ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Canelaw99]

Lovely week we seem to have ahead here in S Fla. Today/tomorrow will be prep days it seems, unless something drastically changes. Hoping all our island friends stay safe

[bella_may]

The local Mets here said the track could shift west again today

[jinftl]

By Wednesday for sure if the forecast holds....that would probably be the day that we are put under some type of watch.

Lovely week we seem to have ahead here in S Fla. Today/tomorrow will be prep days it seems, unless something drastically changes. Hoping all our island friends stay safe

[Kory]

The local Mets here said the track could shift west again today

I think he means east. The center will north of where the GFS forecasted and where the NHC track is.

[bella_may]

The local Mets here said the track could shift west again today

I think he means east. The center will north of where the GFS forecasted and where the NHC track is.

No. He said west. LOL

[Canelaw99]

Yep...sounds about right. I, for one, prefer to avoid Publix with the masses so I will do it early lol. Will do a quick survey of the backyard too. I see many hours spent on S2K this week, that's for sure!

By Wednesday for sure if the forecast holds....that would probably be the day that we are put under some type of watch.

Lovely week we seem to have ahead here in S Fla. Today/tomorrow will be prep days it seems, unless something drastically changes. Hoping all our island friends stay safe

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211244
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 15 20110821
123430 1549N 06122W 8429 01582 //// +175 //// 187021 022 015 001 05
123500 1548N 06121W 8429 01582 //// +175 //// 183021 022 017 001 01
123530 1547N 06120W 8429 01582 //// +175 //// 184021 021 018 001 01
123600 1546N 06119W 8430 01582 //// +173 //// 182021 021 019 001 01
123630 1545N 06118W 8430 01581 //// +175 //// 187020 020 020 001 01
123700 1544N 06117W 8432 01581 //// +173 //// 185020 022 021 000 01
123730 1543N 06116W 8428 01585 //// +174 //// 186020 020 020 000 01
123800 1542N 06115W 8429 01584 //// +173 //// 184020 020 018 000 01
123830 1540N 06113W 8429 01584 //// +176 //// 176021 021 011 001 01
123900 1539N 06112W 8428 01585 //// +179 //// 178020 021 015 000 01
123930 1538N 06111W 8430 01582 //// +181 //// 177019 019 016 000 01
124000 1537N 06110W 8430 01585 //// +184 //// 167022 023 015 000 01
124030 1536N 06109W 8430 01583 //// +180 //// 171022 022 014 000 01
124100 1535N 06108W 8431 01585 //// +177 //// 171022 022 013 000 01
124130 1534N 06107W 8429 01587 //// +180 //// 169022 022 015 000 01
124200 1533N 06106W 8430 01585 //// +184 //// 174021 022 013 000 01
124230 1532N 06105W 8429 01585 //// +186 //// 176019 020 013 000 01
124300 1531N 06104W 8430 01581 //// +186 //// 175019 019 015 000 01
124330 1529N 06103W 8429 01580 //// +185 //// 175018 018 015 000 01
124400 1529N 06103W 8429 01580 //// +185 //// 173018 019 012 001 05
$$
;


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml

[jinftl]

No question this will be the top news story on the local news...starting today. Already received my sun-sentinel cone on the phone....Channel 7 should be sending theirs out any time now!!!

Yep...sounds about right. I, for one, prefer to avoid Publix with the masses so I will do it early lol. Will do a quick survey of the backyard too. I see many hours spent on S2K this week, that's for sure!

By Wednesday for sure if the forecast holds....that would probably be the day that we are put under some type of watch.

Lovely week we seem to have ahead here in S Fla. Today/tomorrow will be prep days it seems, unless something drastically changes. Hoping all our island friends stay safe

[jpigott]

wxman, delta, other pro mets - any change in thoughts this morning re track and intensity given the new model guidance and relocation of the center further north?

[tolakram]

[Kory]

Irene is headed more WNW this morning. Could make a landfall on the southside of Puerto Rico and cross the northside of Haiti. This is currently north of the NHC track.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[jinftl]

That is the latest track!!!

Irene is headed more WNW this morning. Could make a landfall on the southside of Puerto Rico and cross the northside of Haiti. This is currently north of the NHC track.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[tolakram]

Live Loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

They are trying to get some rapid capture but this never works well with whatever instrument is used to get the hurricane sector images.

[Blown Away]

I have a feeling if Irene skirts along the northern side of Hispaniola and stays N of Cuba these models will blow up the intensity.

[Gustywind]

Irene

[hipshot]

Another saved pic at 12z.

In that pic do I see the center trying to clear out could it be starting to form an eye wall?

I wanted to ask the same question but didn't want to look too stupid. To my very untrained eye
it sure looks like it though.

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211254
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 16 20110821
124430 1528N 06100W 8427 01579 //// +185 //// 167019 020 /// /// 05
124500 1530N 06059W 8426 01582 //// +185 //// 158020 020 012 002 05
124530 1531N 06100W 8430 01576 //// +185 //// 157020 020 014 001 01
124600 1533N 06100W 8429 01577 //// +185 //// 154021 021 014 000 01
124630 1535N 06101W 8430 01576 //// +185 //// 155022 022 015 000 01
124700 1537N 06101W 8429 01577 //// +186 //// 157022 022 014 000 01
124730 1539N 06101W 8430 01576 //// +190 //// 160022 022 013 000 05
124800 1540N 06102W 8428 01579 //// +190 //// 155023 024 013 001 01
124830 1542N 06102W 8430 01575 //// +185 //// 151025 025 015 001 01
124900 1544N 06102W 8430 01574 //// +180 //// 154025 025 017 001 01
124930 1546N 06103W 8429 01575 //// +179 //// 155025 025 016 001 01
125000 1548N 06103W 8432 01571 //// +176 //// 155025 026 015 000 05
125030 1550N 06103W 8428 01575 //// +180 //// 156023 024 017 001 01
125100 1551N 06104W 8430 01574 //// +179 //// 158024 025 017 000 01
125130 1553N 06104W 8431 01573 //// +177 //// 157026 026 016 001 01
125200 1555N 06104W 8429 01574 //// +178 //// 156025 025 016 001 01
125230 1557N 06105W 8431 01571 //// +180 //// 156025 025 019 000 01
125300 1559N 06105W 8429 01575 //// +180 //// 158025 025 019 001 01
125330 1601N 06105W 8429 01575 //// +180 //// 160025 025 019 001 01
125400 1603N 06105W 8429 01575 //// +180 //// 160026 026 019 000 01
$$
;

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml

[Aric Dunn]

ITs actually moved NW since 10z or about 3hrs.. most likely due to the large amount of convection to its north pulling it. should resume a more wnw track soon and likely intensify pretty quickly considering there is already a bit of a inner core.

[jpigott]

What is recon finding this morning in the way of winds?

[Aric Dunn]

Another saved pic at 12z.

In that pic do I see the center trying to clear out could it be starting to form an eye wall?

I wanted to ask the same question but didn't want to look too stupid. To my very untrained eye
it sure looks like it though.

Although on radar there is a "eye wall" feature the satellite feature there is the dry air slot that has finally worked all the way into the core. that should soon go away and more convection should increase over the next few hours.

easy to see the dry slot work around the system


http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?116