ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

Eyewall hot-towers firing away.

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/satellite/custom/index.htm?satellite=GOES-E+CONUS&type=Animation&numframes=6&width=1000&height=800&info=vis&zoom=1&palette=ir.pal&quality=100&map=standard&mapcolor=black&lat=25&lon=-77

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Anyone can take over images too, I'll be posting them infrequently.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URNT12 KWBC 251131
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 25/1111Z
B. 25 DEG 18 MIN N
76 DEG 30 MIN W
C. NA
D. 85 KT
E. 095 DEG 32 NM
F. 172 DEG 116 KT
G. 094 DEG 37 NM
H. 951 MB
I. 17 C/2450 M
J. 20 C/2442 M
K. 17 C/NA
L. OPEN SW
M. CO20-40
N. 12345/NA
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2009A IRENE OB 13
MAX FL WIND 116KTS E QUAD 1053Z

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 11:31Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 20
Observation Number: 13
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 11:11Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°18'N 76°30'W (25.3N 76.5W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 55 miles (88 km) to the ENE (73°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 85kts (~ 97.8mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 32 nautical miles (37 statute miles) to the E (95°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 172° at 116kts (From the S at ~ 133.5mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 37 nautical miles (43 statute miles) to the E (94°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 951mb (28.08 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,450m (8,038ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,442m (8,012ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southwest
M. Eye Shape: Concentric (has an inner and outer eye)
M. Inner Eye Diameter: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
M. Outer Eye Diameter: 40 nautical miles (46 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb (if vortex is newer than about mid 90's; see note for more), 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 116kts (~ 133.5mph) in the east quadrant at 10:53Z

[caneman]

Last 2 hours according to recon it has went due NW. Now at 76.3. Think it is going to be closer to Florida than advertised.

[sfwx]

LOCATION...25.5N 76.5W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 670 MI...1085 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

[crimi481]

Which trough is the one that is lifting up Irene?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html

[caneman]

If it continues it will pass 120-150 miles from Palm Beach and not 180. At one point it was suppose to 200 - 250 mi.

[DESTRUCTION5]

If it continues it will pass 120-150 miles from Palm Beach and not 180. At one point it was suppose to 200 - 250 mi.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... b&loop=yes

Were about to see what Irene has to offer in her bands here in PBC...

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like its wobbling more to the west again..

[Chris_in_Tampa]

At the 859mb level:
117 knot (135 mph) wind from the ENE



UZNT13 KNHC 251223
XXAA 75127 99259 70769 08056 99973 25812 03585 00738 ///// /////
92449 22409 05112 85184 19808 06610 70851 10401 07084 88999 77999
31313 09608 81201
61616 AF300 1909A IRENE OB 17
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2580N07698W 1206 MBL WND 04602 AEV 20802 DL
M WND 06100 973697 WL150 04098 083 REL 2585N07686W 120154 SPG 258
0N07698W 120605 =
XXBB 75128 99259 70769 08056 00973 25812 11924 22209 22850 19808
33811 19813 44713 15004
21212 00973 03585 11971 04085 22966 04099 33963 04103 44953 04603
55946 04596 66940 05105 77932 05105 88924 05113 99917 05109 11905
05614 22897 05612 33885 06116 44878 06112 55873 06616 66859 06617
77850 06610 88697 07083
31313 09608 81201
61616 AF300 1909A IRENE OB 17
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2580N07698W 1206 MBL WND 04602 AEV 20802 DL
M WND 06100 973697 WL150 04098 083 REL 2585N07686W 120154 SPG 258
0N07698W 120605 =

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 12:23Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 19
Observation Number: 17

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 12Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 25.9N 76.9W
Location: 64 miles (103 km) to the NNE (25°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
Marsden Square: 080 (About)

Level    Geo. Height    Air Temp.    Dew Point    Wind Direction    Wind Speed
973mb (28.73 inHg)    Sea Level (Surface)    25.8°C (78.4°F)    24.6°C (76.3°F)   35° (from the NE)    85 knots (98 mph)
1000mb   -238m (-781 ft)   Other data not available.
925mb   449m (1,473 ft)   22.4°C (72.3°F)    21.5°C (70.7°F)   50° (from the NE)    112 knots (129 mph)
850mb   1,184m (3,885 ft)   19.8°C (67.6°F)    19.0°C (66.2°F)   65° (from the ENE)    110 knots (127 mph)
700mb   2,851m (9,354 ft)   10.4°C (50.7°F)    10.3°C (50.5°F)   70° (from the ENE)    84 knots (97 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 12:01Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 315° (NW) from the eye center.

Splash Location: 25.8N 76.98W
Splash Time: 12:06Z

Release Location: 25.85N 76.86W View map)
Release Time: 12:01:54Z

Splash Location: 25.8N 76.98W (
Splash Time: 12:06:05Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 45° (from the NE)
- Wind Speed: 102 knots (117 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 60° (from the ENE)
- Wind Speed: 100 knots (115 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 697mb to 973mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 158 gpm - 8 gpm (518 geo. feet - 26 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 40° (from the NE)
- Wind Speed: 98 knots (113 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 20802

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level    Air Temperature    Dew Point
973mb (Surface)   25.8°C (78.4°F)    24.6°C (76.3°F)
924mb   22.2°C (72.0°F)    21.3°C (70.3°F)
850mb   19.8°C (67.6°F)    19.0°C (66.2°F)
811mb   19.8°C (67.6°F)    18.5°C (65.3°F)
713mb   15.0°C (59.0°F)    14.6°C (58.3°F)

Significant Wind Levels...
Level    Wind Direction    Wind Speed
973mb (Surface)   35° (from the NE)    85 knots (98 mph)
971mb   40° (from the NE)    85 knots (98 mph)
966mb   40° (from the NE)    99 knots (114 mph)
963mb   40° (from the NE)    103 knots (119 mph)
953mb   45° (from the NE)    103 knots (119 mph)
946mb   45° (from the NE)    96 knots (110 mph)
940mb   50° (from the NE)    105 knots (121 mph)
932mb   50° (from the NE)    105 knots (121 mph)
924mb   50° (from the NE)    113 knots (130 mph)
917mb   50° (from the NE)    109 knots (125 mph)
905mb   55° (from the NE)    114 knots (131 mph)
897mb   55° (from the NE)    112 knots (129 mph)
885mb   60° (from the ENE)    116 knots (133 mph)
878mb   60° (from the ENE)    112 knots (129 mph)
873mb   65° (from the ENE)    116 knots (133 mph)
859mb   65° (from the ENE)    117 knots (135 mph)
850mb   65° (from the ENE)    110 knots (127 mph)
697mb   70° (from the ENE)    83 knots (96 mph)

[SNOW_JOKE]

breakingweather Accu Weather
Hurricane Irene now 65 mi ENE of Nassau, Bahamas. Winds 115mph, moving NW @13mph

[caneman]

Looks like its wobbling more to the west again..

It's not look Aric, it is according to recon been going NW for about the last 2 hours.

[dgparent]

Heck even Raleigh looks to be getting 80+ mile a hour winds closer to 90, guess my tee time Sat. morning is getting cancelled.

If it continues it will pass 120-150 miles from Palm Beach and not 180. At one point it was suppose to 200 - 250 mi.

[drezee]

URNT15 KNHC 251213
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 40 20110825
120330 2548N 07648W 6963 02871 //// +094 //// 072067 069 /// /// 05
120400 2547N 07647W 6969 02854 //// +095 //// 072064 064 /// /// 05
120430 2545N 07647W 6963 02852 9671 +123 +122 068061 063 /// /// 03
120500 2544N 07646W 6973 02831 9635 +148 +122 068057 059 /// /// 03
120530 2542N 07645W 6965 02831 9625 +146 +126 068053 053 /// /// 03
120600 2540N 07645W 6967 02819 9618 +142 +127 070053 053 /// /// 03
120630 2539N 07644W 6967 02812 9608 +144 +123 070051 052 /// /// 03
120700 2537N 07643W 6969 02797 9599 +140 +129 069050 051 /// /// 03
120730 2536N 07642W 6967 02791 9581 +147 +133 067051 052 /// /// 03
120800 2534N 07641W 6965 02783 9570 +149 +134 067049 052 /// /// 03
120830 2532N 07641W 6967 02766 9556 +147 +139 060046 048 /// /// 03
120900 2531N 07640W 6974 02748 9537 +155 +141 056038 041 /// /// 03
120930 2529N 07639W 6964 02750 9523 +158 +145 050027 031 /// /// 03
121000 2528N 07637W 6970 02735 9518 +159 +141 052018 021 /// /// 03
121030 2527N 07636W 6965 02736 9506 +162 +138 055010 010 /// /// 03
121100 2525N 07635W 6966 02728 9502 +159 +137 102003 006 /// /// 03
121130 2524N 07633W 6967 02724 9501 +157 +137 204014 020 /// /// 03
121200 2523N 07632W 6970 02724 9504 +158 +137 214026 030 /// /// 03
121230 2523N 07632W 6970 02724 9524 +146 +137 219036 040 /// /// 03
121300 2520N 07629W 6966 02746 9533 +147 +136 219048 051 /// /// 03
$$
;

[pcolaman]

Looks like its wobbling more to the west again..

Yes it does . So I am wondering if the nhc is really that sure about it not hitting fl. on it way up and are the models off by 100 miles or so . Going to be really close .

[drezee]

URNT15 KNHC 251223
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 41 20110825
121330 2519N 07628W 6967 02755 9548 +145 +135 222053 057 /// /// 03
121400 2518N 07627W 6970 02770 9580 +131 //// 223066 068 /// /// 05
121430 2517N 07625W 6968 02780 9583 +140 +131 221068 069 /// /// 03
121500 2516N 07624W 6964 02801 9604 +133 +128 222069 070 /// /// 03
121530 2514N 07623W 6969 02808 9622 +132 +124 219068 068 /// /// 03
121600 2513N 07621W 6968 02819 9631 +134 +121 219068 068 /// /// 03
121630 2512N 07620W 6969 02834 9643 +138 +118 219070 072 /// /// 03
121700 2511N 07619W 6963 02852 9663 +132 +115 217072 072 /// /// 03
121730 2510N 07618W 6962 02863 9679 +126 +114 217074 075 /// /// 03
121800 2509N 07616W 6970 02863 9691 +124 +115 216085 087 /// /// 03
121830 2508N 07615W 6969 02871 9700 +125 +119 219090 091 /// /// 03
121900 2506N 07614W 6965 02887 9718 +116 //// 218093 095 /// /// 05
121930 2505N 07613W 6972 02890 9732 +116 +115 215091 092 /// /// 03
122000 2504N 07612W 6961 02908 9737 +118 //// 212087 089 /// /// 05
122030 2503N 07611W 6970 02908 9757 +099 //// 213090 090 /// /// 05
122100 2502N 07609W 6968 02920 9779 +097 //// 214092 094 /// /// 05
122130 2501N 07608W 6966 02931 9774 +111 +109 215092 093 /// /// 03
122200 2500N 07607W 6966 02941 9779 +118 +109 213087 088 /// /// 03
122230 2459N 07606W 6970 02941 9780 +121 +109 213086 086 /// /// 03
122300 2458N 07605W 6967 02947 9798 +109 //// 213085 088 /// /// 05

[jhpigott]

Wind picking up at PBI
NNE at 18
Gusting 24

Gusting close to 30 at this station in Juno Beach
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... 33408&MR=1

[Terry]

I'm not sure if this was posted last night or not:


Quote:
SDM IS HEREBY RELAYING A DIRECTIVE FROM NWSHQ FOR WFO/S IN ALL OF EASTERN..SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL REGIONS PLUS
MONTANA IN WESTERN REGION TO LAUNCH SIX-HOURLY RAOBS
/SOUNDINGS/ BEGINNING AT THU 25 AUG 06Z AND UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE. THIS DIRECTIVE IS TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL
DATA INPUT WHICH SHOULD HELP WITH MODEL GUIDANCE IN
FORECASTING THE FUTURE TRACK AND IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
IRENE.

[mutley]

Latest steering:

[Chris_in_Tampa]

5AM EDT Track, Through AF HDOB 41, Through NOAA HDOB 21. Someone else can take over images, I'll post one from time to time if I remember and no one else posts them.