ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[vbhoutex]

Is everyone looking at a radar presentation or something concerning NE movement, because I don't see it. I see presently NNW movement and if you turn on the NHC tropical points on the current floater you'll see that Lee is NW of the NHC track and possibly heading NW, (looping around again?), and yes he does look better over land now than he did over water. I'm confused here, were is everyone getting NNE from?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

You noticed that too. I would not be surprised to see a small loop, similiar to last night. We still have SSE - S winds here in South Baton Rouge.

I think the loop is deceiving because it appears to me that the convection(without looking at radar)is ramping up around the center. Overall the motion appears to me to be a ragged N or NNE. Definitely the center is W of the forecast points. With the front in N LA now that probably won't last for long.
edit- Just looked at radar. We may have a tilted center as where I thought the center was is not where it is on radar. I think the actual llc is just W or NW of Lafayette but the circulating cdo appears to be further East or NE to me. IMO, Lee is going to have to make sharp right turn to get back to the forecast points.

[Turtle]

I live along I-20 in East Texas and just got a 43 MPH gust. Some of my potted plants have been knocked over!

[crimi481]

I agree - it appears to want to loop around to west side - and right side of storm ( with other "low") -may splkit soon and go N.E.
Just looks that way I guess?
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

[vbhoutex]

I live along I-20 in East Texas and just got a 43 MPH gust. Some of my potted plants have been knocked over!

It has been quite windy here in Houston but I haven't seen any rain, at least on the West side. Gusts have been to 37 mph which I find strange considering how far W of the center we are.

[Raininfyr]

I agree with VB, this looks to be moving more NNW right now. Lord, I am ready for Lee to take a hike, a quick hike.

[bobbisboy]

Anyone notice that Lee isn't following the NCH forecast track by a WIDE bit? comments?

[unconquered]

The winds here are 14 mph, gusting to 23 mph, from NNW. We've had 1.09 inches of rain in the last 24 hours. I think it has been more than that in my area, though.

[rainstorm]

i notice the nhc did shift lees remnants further west of the mountains.

[wxman57]

Is everyone looking at a radar presentation or something concerning NE movement, because I don't see it. I see presently NNW movement and if you turn on the NHC tropical points on the current floater you'll see that Lee is NW of the NHC track and possibly heading NW, (looping around again?), and yes he does look better over land now than he did over water. I'm confused here, were is everyone getting NNE from?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

The center isn't that visible on satellite imagery now, it's best to use radar. I'm measuring a 2-hr movement to 358 degrees (due north) at 11 kts. It's not making a loop, it may well be getting picked up by the approaching cold front. May not be much left of it by morning.

Haven't been able to find any TS wind offshore since early this morning. Looks like a weakening TD now.

[jabman98]

I'm a close to downtown Houston and it's been raining here off and on for an hour. Well, "rain" is a bit generous. It's hardly more than a mist. But it's enough to get the sidewalks a little damp. Is this part of Lee or is the front here already?

[Sanibel]

Another one that would have gone to hurricane had it stayed over the Gulf in my opinion.

[southerngale]

I ended up with a couple of inches of rain from Lee yesterday. While more would have been nice, I was very grateful for what I got! It's been raining off and on today, but nothing like yesterday.

[wxman57]

I'm a close to downtown Houston and it's been raining here off and on for an hour. Well, "rain" is a bit generous. It's hardly more than a mist. But it's enough to get the sidewalks a little damp. Is this part of Lee or is the front here already?

That's the "cold" air coming on down. Strong northerly wind all through Texas with a LOT drier air flowing southward. Some cool nights and mild days ahead.

[wxman57]

I ended up with a couple of inches of rain from Lee yesterday. While more would have been nice, I was very grateful for what I got! It's been raining off and on today, but nothing like yesterday.

Had a good 4 inches at my house in southwest Houston. That's 4 inches between raindrops.

[rainstorm]

Another one that would have gone to hurricane had it stayed over the Gulf in my opinion.

not necessarliy. the gom hasnt produced a major hurricane for the US in some time. even ike in 2008 had a hard time trying to get past cat2.

[jabman98]

I'm a close to downtown Houston and it's been raining here off and on for an hour. Well, "rain" is a bit generous. It's hardly more than a mist. But it's enough to get the sidewalks a little damp. Is this part of Lee or is the front here already?

That's the "cold" air coming on down. Strong northerly wind all through Texas with a LOT drier air flowing southward. Some cool nights and mild days ahead.

Thanks. I can't believe we're getting a front this early. Crazy. The wind is strong with some very strong gusts where I am . Knocking over potted plants and taking off limbs from trees, especially ones that are struggling due to the drought.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

wxman,
in regards to the cold front coming through. You have any thoughts of what some models are showing pertaining to another storm in the gulf on the 10th or 11th. Looks to originate from deep in the BOC. Possibly tailend of this front coming through?

[southerngale]

I ended up with a couple of inches of rain from Lee yesterday. While more would have been nice, I was very grateful for what I got! It's been raining off and on today, but nothing like yesterday.

Had a good 4 inches at my house in southwest Houston. That's 4 inches between raindrops.

LOL! Sorry.... I tried to blow it in your direction, but I guess it didn't make it that far.

[cheezyWXguy]

Another one that would have gone to hurricane had it stayed over the Gulf in my opinion.

not necessarliy. the gom hasnt produced a major hurricane for the US in some time. even ike in 2008 had a hard time trying to get past cat2.

Thats because Ike was massive and suffered some serious structural problems in its path across cuba.

[rainstorm]

PERHAPS, but the pattern has clearly changed since 04/05. the gom just isnt producing due to shear and dry air and that persistent high over texas.