Looks like its pretty close to land now but probably will remain just offshore.
Either way it looks like its close to a depression again right now, and recon may well find enough evidence to upgrade this system, we will have to wait and see!
ATL: Remnants of PAULA - Discussion
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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AdamFirst
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Re: ATL : INVEST 98L - Discussion
Unless satellite presentation is stellar and land observations support it, I think the NHC will hold off on upgrading this one until recon has made its runs...5 PM.
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HURAKAN
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There needs to be better communication.
805 TWD:
"CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES
W-NW TO NW AT 5 TO 10 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. "
800 TWO:
"CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A
HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS."
805 TWD:
"CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES
W-NW TO NW AT 5 TO 10 KT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. "
800 TWO:
"CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS THIS SYSTEMS MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A
HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS."
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SouthDadeFish
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL : INVEST 98L - Discussion
Sandy,Best Track has an updated new position.
AL, 98, 2010101112, , BEST, 0, 154N, 830W, 25, 1007, LO
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
AL, 98, 2010101112, , BEST, 0, 154N, 830W, 25, 1007, LO
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Yeah it sure does look like a TC right now, the closeness to land however may prevent recon from being able to totally confirm it, but I think with this one its pretty evident its a TC right now.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cyclonic chronic
i dont understand why they wouldnt upgrade it to a t.d. and give watches and warnings to the portion of central america that its affecting. theres gotta be a closed surface circulation or it wouldnt look the way it does. they named a trough a few weeks ago but not this? hmm. just curious as to their thinking.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 98L - Discussion
Yeah I actually would like to know why it has not been numbered, I hate to criticize the work of the NHC but this time they seem to be inconsistent as they have numbered worse looking systems this season (TD 2 and TD 5 for example).
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Its probably just the fact that recon is going to fly in there soon so may as well wait for 100% confirmation first...should be higher then 60% though at the moment I'd go with 80%.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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