ATL: NATE - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#901 Postby tropicwatch » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:15 pm

Latest water vapor imagery makes Nate look like a very compact storm possibly drifting east towards yucatan. I guess we won't know for sure until recon gets in there again.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-wv.html

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#902 Postby Comanche » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:20 pm

TY warrior.
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#903 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:21 pm

Solar activity is a possible cause...with them using satellites to transmit the data, the solar storms could very easily interfere with the flow of information. Any activity lately?
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#904 Postby Shuriken » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:39 pm

TROPICAL STORM NATE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011

DATA FROM THE MEXICAN RADAR STATION AT SABANCUY INDICATE....


What the heck? (Is that site available anywhere to us common proles?)
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#905 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:42 pm

This is the most pathetic looking 70mph tropical storm I have ever seen. It looks worse then Don did before landfall imo.
Does anyone else agree with me?
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#906 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:46 pm

This entire season has been quantity over quality, for sure.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#907 Postby AJC3 » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:47 pm

Shuriken wrote:TROPICAL STORM NATE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011

DATA FROM THE MEXICAN RADAR STATION AT SABANCUY INDICATE....


What the heck? (Is that site available anywhere to us common proles?)


Normally, yes. http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option= ... &Itemid=84

However, currently it cannot be accessed from that page. I suspect that in order to keep their server from getting bonecrushed by web traffic, the Mexican met agency restricted public access, outside of Mexican IP addys, to only essential peeps such as NHC.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#908 Postby Macrocane » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:48 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:This is the most pathetic looking 70mph tropical storm I have ever seen. It looks worse then Don did before landfall imo.
Does anyone else agree with me?


Not at all, Don looked much worse than Nate, when Don made landfall it was a ball of convection without signs of a real surface circulation. Nate looks better organized with more banding and a clear LLC, although I have to accept that it looks weaker than it actually is.
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Re:

#909 Postby Dave » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:59 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Solar activity is a possible cause...with them using satellites to transmit the data, the solar storms could very easily interfere with the flow of information. Any activity lately?


I checked solar activity tonight and it's very low right now probably not even enough to bother much of anything. Saw a post on fb that they had communication problems at the main receiving site which would definitely make sense because of it affecting 3 missions at the same time.
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#910 Postby Rgv20 » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:11 am

Looking thru the new 0zGFS,NOGAPS,CMC,NAM,18zGFDL,and 18zHWRF a landfall south of 21N is looking likely.
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#911 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:16 am

And yes I thought I was awake!! Moving data from Maria over here to Nate now......lets see you do this! Thanks!


AF 303 ENROUTE TO NATE732


URNT15 KNHC 090504
AF303 0315A NATE HDOB 10 20110909
045430 2411N 08950W 3960 07645 0390 -170 -224 242012 013 007 000 00
045500 2409N 08949W 3960 07642 0389 -170 -213 254014 014 008 000 00
045530 2406N 08949W 3960 07642 0389 -170 -211 246015 015 012 000 00
045600 2404N 08949W 3960 07645 0389 -170 -206 248014 014 015 000 00
045630 2401N 08949W 3961 07641 0389 -169 -206 249014 015 009 000 00
045700 2359N 08949W 3960 07646 0390 -171 -227 235013 014 010 000 00
045730 2356N 08949W 3959 07648 0392 -171 -227 221014 015 009 000 03
045800 2354N 08949W 3960 07644 0391 -170 -214 229012 013 007 001 03
045830 2352N 08950W 3960 07647 0392 -170 -226 221010 010 011 000 00
045900 2350N 08951W 3960 07647 0393 -170 -214 219010 010 009 000 00
045930 2347N 08952W 3960 07648 0393 -170 -202 223010 010 008 000 00
050000 2345N 08953W 3960 07648 0393 -172 -198 227010 011 010 000 00
050030 2343N 08954W 3985 07608 0396 -169 -197 231010 010 009 000 00
050100 2341N 08955W 4038 07509 0392 -165 -204 235011 012 009 000 00
050130 2339N 08956W 4087 07420 0388 -160 -193 227012 012 009 000 03
050200 2337N 08957W 4136 07330 0382 -155 -190 224011 012 009 000 00
050230 2334N 08958W 4189 07235 0377 -145 -179 227012 012 012 000 00
050300 2332N 08959W 4241 07140 0372 -136 -175 240010 011 013 000 03
050330 2330N 09001W 4293 07047 0365 -126 -169 243010 011 012 000 00
050400 2328N 09002W 4345 06950 0357 -117 -168 227011 011 013 000 00
$$

Descending...
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#912 Postby AJC3 » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:18 am

South Texas Storms wrote:This is the most pathetic looking 70mph tropical storm I have ever seen. It looks worse then Don did before landfall imo. Does anyone else agree with me?


