ATL: KATIA - Post Tropical - Discussion

Battlebrick · #1141 Postby **Battlebrick** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:38 pm

is that turning west?

Aric Dunn · #1142 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:39 pm

ok thats creepy ... sorry but thats such an andrew track right now my the world famous Euro.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html straight wesst. riding the 25 north line like its train tracks.. large ridge building in to the north ..

straight west to florida this run.. ?

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

#1143 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:40 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:ok thats creepy ... sorry but thats such an andrew track right now my the world famous Euro.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html straight wesst. riding the 25 north line like its train tracks.. large ridge building in to the north ..

straight west to florida this run.. ?

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

Not good, not good at all.... :grr:

Now that the Euro is on board, watch out (I said that earlier)

There are no trough left over North America after that one trough that is pulling out. Classic early September setup :eek:

caneseddy · #1144 Postby **caneseddy** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:40 pm

[quote="Aric Dunn"]ok thats creepy ... sorry but thats such an andrew track right now my the world famous Euro.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html straight wesst. riding the 25 north line like its train tracks.. large ridge building in to the north ..

straight west to florida this run.. ?

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html[/quote

Euro is almost a replica of the "A" storm in track and intensity. Good thing it's way out there but this is what makes the tropics interesting :eek:

Meteorcane · #1145 Postby **Meteorcane** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:42 pm

What the heck is the Euro doing..... it is just one run, but it is the Euro, anyway Lee is causing the CONUS enough problems in that run.

otowntiger · #1146 Postby **otowntiger** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:42 pm

[quote="Jevo"]12z Euro +168

What maddness is this

That image, while indicating that the two high's are maybe starting to bridge, there still is a big weakness between them that, to me, would portend a more northward movement from that last position.

#1147 Postby **blazess556** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:43 pm

12z Euro from 144 hrs to 168 hrs moves Katia almost due west. It is probably a 275-280 heading during those 24 hrs.

Aric Dunn · #1148 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:43 pm

blazess556 wrote:12z Euro from 144 hrs to 168 hrs moves Katia almost due west. It is probably a 275-280 heading during those 24 hrs.

actually it drops ever so slight below the 25n line. could be wsw. .lol

Aric Dunn · #1149 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:44 pm

well now I am very curious to see the 00z runs of the euro and gfs tonight..

#1150 Postby **fci** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:44 pm

otowntiger wrote:
Jevo wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:

Theyre all in TalkinTropics freaking out oer the system the Euro develops in the GOM

12z Euro +144

Well they're not in "Talkin' Tropics" anymore. Its an active storm , invest 93L.

Well Excuuuuuuuuussseeeeee Me

LoL thanks for the update

Shame on you, 93L thread was up for 17 minutes when you posted!!!!! :jk:

#1151 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:45 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:well now I am very curious to see the 00z runs of the euro and gfs tonight..

Definitely, the 18Z BAMs are bending now also.....

#1152 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:46 pm

18z Best Track

60kts

AL, 12, 2011083118, , BEST, 0, 144N, 417W, 60, 990, TS

#1153 Postby **blazess556** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:47 pm

Wow. Continue to move due west from 168-192 hrs. now at 25 N 68 W

#1154 Postby **Jevo** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:47 pm

12z Euro +192

................ @#$@#$ Going to need a Floyd right hook here soon

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Aric Dunn · #1155 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:48 pm

yep slightly south of west at 192 hours.. thats a crazy crazy shift in synoptic thinking.. but we all were saying something does not seem right with the models from the beginning.. now i think they are all starting to get things better..

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

KWT · #1156 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:48 pm

Yep due west at 192hrs still, upper trough weakening to its north and flattening out.

very interesting run, thats all I'll say for now!

Aric Dunn · #1157 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:49 pm

Jevo wrote:12z Euro +192

................ >>@#$@#$%@#$%@#$!@

[img]http://img695.imageshack.us/img695/7757/12zeurotropical500mbslp.if[/i\g]

Uploaded with [url=http://imageshack.us]ImageShackus[/ul]

let me add.....!!!)(%(^*$*^&$*^*(^*^ !!!!!!!!!!!!

and *^*($(%()@)%^*&(&)

well that should be a interesting track to take.. its also similar to IKE ... a little

#1158 Postby **blazess556** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:50 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
blazess556 wrote:12z Euro from 144 hrs to 168 hrs moves Katia almost due west. It is probably a 275-280 heading during those 24 hrs.

actually it drops ever so slight below the 25n line. could be wsw. .lol

Yeah. this is quite a run from the Euro. Lifts the trough out and replaces it with a strengthening ridge. weenie solution though.

#1159 Postby **Jevo** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:50 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:yep slightly south of west at 192 hours.. thats a crazy crazy shift in synoptic thinking.. but we all were saying something does not seem right with the models from the beginning.. now i think they are all starting to get things better..

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

yeah the 12z GFS was very confused with what to do with Katia for almost 2 days mid run...

#1160 Postby **Jevo** » Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:51 pm

12z GFS +216

My Floyd hook?

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

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