ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

That happens when you're too far east!! lol

[ROCK]

models had been all over this one for awhile....soon to be Fiona looks decent after splash down....probably take a day or two to organize but got to beleive it will be a TS at some point.

If 10.5 is correct for best track that is wayyy south and very well could miss any weakness if it organizes slower.....

[KWT]

Wow Hurakan you can't even see the system or anything there!

Slowly getting better organised from the looks of things, but it'll probably take a little bit of time to organise itself but looks like it will get better organised...looks like another CV system in the making!

[poof121]

That should tell you what the NHC thinks about 97L's chances. I don't think I've ever seen them put a floater on a system before GOES-East could see it.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

1009mb low now analized in latest Surface Analysis by the TPC

[StormClouds63]

This system appears that it will organize rather quickly. I'm assuming that would lend more credence to the pattern established by Danielle and Earl (I won't use the "f" word or "r" word). I don't think we've got an Emily (2005) or Ivan (2004), but it's too early to rule out an impact for the Islands, Puerto Rico, DR, or even south Florida.

97L already looks better than Colin or Bonnie.

Weakness in the Atlantic could set up a pattern like 1969 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1969/index.html, 1995 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1969/index.html, or 1998 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1998/index.html

If the Atlantic ridge doesn't build back in soon, the early comparisons with 1997 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2007/index.html won't hold up.

[TheBurn]

[Gustywind]

Another train of twaves or it's my untrained eyes? 1, 2 or even 3 others...

[curtadams]

This is certainly the year of the really good looking invests.

[KWT]

The thing is the invests right now look better then Bonnie and even Colin for most of the time!

[HURAKAN]

CODE RED

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 26 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND ON
TROPICAL STORM EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1620 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE
LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT
15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

[HURAKAN]

Luis, I was able to beat you for a few seconds!!! lol

[cycloneye]

LOL thats ok Sandy.

[HurrMark]

This system appears that it will organize rather quickly. I'm assuming that would lend more credence to the pattern established by Danielle and Earl (I won't use the "f" word or "r" word). I don't think we've got an Emily (2005) or Ivan (2004), but it's too early to rule out an impact for the Islands, Puerto Rico, DR, or even south Florida.

97L already looks better than Colin or Bonnie.

Weakness in the Atlantic could set up a pattern like 1969 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1969/index.html, 1995 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1969/index.html, or 1998 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1998/index.html

If the Atlantic ridge doesn't build back in soon, the early comparisons with 1997 http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2007/index.html won't hold up.

Outside Camille, 1969 was actually a pretty quiet season for the US...not for the fish, though. Gerda would have probably held people's attention, though...

[gatorcane]

Wave looks to be moving westward at 15 to 20mph instead of WNW. This one would likely have the highest chance of the trio to impact the Caribbean or U.S. down the line. Problem is that it may get sucked up by Earl ultimately which appears to be a recurver for the U.S and I still think the islands as well.

[Vortex]

looking great!! TD with first vis in the morning and probablly fiona by COB Friday...Could be a long tracker...

[HURAKAN]

fast developer! gotta love the peak of the season!!!

[Vortex]

what a beauty in the making..........

[Vortex]

This is what we with for

[Ivanhater]

Not the peak yet