Hurricane Earl (1998) FTW.
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#913 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:19 am

821
URNT15 KNHC 090516
AF303 0315A NATE HDOB 11 20110909
050430 2326N 09003W 4398 06861 0352 -110 -166 215011 012 014 000 00
050500 2323N 09004W 4452 06766 0346 -105 -160 211012 012 014 000 00
050530 2321N 09005W 4505 06676 0341 -097 -159 212011 011 014 000 00
050600 2319N 09006W 4560 06582 0335 -091 -153 206010 010 015 000 00
050630 2317N 09007W 4616 06489 0330 -088 -141 197008 009 014 000 00
050700 2315N 09008W 4672 06395 0325 -091 -120 199006 006 013 000 00
050730 2313N 09009W 4727 06304 0320 -087 -116 216004 004 013 000 00
050800 2310N 09010W 4784 06212 0315 -079 -114 216003 004 014 000 00
050830 2308N 09011W 4840 06122 0309 -073 -111 226004 005 015 000 00
050900 2306N 09012W 4899 06027 0304 -064 -108 199006 007 015 000 00
050930 2304N 09013W 4958 05933 0298 -057 -105 190007 007 013 000 00
051000 2302N 09014W 5018 05838 0292 -049 -103 186007 007 013 000 00
051030 2259N 09015W 5078 05745 0286 -045 -100 178009 011 015 000 00
051100 2257N 09016W 5138 05651 0280 -041 -081 174011 012 014 000 00
051130 2255N 09017W 5198 05560 0274 -039 -079 184014 015 015 000 00
051200 2253N 09018W 5259 05466 0267 -031 -077 185014 015 014 000 00
051230 2251N 09019W 5322 05371 0262 -024 -072 191012 013 015 000 00
051300 2249N 09020W 5386 05277 0256 -018 -067 202011 011 016 000 03
051330 2247N 09021W 5449 05183 0250 -009 -064 204011 011 017 000 00
051400 2245N 09022W 5513 05089 0042 +000 -064 205011 011 017 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#914 Postby Rgv20 » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:21 am

AJC3 wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:This is the most pathetic looking 70mph tropical storm I have ever seen. It looks worse then Don did before landfall imo. Does anyone else agree with me?


Hurricane Earl (1998) FTW.


That was an ugly hook..haha IMO Don still takes the cake tho lol

One thing about Nate tho is that its a tiny system.
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#915 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:22 am

Image

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#916 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:27 am

323
URNT15 KNHC 090525
AF303 0315A NATE HDOB 12 20110909
051430 2242N 09023W 5574 05003 0040 +008 -064 215013 013 017 001 00
051500 2240N 09024W 5642 04907 0054 +006 -053 203011 012 018 000 00
051530 2238N 09025W 5708 04811 0057 +010 -040 186012 013 018 000 03
051600 2236N 09026W 5775 04717 0057 +016 -035 170011 013 017 000 00
051630 2234N 09027W 5843 04624 0056 +022 -033 158010 010 013 000 03
051700 2232N 09028W 5909 04531 0048 +033 -030 153009 010 017 000 03
051730 2230N 09029W 5976 04440 0041 +044 -030 149009 010 016 000 00
051800 2228N 09030W 6047 04352 0044 +052 -027 139013 018 012 000 00
051830 2226N 09031W 6117 04258 0054 +050 -015 138017 019 010 000 03
051900 2224N 09032W 6191 04157 0056 +055 -007 138017 018 008 000 00
051930 2222N 09033W 6263 04061 0067 +054 +002 141011 014 009 000 03
052000 2220N 09033W 6341 03962 0070 +059 +007 151010 014 009 000 03
052030 2218N 09034W 6416 03866 0072 +063 +012 136015 015 006 000 03
052100 2216N 09035W 6490 03767 0059 +078 -000 140018 020 006 000 03
052130 2214N 09036W 6562 03679 0058 +086 -005 143019 019 011 000 03
052200 2212N 09037W 6639 03584 0075 +078 +032 144019 021 012 000 00
052230 2210N 09038W 6711 03496 0099 +068 +042 146021 022 012 000 00
052300 2208N 09039W 6788 03401 0095 +077 +036 147021 022 013 000 00
052330 2206N 09040W 6864 03311 0094 +086 +025 151022 022 014 000 00
052400 2205N 09040W 6940 03220 0092 +091 +027 154022 023 011 000 03
$$
;


Operational Altitude...
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#917 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:32 am

Image
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#918 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:38 am

569
URNT15 KNHC 090534
AF303 0315A NATE HDOB 13 20110909
052430 2203N 09041W 6958 03194 0091 +091 +028 154022 023 013 000 03
052500 2201N 09042W 6969 03179 0088 +092 +029 154022 024 013 000 00
052530 2159N 09043W 6966 03184 0094 +088 +031 156024 025 012 000 03
052600 2157N 09044W 6963 03186 0097 +084 +031 156025 026 014 000 00
052630 2155N 09045W 6967 03180 0092 +089 +030 150022 024 015 000 30
052700 2153N 09046W 6967 03181 0088 +092 +029 145021 021 016 000 03
052730 2152N 09046W 6967 03182 0093 +090 +029 145022 022 016 000 00
052800 2150N 09047W 6968 03181 0095 +086 +032 147022 022 016 000 03
052830 2150N 09047W 6968 03181 0093 +090 +033 144020 021 017 000 00
052900 2146N 09049W 6967 03180 0089 +090 +036 145020 020 018 000 00
052930 2144N 09050W 6969 03179 0087 +090 +039 143018 019 017 000 00
053000 2142N 09051W 6964 03183 0093 +085 +047 152020 020 017 000 00
053030 2140N 09052W 6967 03180 0091 +085 +048 152020 021 018 000 03
053100 2138N 09053W 6969 03179 0090 +089 +046 147019 021 019 000 03
053130 2137N 09054W 6968 03180 0088 +090 +043 139018 019 020 000 03
053200 2135N 09055W 6966 03181 0089 +090 +043 140020 020 020 000 03
053230 2133N 09057W 6967 03180 0092 +086 +046 139020 021 020 000 00
053300 2132N 09059W 6966 03179 0088 +089 +046 139021 022 020 000 00
053330 2130N 09100W 6967 03177 0078 +095 +040 143022 022 021 000 03
053400 2129N 09102W 6966 03180 0074 +099 +037 144022 022 022 000 00
$$
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#919 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:43 am

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#920 Postby Dave » Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:47 am

333
URNT15 KNHC 090544
AF303 0315A NATE HDOB 14 20110909
053430 2127N 09104W 6967 03176 0080 +102 +035 144023 023 022 000 03
053500 2126N 09105W 6973 03186 0090 +102 +035 145024 025 023 000 03
053530 2124N 09107W 6967 03195 0090 +100 +038 143026 026 021 000 00
053600 2123N 09109W 6967 03189 0091 +098 +036 141024 024 021 000 00
053630 2121N 09110W 6967 03188 0094 +094 +038 145026 028 021 000 00
053700 2120N 09112W 6969 03188 0093 +093 +040 149028 028 020 000 03
053730 2118N 09113W 6964 03192 0106 +081 +050 148033 034 021 000 00
053800 2117N 09115W 6967 03187 0109 +077 +052 147035 035 022 000 30
053830 2115N 09117W 6967 03186 0106 +080 +051 146035 035 025 000 03
053900 2114N 09118W 6970 03183 0101 +085 +046 146034 036 025 000 00
053930 2112N 09120W 6967 03186 0107 +079 +050 144036 037 025 000 00
054000 2111N 09121W 6967 03184 0111 +075 +053 141038 039 025 001 00
054030 2109N 09123W 6969 03184 0114 +071 +052 139037 037 025 000 00
054100 2108N 09125W 6967 03182 0114 +070 +051 139039 039 027 000 00
054130 2106N 09126W 6967 03182 0114 +070 +051 130039 040 027 000 03
054200 2105N 09128W 6966 03180 0106 +074 +051 131040 041 028 000 03
054230 2103N 09130W 6965 03184 0098 +082 +046 135040 040 028 000 00
054300 2102N 09131W 6967 03180 0093 +084 +045 134041 041 030 001 00
054330 2100N 09133W 6967 03178 0087 +086 +052 133040 040 030 000 00
054400 2059N 09135W 6967 03177 0084 +086 +059 131040 041 030 000 00
$$
;
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