ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[weatherSnoop]

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HDOB 26

[bamajammer4eva]

Looks like on long range radar that the center(possible mid level) is moving on shore between Grand Isle and Vermilion Bay.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Still not expected to move inland till Sunday as of 10pm Advisory

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.0N 91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

[LaBreeze]

So, is Lee going "poof" - especially on the west and south sides?

[PerdidoGirl]

Absolutely pouring down with some good wind gusts here in Pensacola right now.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Who knows. Guess we will find out in just a few when the new advisory comes out. Also recon is out there right now as well.

[weatherSnoop]

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Just a snapshot of what the gulfstream was up to as TD 13

[SoupBone]

So, is Lee going "poof" - especially on the west and south sides?

From what I've been watching, he's taking in some dry air on both the west and south side. I'm in no way writing him off, but it's an encouraging sight so far.

[BigB0882]

Our local met just mentioned how Lee is strengthening right now. Did he even bother to look at the map he was showing us? Also said it should move in faster than thought but not sure where he got that from, haven't heard much about the models today.

[Terry]

Our local met just mentioned how Lee is strengthening right now. Did he even bother to look at the map he was showing us? Also said it should move in faster than thought but not sure where he got that from, haven't heard much about the models today.

NHC said in the new advisory that Lee is strenghtening.

[Annie Oakley]

URNT15 KNHC 030303
AF306 0413A LEE HDOB 27 20110903
025400 2748N 09321W 8431 01515 //// +172 //// 021025 025 031 001 01
025430 2746N 09321W 8430 01517 //// +172 //// 014025 026 031 000 01
025500 2744N 09321W 8430 01516 //// +175 //// 009026 026 030 000 01
025530 2742N 09321W 8432 01515 //// +175 //// 012025 026 029 000 01
025600 2740N 09321W 8430 01516 //// +174 //// 016024 024 028 001 01
025630 2738N 09321W 8428 01519 //// +177 //// 013024 024 028 000 01
025700 2736N 09321W 8430 01517 //// +177 //// 014024 025 026 001 01
025730 2735N 09321W 8433 01516 //// +176 //// 016023 025 025 000 01
025800 2733N 09321W 8430 01519 //// +176 //// 009022 023 021 001 01
025830 2731N 09321W 8427 01520 //// +174 //// 014021 022 026 001 05
025900 2729N 09321W 8433 01512 //// +177 //// 011023 024 027 002 01
025930 2727N 09321W 8429 01517 //// +179 //// 005022 022 025 000 01
030000 2725N 09321W 8429 01517 //// +180 //// 005023 024 027 001 01
030030 2724N 09321W 8433 01515 //// +181 //// 012021 022 024 001 01
030100 2722N 09321W 8429 01520 //// +180 //// 016022 022 023 001 01
030130 2720N 09321W 8431 01517 //// +180 //// 018023 023 022 000 01
030200 2718N 09321W 8429 01520 //// +183 //// 012021 022 021 000 01
030230 2716N 09321W 8430 01517 //// +183 //// 007019 020 022 000 01
030300 2714N 09321W 8429 01517 //// +183 //// 358020 020 020 001 01
030330 2713N 09321W 8431 01515 //// +181 //// 356019 020 020 002 01
$$
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[Turtle]

5 day cone updated. I now think there is no chance that Texas will not get any decent rainfall.

[bamajammer4eva]

Our local met just mentioned how Lee is strengthening right now. Did he even bother to look at the map he was showing us? Also said it should move in faster than thought but not sure where he got that from, haven't heard much about the models today.

I dunno NHC says theres a burst of convection expending in size near the center. Perhaps that what hes going by.

TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011

SATALLITE...SURFACE...AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT
LEE HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD THIS EVENING. THE CENTER IS
LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT
DEVELOPED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND HAS BEEN EXPANDING IN SIZE THIS
EVENING. WIND REPORTS FROM BUOYS AND OIL RIGS OVER THE GULF AND
DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT INTENSITY OF THE TROPICAL
STORM REMAINS AROUND 40 KT.

[SunnyThoughts]

tropical storm warnings extended eastward to the fla/ala line. Also tropical storm watch now in effect from Pensacola to Destin.

[weatherSnoop]

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HDOB 27

Looks like we should get another center reading soon

[SoupBone]

I don't doubt he's getting some nice convective bursts near the center, but if you look at the overall picture, IMHO his strengthening time is limited if he continues to eat that Texas air. Just my humble opinion...nothing more.

[BigB0882]

Well if he is strengthening then looks can certainly be deceiving. That blob to the Northeast is maintaining and expanding so I guess everything may consolidate there.

[gone2beach]

And just by looking at the cone, you can see that the center is still in S. Central MS Monday evening. Circulation just keeps going over and over the same location. I hope it speeds up!!

[Annie Oakley]

URNT15 KNHC 030313
AF306 0413A LEE HDOB 28 20110903
030400 2711N 09321W 8431 01517 //// +184 //// 354020 020 021 000 01
030430 2709N 09321W 8430 01517 //// +186 //// 354018 020 021 001 05
030500 2708N 09320W 8429 01518 //// +187 //// 354015 016 /// /// 05
030530 2709N 09318W 8433 01516 //// +189 //// 001016 016 023 000 05
030600 2710N 09317W 8429 01520 //// +182 //// 002015 016 022 001 01
030630 2711N 09316W 8430 01518 //// +185 //// 002016 016 023 000 01
030700 2711N 09314W 8429 01518 //// +185 //// 358015 015 022 001 01
030730 2712N 09313W 8430 01517 //// +185 //// 002016 016 020 002 01
030800 2713N 09312W 8432 01514 //// +186 //// 012016 017 023 000 01
030830 2714N 09310W 8428 01517 //// +180 //// 011018 019 021 001 01
030900 2715N 09309W 8432 01512 //// +184 //// 014020 020 021 000 01
030930 2716N 09308W 8432 01512 //// +180 //// 013018 019 021 001 01
031000 2717N 09306W 8429 01514 //// +180 //// 008018 020 022 002 01
031030 2718N 09305W 8428 01515 //// +176 //// 008015 016 023 000 01
031100 2719N 09303W 8432 01510 //// +177 //// 009014 014 026 001 01
031130 2720N 09302W 8430 01511 //// +175 //// 009015 016 024 001 01
031200 2721N 09301W 8430 01512 //// +178 //// 008016 017 021 001 01
031230 2722N 09259W 8431 01512 //// +180 //// 008016 016 021 000 01
031300 2723N 09258W 8432 01511 //// +180 //// 002014 015 023 001 01
031330 2724N 09257W 8430 01512 //// +178 //// 359013 014 024 001 01
$$
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[Viper54r]

There is a lot of misinformation taking place the last few pages, Lee is not weakening at all...the CDO is condensing and becoming more vertically stacked.

Outflow dissipating does not = weakening

[SoupBone]

There is a lot of misinformation taking place the last few pages, Lee is not weakening at all...the CDO is condensing and becoming more vertically stacked.

Outflow dissipating does not = weakening

Where's the misinformation? This is a discussion board and I see people discussing Lee.