ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[ROCK]

New GFDL turns it north in the Bahamas about 100 miles off the FL coast.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_91.gif

yeah I had my mind on EURO and GFDL came out....

[Ivanhater]

New GFDL turns it north in the Bahamas about 100 miles off the FL coast.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_91.gif

00z GFDL not out yet

[WeatherEmperor]

New GFDL turns it north in the Bahamas about 100 miles off the FL coast.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_91.gif

00z GFDL not out yet

Mike,

its out. you just gotta refresh your browser. i had to do it a couple of times. it shows 00Z

[Evil Jeremy]

New GFDL turns it north in the Bahamas about 100 miles off the FL coast.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_91.gif

00z GFDL not out yet

No, that is the 00z. SFWMD gets it first generally.

[SeminoleWind]

That HWRF looks eerily familiar to Frances

[lebron23]

INITIAL TIME 0Z AUG 1

GFDL 00Z

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT

REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD

NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC

OFFICIAL FORECAST.





FORECAST STORM POSITION



HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)



0 13.1 56.7 275./15.9

6 13.4 57.5 292./ 8.1

12 13.8 58.4 293./ 9.7

18 14.3 59.4 298./11.1

24 14.6 60.5 287./11.4

30 15.2 62.0 293./15.0

36 16.0 63.4 298./15.7

42 16.7 64.8 297./15.8

48 17.2 65.9 296./11.0

54 17.9 67.4 294./16.0

60 18.5 68.9 291./15.2

66 19.1 70.0 300./11.9

72 19.9 71.3 299./14.6

78 20.4 72.9 290./15.8

84 21.5 74.0 313./15.3

90 23.0 74.7 335./16.0

96 24.1 75.7 320./14.8

102 25.2 76.8 316./14.3

108 26.4 77.3 335./13.0

114 27.5 77.7 343./11.5

120 28.5 77.8 351./ 9.7

126 29.3 77.8 3./ 8.0

[WeatherEmperor]

I dont know how many of you watch the UKMET but I will post an update when the 00Z comes out. I suspect it will shift slightly west as well....

[SouthFLTropics]

New GFDL turns it north in the Bahamas about 100 miles off the FL coast.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... orm_91.gif

00z GFDL not out yet

No, that is the 00z. SFWMD gets it first generally.

Something doesn't look right on that graphic...Didn't the CMC at 00z take it into the eastern GOM?

[fci]

Weatherfreak, you still think this is gonna be picked up east of Florida, and thus not be concerned? im not trying to start anything, just asking. its all cool.

Of course I do. The models still forecast the trof...even the recent GFS. I am not ignoring the "trend". The trend has been westward because the storm has taken so long to form. THAT is the element that is changing- not the synoptic pattern.


That however will change soon, and I fully expect future Emily to still be picked up and out to sea probably alot sooner than this recent GFS shows.


Some members are gonna see whatever they want to see, that's fine. This attitude won't change- neither will the model run drama.

I go with a turn east of Florida or path west into Central America/Yucutan.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Ivanhater]

Hmm. are yall sure? The Canadian and HWRF models have not been updated on that map

[Evil Jeremy]

Something doesn't look right on that graphic...Didn't the CMC at 00z take it into the eastern GOM?

That's the 12z. SFWMD updates the CMC at strange intervals.

Hmm. are yall sure? The Canadian and HWRF models have not been updated on that map

Again, strange updating intervals. But that is the 00z GFDL.

[lebron23]

HWRF goes on that map once the 6z BAMS models are out. In about an hour

[Ivanhater]

Well that is confusing

[WeatherEmperor]

Hmm. are yall sure? The Canadian and HWRF models have not been updated on that map

Mike,

The CMC and HWRF do not update on that SFWMD site until around 3am just like the BAMS. The GFDL updates around 2am They have weird update cycles. Not sure why....

[ROCK]

Hmm. are yall sure? The Canadian and HWRF models have not been updated on that map

I thought the GFDL came out after the HWRF but it doesnt matter...EURO running now...

[WeatherEmperor]

Hmm. are yall sure? The Canadian and HWRF models have not been updated on that map

I thought the GFDL came out after the HWRF but it doesnt matter...EURO running now...

Whats the EURO showing right now?

[Ivanhater]

Learn something new everyday

What a major shift west we have seen throughout today. I wonder what tomorrow will bring?

[Evil Jeremy]

EURO 48 hours south of PR
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif

[dwsqos2]

Well, hour 48 of the Euro is the weakest solution yet. People might be counting their chickens before they hatch by calling this future Emily.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Ivanhater]

Long range 00z Canadian...landfall Pensacola/Destin