ATL: EMILY - Remnants

Swimdude · #2221 Postby **Swimdude** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:07 pm

ozonepete wrote:
Swimdude wrote:Anyone else watching the feature at 14.8N / 54.8W?

That's what we're all watching.

Even after watching the tropics for 10 years... I still have to make sure I'm on the same page as everyone else sometimes!

Aric Dunn · #2222 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:08 pm

72 hours.. about 100 wsw of 18z.. trough lifting out faster and more ridging

stormreader · #2223 Postby **stormreader** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:09 pm

GOM???

#2224 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:09 pm

Yet another shift west :wink:

Aric Dunn · #2225 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:09 pm

stormreader wrote:GOM???

no

#2226 Postby **MGC** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:09 pm

I still think the east twin will be the one to eventually close off a surface low. Been thinking that since this afternoon. Would have posted but the internet at the mother-in-laws went out during a thunderstorm this afternoon. It was an interesting set up with two potential lows forming. I can not recall a pair of lows forming so close together. I remember a few season ago when a wave with a strong MCL was located in the same place as 91L is now. A surface low didn't close off till after it passed through the islands. Not saying this will happen with 91L but it is possible. The delay in formation could result in a westward track....we shall see tomorrow then the plane samples the disturbance........MGC

#2227 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:09 pm

My summary of what happened today. Feel free to correct me. If and when 91L becomes Emily I will begin writing forecasts:

http://wp.me/p1xnuB-3U

Aric Dunn · #2228 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:10 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Yet another shift west

the ridging is whats really important..

boca · #2229 Postby **boca** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:10 pm

I think this wont get out of the Caribbean and slam into the Yucatan.

Bocadude85 · #2230 Postby **Bocadude85** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:12 pm

boca wrote:I think this wont get out of the Caribbean and slam into the Yucatan.

I am starting to get that feeling also

cheezyWXguy · #2231 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:12 pm

MGC wrote:I still think the east twin will be the one to eventually close off a surface low. Been thinking that since this afternoon. Would have posted but the internet at the mother-in-laws went out during a thunderstorm this afternoon. It was an interesting set up with two potential lows forming. I can not recall a pair of lows forming so close together. I remember a few season ago when a wave with a strong MCL was located in the same place as 91L is now. A surface low didn't close off till after it passed through the islands. Not saying this will happen with 91L but it is possible. The delay in formation could result in a westward track....we shall see tomorrow then the plane samples the disturbance........MGC

there are no east/west separate entities anymore. They have been merging to one all evening are very close to becoming one entity if they have not already. Unfortunately it is nighttime, so its hard to say if in fact the llc and mlc have become stacked yet, but signs are pointing towards it attm

#2232 Postby **SFLcane** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:13 pm

@ 90hrs north of cuba approaching the se bahamas....

Miami Storm Tracker · #2233 Postby **Miami Storm Tracker** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:14 pm

Evening Ivan hater,

earlier you had ask people when quoting someone to remove the tab. So I do it correctly when I post a quote/ reply, can you explain how that is done. Thanks in advance.

Aric Dunn · #2234 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:14 pm

if it survives hispanola this run ... with all the increased ridging .. it will likely end up over florida..

#2235 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:16 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Evening Ivan hater,

earlier you had ask people when quoting someone to remove the tab. So I do it correctly when I post a quote/ reply, can you explain how that is done. Thanks in advance.

No problem..just delete IMG when you hit reply.

SouthFLTropics · #2236 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:17 pm

As I said earlier...I'm getting that Frances feeling all over again. Frances slowed down to a crawl as she passed directly over my head. Thought she would never leave. If this thing gets trapped on our doorstep I think it is feasible that we could see another slow moving system in our vicinity. :grr:

Also, let's not forget Fay which visited about every part of Florida during her few days here. When the ridge traps them sometimes there is no where to go.

SFT

#2237 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:17 pm

102: Skimming Cuban coastline:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_102l.gif

SouthFLTropics · #2238 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:19 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:102: Skimming Cuban coastline:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_102l.gif

The image I'm seeing is showing it on the North coast of the DR

SFT

Aric Dunn · #2239 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:19 pm

check out the ridging of SC .. and the difference in track..

00z

Miami Storm Tracker · #2240 Postby **Miami Storm Tracker** » Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:19 pm

Aric,

I always enjoy your post and follow them closely, I know it's so many days out and not even a storm yet. But the trend has been west, where in FLA do you feel it may end up if it does?

ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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