ATL: IRENE - Models

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chris_fit
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#3461 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:39 am

+30hrs

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3462 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:39 am

chris_fit, thanks for saving the images so this model thread will be useful long after Irene is gone!
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#3463 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:42 am

+36hrs, starting to turn a little more N

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#3464 Postby UpTheCreek » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:42 am

OuterBanker wrote:Ptracker that is noa a brash. That is around Raleigh. That would nail all of eastern NC and head for the most populus areas of the country. A worse case scenario I'm afraid.



Agree, that could definitely leave a very big mark! :double:
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#3465 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:45 am

+42 Hrs

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#3466 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:48 am

Hrmm... where is that GFDL
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#3467 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:49 am

48hrs.... still WNW

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#3468 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:50 am

chris_fit wrote:Hrmm... where is that GFDL


An hour in the future.
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#3469 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:53 am

54hrs... There's the turn!


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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3470 Postby HugoCameandLeft » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:53 am

Why is the output with respect to Irene so different in the 06Z GFDL for Harvey as compared to the one for Irene itself? Just noticed by accident.
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#3471 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:53 am

12Z CMC is just West of the NHC 11am update...Thru West Bahamas..
Last edited by DESTRUCTION5 on Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3472 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:53 am

For models and times check out http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html

Provides model runs and the times they start coming in.
Last edited by tolakram on Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3473 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:55 am

Sorry, meant to post this here in the models thread:
Trend of operational (non-interpolated) GFS past 24hr, with 12Z farthest east:
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3474 Postby clfenwi » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:57 am

Through 108h, 12Z Canadian is to the right of the 00Z run, shifting the forecast position for 00Z Saturday from ~Savannah to just off the Outer Banks.

120h:

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Re:

#3475 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:58 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:12Z CMC is just West of the NHC 11am update...Thru West Bahamas..


That's another east shift.
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Re: Re:

#3476 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:58 am

UpTheCreek wrote:
OuterBanker wrote:Ptracker that is noa a brash. That is around Raleigh. That would nail all of eastern NC and head for the most populus areas of the country. A worse case scenario I'm afraid.



Agree, that could definitely leave a very big mark! :double:


Nope check again. Just brushes OBX. NC on weak side of storm here.
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Re:

#3477 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:59 am

supercane wrote:Sorry, meant to post this here in the models thread:
Trend of operational (non-interpolated) GFS past 24hr, with 12Z farthest east:
Image


Looks like it is time to start following this one with a daily post on my weather blog. :lol: If the current trend continues, I'll put up a summary tonight.
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#3478 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 12:02 pm

66hrs

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#3479 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 12:04 pm

Through 66 hours, the HWRF is a little stronger and a very little SW of the previous run.
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#3480 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 12:05 pm

+72 hrs

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