ATL: KARL - Models
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
12z CMC makes a trip thru the Greater Antilles,then intensifies in the Bahamas.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
and looks to be moving north and cutting in front of Igor @ the end of run.
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12Z Nogaps takes system to eastern cuba/se bahamas at day 5...very consistent with this.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Nogaps H+168 approaching S.FL and strengthening.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
The first GFDL run: Ends on the eastern tip of Cuba.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
WHXX04 KWBC 091744
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 92L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 9
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 12.4 60.4 280./ 5.0
6 12.0 60.6 199./ 4.6
12 11.9 60.7 257./ 1.8
18 11.7 60.7 171./ 1.9
24 12.2 60.8 347./ 5.3
30 12.7 61.0 336./ 4.6
36 13.1 61.0 8./ 4.8
42 13.8 61.5 317./ 8.3
48 14.5 62.3 310./10.4
54 15.3 63.0 323./10.1
60 16.0 64.4 298./15.7
66 16.5 65.6 290./12.2
72 16.9 67.3 283./16.9
78 17.0 68.4 279./11.2
84 17.2 69.6 278./11.5
90 17.3 70.7 276./ 9.7
96 17.6 71.9 282./12.5
102 18.4 73.1 304./13.3
108 18.7 73.9 291./ 8.6
114 19.0 74.7 290./ 7.7
120 19.3 75.6 291./ 9.1
126 19.8 76.2 311./ 7.7
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
WHXX04 KWBC 091744
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 92L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 9
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 12.4 60.4 280./ 5.0
6 12.0 60.6 199./ 4.6
12 11.9 60.7 257./ 1.8
18 11.7 60.7 171./ 1.9
24 12.2 60.8 347./ 5.3
30 12.7 61.0 336./ 4.6
36 13.1 61.0 8./ 4.8
42 13.8 61.5 317./ 8.3
48 14.5 62.3 310./10.4
54 15.3 63.0 323./10.1
60 16.0 64.4 298./15.7
66 16.5 65.6 290./12.2
72 16.9 67.3 283./16.9
78 17.0 68.4 279./11.2
84 17.2 69.6 278./11.5
90 17.3 70.7 276./ 9.7
96 17.6 71.9 282./12.5
102 18.4 73.1 304./13.3
108 18.7 73.9 291./ 8.6
114 19.0 74.7 290./ 7.7
120 19.3 75.6 291./ 9.1
126 19.8 76.2 311./ 7.7
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
Models are useless. That's why there all over the map. Better off watching your favorite cartoon when we were kids. Until there's a name there is NO game.
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hurricanelonny
- SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
cycloneye wrote:The first GFDL run: Ends on the eastern tip of Cuba.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
WHXX04 KWBC 091744
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 92L
INITIAL TIME 12Z SEP 9
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 12.4 60.4 280./ 5.0
6 12.0 60.6 199./ 4.6
12 11.9 60.7 257./ 1.8
18 11.7 60.7 171./ 1.9
24 12.2 60.8 347./ 5.3
30 12.7 61.0 336./ 4.6
36 13.1 61.0 8./ 4.8
42 13.8 61.5 317./ 8.3
48 14.5 62.3 310./10.4
54 15.3 63.0 323./10.1
60 16.0 64.4 298./15.7
66 16.5 65.6 290./12.2
72 16.9 67.3 283./16.9
78 17.0 68.4 279./11.2
84 17.2 69.6 278./11.5
90 17.3 70.7 276./ 9.7
96 17.6 71.9 282./12.5
102 18.4 73.1 304./13.3
108 18.7 73.9 291./ 8.6
114 19.0 74.7 290./ 7.7
120 19.3 75.6 291./ 9.1
126 19.8 76.2 311./ 7.7
If I'm not mistaken that last heading of 311 would be on a track towards South Florida...Hmmm...
SFT
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Fourth Generation Floridian...With lots of storm knowledge passed down from my elders...
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
Modelsre all over the place, the main problem is not the longer range where the models actually nearly all agree on a W/WNW motion, but in the first 72hrs where some models track NW/NNW whilst others barely get it beyond WNW.
Big uncertainties folks...leads to entertaining threads!
Big uncertainties folks...leads to entertaining threads!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
i wouldn't want to venture into specific areas but there is a significant lat. gain, if that trend continues ...uh..oh.....
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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Re: ATL : 92L - Models
that last one makes Igor look like it will head into the GOM
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