WPAC: MEARI [Falcon] - Remnants
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- ManilaTC
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 99W
This should be a TD now.
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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Interesting system, looks kinda borderline with regards to the LLC but I suppose if its not a TD now it will be pretty soon...
ECM does develop this system as well.
ECM does develop this system as well.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
TXPQ25 KNES 202106
TCSWNP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99W)
B. 20/2032Z
C. 10.9N
D. 132.2E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSRE
H. REMARKS...DT=1.0 BASED ON .2+ BANDING ON LOG10
SPIRAL. PT=1.0. MET=1.0. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
20/1631Z 10.9N 133.4E AMSRE
...SCHWARTZ
12Z model guidance:
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TXPQ25 KNES 202106
TCSWNP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99W)
B. 20/2032Z
C. 10.9N
D. 132.2E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSRE
H. REMARKS...DT=1.0 BASED ON .2+ BANDING ON LOG10
SPIRAL. PT=1.0. MET=1.0. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
20/1631Z 10.9N 133.4E AMSRE
...SCHWARTZ
12Z model guidance:
Last edited by supercane on Mon Jun 20, 2011 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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If so, they are not showing their hands with the 00Z satellite bulletin:
TPPN11 PGTW 210033
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99W (NE OF PALAU)
B. 20/2332Z
C. 11.4N
D. 131.5E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LOG10 YIELDS A .20 WRAP,
RESULTING IN 1.0 DT. MET AGREES. PT CAME TO 1.5. DT USED TO
DETERMINE FT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SMITH
BTW, did not mean to post twice above.
TPPN11 PGTW 210033
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 99W (NE OF PALAU)
B. 20/2332Z
C. 11.4N
D. 131.5E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. LOG10 YIELDS A .20 WRAP,
RESULTING IN 1.0 DT. MET AGREES. PT CAME TO 1.5. DT USED TO
DETERMINE FT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SMITH
BTW, did not mean to post twice above.
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- WestPACMet
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Re:
StormingB81 wrote:I am guessing at 11am when JTWC updates their stuff it will be upgraded to a depression that is just my opinion though
100% agreed, I just made a video (uploading again) and I kind of eluded through the whole thing that is upgraded.. In another hour we will have an ASCAT pass, waiting on that and if it gets good coverage then I think we will have the answer.
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Re: Re:
RobWESTPACWX wrote:StormingB81 wrote:I am guessing at 11am when JTWC updates their stuff it will be upgraded to a depression that is just my opinion though
100% agreed, I just made a video (uploading again) and I kind of eluded through the whole thing that is upgraded.. In another hour we will have an ASCAT pass, waiting on that and if it gets good coverage then I think we will have the answer.
Does the Windsat pass not count:
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The above post is NOT official and should not be used as such. It is my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. Please refer to your official national weather agency.
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- WestPACMet
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 99W
WIndsat does not give a clear picture of the center of circulation though.
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- WestPACMet
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 99W
Video just uploaded, watch this system go to TS now...
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLOOclBtykU[/youtube]
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLOOclBtykU[/youtube]
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- StormingB81
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Two ASCAT views from OSI and STAR. Clear circulation, but mostly to the southeast of the main convection and with most of the strong winds well to the NE of the circulation (?associated with trades or with pressure gradient between 99W and upper low to the NE):
Last edited by supercane on Mon Jun 20, 2011 9:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- StormingB81
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