postby adam0983 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:17 pm

Euro runs looks to be off base.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1602 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:17 pm

same as last night...gets tangled up and weakens significantly....now the next few frames are the ones I am interested in....does it miss the weakness and get left behind....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Re:

#1603 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:18 pm

adam0983 wrote:Euro runs looks to be off base.



please explain why you think that?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

#1604 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:18 pm

96 hr euro

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Weatherboy1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1189
Age: 49
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2004 1:50 pm
Location: Jupiter/Sarasota, FL

#1605 Postby Weatherboy1 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:19 pm

Regarding GFDL, path shift was farther west but still bisects the state. Roughly a Cat 1 hurricane making landfall in the Miami area. HWRF is weak again -- only showing 45 mph winds or so between Cuba and Florida.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#1606 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:19 pm

that looks like a east shift coming.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1607 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:19 pm

Euro 120h from previous run. :)

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

Re:

#1608 Postby SeminoleWind » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:20 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:that looks like a east shift coming.


I am glad i am not the only one who eyed that lol
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re:

#1609 Postby SFLcane » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:20 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:New 12Z GFDL and 12Z HWRF...??


Here is the 12z GFDL..

Image
0 likes   
Top
adam0983

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1610 Postby adam0983 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:21 pm

That the Euro had Isaac turning into an open wave. I don't see this happening.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

#1611 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:21 pm

120 hr euro

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1612 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:21 pm

Looks the same as last nights run...up to 96 in placement
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneBrain
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 520
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2011 2:07 pm

#1613 Postby HurricaneBrain » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:23 pm

Looks like the Euro shifted east
0 likes   
Top
SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

#1614 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:23 pm

Still looks to be headed into the gulf this run.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
petit_bois
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 227
Joined: Tue Jun 22, 2010 12:04 pm
Location: Petit Bois Island Mississippi

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1615 Postby petit_bois » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:23 pm

this could be devastating.... missing most of the mountains...
The gulf is a cauldron. GOM'ers beware!
0 likes   
Resident of the Atlantic Basin's Major Hurricane Hit Capital!
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.

Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1616 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:24 pm

ROCK wrote:Looks the same as last nights run...up to 96 in placement


its east by about 50 to 100 miles.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:
Contact BigB0882

#1617 Postby BigB0882 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:24 pm

Crossing the tip of Cuba in this run instead of going through the channel. Will it contue NW like the 0Z or follow a more N path like other models show."?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#1618 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:24 pm

Euro is really not much different than the last few runs...it does look a bit east...day 5 its over W CUBA
0 likes   
Top
Weatherfreak000

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1619 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:24 pm

ROCK wrote:Looks the same as last nights run...up to 96 in placement

Yep. Looks only ever so slightly east heading NW into the gom
Last edited by Weatherfreak000 on Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1620 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 22, 2012 1:25 pm

Euro 168h from previous run. Just a tad east perhaps? ;)

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests