ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Macrocane]

It's not really a matter of opinion. You're either independent or a colony, and the Bahamas is an independent nation.

I know I know, I was beig kind of sarcastic Sorry didn't want to question the independency of Bahamas, keep us informed with observations and news from Bahamas, please and take care.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241612
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 44 20110824
160230 2354N 07428W 6967 03104 //// +092 //// 091048 052 /// /// 05
160300 2354N 07430W 6968 03105 //// +090 //// 090048 050 /// /// 05
160330 2354N 07432W 6959 03115 //// +084 //// 087049 050 /// /// 05
160400 2354N 07435W 6971 03102 //// +077 //// 087049 051 /// /// 05
160430 2354N 07437W 6963 03108 //// +073 //// 087045 047 /// /// 05
160500 2353N 07439W 6973 03101 //// +074 //// 075043 046 /// /// 05
160530 2353N 07442W 6968 03110 //// +087 //// 058056 060 /// /// 05
160600 2353N 07444W 6966 03116 //// +101 //// 063057 062 /// /// 05
160630 2353N 07446W 6966 03116 //// +104 //// 069054 056 /// /// 05
160700 2353N 07449W 6967 03115 //// +102 //// 069053 054 /// /// 05
160730 2353N 07451W 6970 03113 //// +100 //// 066049 050 /// /// 05
160800 2353N 07453W 6969 03116 //// +103 //// 064050 053 /// /// 05
160830 2353N 07456W 6967 03119 //// +105 //// 063056 059 /// /// 05
160900 2353N 07458W 6982 03101 //// +101 //// 064061 062 /// /// 05
160930 2353N 07500W 6965 03117 //// +102 //// 066061 062 /// /// 05
161000 2353N 07502W 6964 03119 //// +100 //// 069062 063 /// /// 05
161030 2353N 07505W 6970 03113 //// +100 //// 071057 059 /// /// 05
161100 2353N 07507W 6965 03122 //// +100 //// 067057 059 /// /// 05
161130 2353N 07509W 6966 03121 //// +100 //// 067049 051 /// /// 05
161200 2353N 07511W 6967 03119 //// +100 //// 066046 047 /// /// 05
$$
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[viberama]

People need to stop focusing so much on the USA imo. A wobble to the west or sw matters for parts of the Bahamas. Comments like it still has plenty of time to turn north, obvoiusly is being referred for the US. How would you feel if it makes wobble to the west and you are in the bahamas (closer to the storm)? Exactly.

Jeez, really? Was just refering to the models and what they have been predicting Irene to do. I would never wish a hurricane on anyone and my comment was never meant as such. I live in the US and I watch what happens to all of us. I don't see anything wrong with that.

[fci]

Taking yet another spin to the south, this time centered over Acklins Island.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rb.html

That is some wobble there! Making a giant loop.

Are these not just wobbles of the "center" of a storm and not wobbles of the "actual" storm itself?
Doesn't a "center" have the tendency to wobble about like the spinning of a top?

[Frank2]

Let's stick with the topic at hand, folks (Irene)...

[littlevince]

[HurricaneWarning92]

People need to stop focusing so much on the USA imo. A wobble to the west or sw matters for parts of the Bahamas. Comments like it still has plenty of time to turn north, obvoiusly is being referred for the US. How would you feel if it makes wobble to the west and you are in the bahamas (closer to the storm)? Exactly.

Jeez, really? Was just refering to the models and what they have been predicting Irene to do. I would never wish a hurricane on anyone and my comment was never meant as such. I live in the US and I watch what happens to all of us. I don't see anything wrong with that.

Alright, its fine. lets just stay on topic... no hard feelings.

[NDG]

If you ask me, this is a pretty tight pressure gradient across SE FL for the chances of getting tropical force winds at least in gust across coastal areas. With pressure falling down to 1000 mb as shown here in the 12z gfs.
The GFS shows over an 1" of rain for Palm Beach areas.

[mutley]

Taking yet another spin to the south, this time centered over Acklins Island.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rb.html

That is some wobble there! Making a giant loop.

Are these not just wobbles of the "center" of a storm and not wobbles of the "actual" storm itself?
Doesn't a "center" have the tendency to wobble about like the spinning of a top?

The center or the whole storm? I really don't have a confident answer to that. I was just commenting that it looks like a very pronounced wobble westward, that seems to have lasted a couple hours. I've seen lots of wobbling and stair stepping, but that one looked like a pretty big loop.

[bahamaswx]

This westward jog has me very concerned!

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241622
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 45 20110824
161230 2353N 07513W 6970 03118 //// +100 //// 063042 043 /// /// 05
161300 2353N 07515W 6966 03124 //// +103 //// 065041 041 /// /// 05
161330 2353N 07517W 6969 03117 //// +101 //// 064042 043 /// /// 05
161400 2353N 07519W 6963 03126 //// +095 //// 062042 043 /// /// 05
161430 2353N 07522W 6972 03116 //// +095 //// 062043 044 /// /// 05
161500 2353N 07524W 6967 03123 //// +091 //// 062045 046 /// /// 05
161530 2353N 07526W 6966 03123 //// +090 //// 062046 046 /// /// 05
161600 2353N 07528W 6965 03124 //// +090 //// 062046 046 /// /// 05
161630 2353N 07530W 6968 03121 //// +090 //// 063047 047 /// /// 05
161700 2352N 07532W 6967 03124 //// +090 //// 064048 049 /// /// 05
161730 2352N 07534W 6967 03124 //// +089 //// 065049 051 /// /// 05
161800 2352N 07536W 6966 03127 //// +090 //// 066052 052 /// /// 05
161830 2352N 07538W 6969 03126 //// +090 //// 067051 052 /// /// 05
161900 2353N 07540W 6963 03129 //// +090 //// 070047 049 /// /// 05
161930 2354N 07542W 6966 03129 //// +091 //// 070046 046 /// /// 05
162000 2356N 07543W 6969 03127 //// +091 //// 068044 045 /// /// 05
162030 2357N 07544W 6965 03134 //// +090 //// 060048 049 /// /// 05
162100 2357N 07546W 6967 03128 //// +097 //// 056048 050 /// /// 05
162130 2357N 07548W 6966 03129 //// +099 //// 056045 045 /// /// 05
162200 2358N 07550W 6967 03129 //// +096 //// 054045 046 /// /// 05
$$
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[vbhoutex]

FAIR WARNING!!!
Please stay on topic and STOP the snipping back and forth and telling others how they should post or not post or questioning how they would feel if... We all are concerned about Irene and what she is going to do. No one is purposely leaving out some geographical area in their thoughts and discussions. If this type of posting continues staff will begin deletions and/or suspensions without notice.
We have a very dangerous and stressful situation on our hands so let's please keep the discussion to the storm itself.

[mf_dolphin]

This westward jog has me very concerned!

Actually it just came back to the track line after a detour. Stay safe and keep us posted as you can.

[littlevince]

[petit_bois]

with the GFS forcasting landfall in New England 4 days out and a solid week of "the trend is our friend" and a constant trend east it's starting to smell very fishy here. We can all hope. This is going to be VERY intersting watching this play out. (please push further east!)
I'm praying to you people on the Bahamas... God's speed.

[phishy_mama]

Hello I am new to this forum. I was wondering if there are any predictions or insights into possible storm surge along the Virginia peninsula? I am on Chincoteague Island and starting to get very worried about Miss Irene.

[greels]

Good late morning,

For those interested in current conditions in the Caribbean, we have spoken this morning with our neighbors on Provo, T&C. Our home is located there and currently vacant, thus the reason for two long and very sleepless nights.

Still raining in Provo....streets are flooded.....loss of power.....trees and electric poles down.....still too treacherous to venture out to survey further damage to the Island. But, the roof of our home is intact (A good thing....).

All remain safe in the path of Irene....
Greels

[ozonepete]

Hello I am new to this forum. I was wondering if there are any predictions or insights into possible storm surge along the Virginia peninsula? I am on Chincoteague Island and starting to get very worried about Miss Irene.

The NHC will issue statements about storm surge for your area IF and when you get a watch or warning., but you should be listening to your local authorities for that information. I would think the state of Virginia and some more local agencies would already be making some statements at this point.

[hurricaneCW]

with the GFS forcasting landfall in New England 4 days out and a solid week of "the trend is our friend" and a constant trend east it's starting to smell very fishy here. We can all hope. This is going to be VERY intersting watching this play out. (please push further east!)
I'm praying to you people on the Bahamas... God's speed.

Do not use the word "fish" as that means the storm will not affect anyone at all, but literally the fish. Use words like recurve out to sea or a CONUS miss because Irene already made landfall in Puerto Rico and she's blasting through the Bahamas right now.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241632
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 46 20110824
162230 2358N 07552W 6967 03129 //// +093 //// 052044 045 /// /// 05
162300 2359N 07554W 6970 03127 //// +092 //// 051043 044 /// /// 05
162330 2400N 07555W 6955 03144 //// +090 //// 054040 042 /// /// 05
162400 2401N 07554W 6968 03132 //// +091 //// 052036 038 /// /// 05
162430 2401N 07552W 6969 03132 //// +091 //// 058036 038 /// /// 05
162500 2400N 07550W 6964 03134 //// +093 //// 061037 038 /// /// 05
162530 2359N 07549W 6970 03128 //// +093 //// 062040 040 /// /// 05
162600 2359N 07547W 6969 03128 //// +102 //// 063039 039 /// /// 05
162630 2358N 07546W 6969 03127 //// +095 //// 071034 036 /// /// 05
162700 2357N 07544W 6966 03130 //// +091 //// 069038 040 /// /// 05
162730 2356N 07543W 6967 03132 //// +093 //// 063039 040 /// /// 05
162800 2355N 07542W 6965 03135 //// +093 //// 060039 040 /// /// 05
162830 2353N 07540W 6971 03126 //// +090 //// 058035 036 /// /// 05
162900 2352N 07539W 6968 03127 //// +095 //// 054034 036 /// /// 05
162930 2351N 07538W 6967 03126 //// +092 //// 054035 036 /// /// 05
163000 2350N 07536W 6965 03127 //// +102 //// 054036 037 /// /// 05
163030 2349N 07535W 6970 03123 //// +093 //// 059037 038 /// /// 05
163100 2347N 07534W 6965 03127 //// +090 //// 060039 040 /// /// 05
163130 2346N 07533W 6966 03127 //// +091 //// 064040 041 /// /// 05
163200 2345N 07531W 6968 03121 //// +091 //// 064040 041 /// /// 05
$$
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