ATL: MATTHEW - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#701 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

lonelymike wrote:
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?



Euros out around 2am CDT. If you stay up that late you can listen to play by play and expert analysis from Ivan and Rock.


:lol: :lol: nah heading in after this....WX Warrior and Ivan can take over... :D
0 likes   
Top
BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:
Contact BigB0882

#702 Postby BigB0882 » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

Now the cut off low is down to MS? Really?
0 likes   
Top
paintplaye
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 380
Joined: Sun Jul 20, 2008 11:25 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#703 Postby paintplaye » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

Main vort stays stationary and it seems like another system is what moves NE:

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

Re: Re:

#704 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
Vortex wrote:frontal passage through tallahassee at h132


If I'm thinking correctly on 9/24/2010 at 12:24AM anyone who is behind the front should be safe from 95L then...Right?

SFT


lol :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re:

#705 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Now the cut off low is down to MS? Really?


hard to imagine huh? but thats what its saying..... :D
0 likes   
Top
JTD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:35 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#706 Postby JTD » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _150.shtml

Approaching west/central Cuba
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#707 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

lonelymike wrote:
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?



Euros out around 2am CDT. If you stay up that late you can listen to play by play and expert analysis from Ivan and Rock.


and they sure do give some darn good play by play and expert analysis. :wink: trust me, its worth staying up for.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#708 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:28 pm

H150 strenthening and riding 80w to the north..amazing to be on the spot for the 4th straight run


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#709 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

156hr...still there.....you know that thingy in the back of your throat...kinda looks like that doesnt it... :lol:

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#710 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

Nope..I'm out as well..PT in the wee hours and long day tomorrow :D
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#711 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

wouldnt be surprised if this comes due N then nnw as a result of the upper low...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re:

#712 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

Vortex wrote:H150 strenthening and riding 80w to the north..amazing to be on the spot for the 4th straight run


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif


The Hurricane King analogy comes to mind again...If this plays out I think it will be fair to say that 2010 and 1950 are for all intents and purposes identical...

SFT
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
lonelymike
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Sat Jul 26, 2008 10:12 am
Location: walton county fla

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#713 Postby lonelymike » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

Of course Ivan has that pesky pt thing at 515am but that won't stop him :P
0 likes   


GO SEMINOLES
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#714 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

156hr 850mb

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#715 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:32 pm

So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#716 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

weird...looking.

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#717 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

345Z sat image...coming together nicely now..convection firing right over center...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#718 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

Hmmm in the Gulf along the west coast of Florida as the cut off low backs NW

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#719 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:34 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT


ensembles were split..GFS has been south of its ensemble the entire time...I also think its suffering from some feedback issues.....bad case of it.....looks like two lows merge there...
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#720 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:35 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT


That is a question that I always wanted to ask. Does the operation usually follow the ensembles or do the ensembles follow the operational?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests