ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#681 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:13 pm

84hr 500mb...there it is....

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#682 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:14 pm

H84 sitting over the gulf of honduras..slightly stronger



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_084l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#683 Postby blp » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:15 pm

Did not loose any strength while it was briefly over Nicaragua.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#684 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:15 pm

96hr.....

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#685 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:16 pm

ROCK wrote:96hr.....

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That cut off low is certainly impressive for this time of year...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#686 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:16 pm

Looks like here comes the cut off...

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#687 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:17 pm

so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#688 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:17 pm

114hr.....megatron is still in Arkansas

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Last edited by ROCK on Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#689 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:18 pm

H108 still sitting over gulf of honduras...

Upper low digging...will it miss the connection?





http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_108l.gif
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#690 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:20 pm

Vortex wrote:H108 still sitting over gulf of honduras...

Upper low digging...will it miss the connection?





http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_108l.gif



It hasn't yet...I can't imagine that it will miss it unless the cut off weakens or isn't as strong as advertised...

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#691 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:20 pm

I dont think its digging much...96-114hr is basically in the same spot...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#692 Postby JTD » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:22 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _132.shtml

Noticeable east movement.
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#693 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:22 pm

H132 moving NE S of Cuba....looks like every other run so far for the last 6



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_132l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#694 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:22 pm

132hr ever so slightly east...I cant believe I am tracking a cut off low.... :lol: shameful.....

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#695 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:22 pm

The UL was near the ArkLaTx on the 12Z if I recall correctly. This run is further NE by a couple of hundred miles. Trends folks. :wink:
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#696 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:23 pm

frontal passage through tallahassee at h132
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#697 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:24 pm

what will happen if the upper low moves out quicker? a possible louisiana landfall?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#698 Postby lonelymike » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:24 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?



Euros out around 2am CDT. If you stay up that late you can listen to play by play and expert analysis from Ivan and Rock.
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#699 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

prior runs almost all ran due north at 18/80...well find out in a minute
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Re:

#700 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

Vortex wrote:frontal passage through tallahassee at h132


If I'm thinking correctly on 9/24/2010 at 12:24AM anyone who is behind the front should be safe from 95L then...Right?

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