ATL: GASTON - Models

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Re: ATL: NINE - Models

#221 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:57 pm

AdamFirst wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
Image


ITS GOING TO MIAMI! EVERYONE PANIC![/quot


Out of the big ol state of florida you had to pick miami.
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#222 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:59 pm

Again, remove IMG tags when quoting.
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#223 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:05 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:This one will be interesting!!


Meaning? ( Not to be rude Mr KFDM) Does that mean something....in the near future....somewhere..??
Track could be farther south and certainly could enter the Carribbean and not turn like the others. Of course all depends on the 500 pattern on down the road.
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#224 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:06 pm

Euro ensembles suggest further south into the Caribbean or just NE

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#225 Postby Blown Away » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:11 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Euro ensembles suggest further south into the Caribbean or just NE


Looking at the ensembles, again doesn't the EURO suggest the ridge is bridging together and should block a recurve beyond the islands?
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#226 Postby caneseddy » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:12 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Euro ensembles suggest further south into the Caribbean or just NE

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP216.gif

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP240.gif[/img]



Interesting because the GFS ensembles apparently are north and east of the operational GFS

Edit by Ivanhater to remove IMG tags
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#227 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:15 pm

Blown Away wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Euro ensembles suggest further south into the Caribbean or just NE


Looking at the ensembles, again doesn't the EURO suggest the ridge is bridging together and should block a recurve beyond the islands?


Yes, it is building the ridge back.
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#228 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:16 pm

Alot of heat energy waiting in the Carribbean to!
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Re:

#229 Postby RL3AO » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:18 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Alot of heat energy waiting in the Carribbean to!


For sure. Only question is if the pattern will allow something into the Central Caribbean. Either way, it appears a serious threat to the islands is possible next week.
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#230 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:19 pm

Could be!
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#231 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:20 pm

15minutes till the 18Z GFS rolls...
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#232 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:23 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
Blown Away wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Euro ensembles suggest further south into the Caribbean or just NE


Looking at the ensembles, again doesn't the EURO suggest the ridge is bridging together and should block a recurve beyond the islands?


Yes, it is building the ridge back.
Then the farther west it goes..
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#233 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:26 pm

18z GFS may have Gaston in STX.... :roll:
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#234 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:27 pm

should we take a poll :D :uarrow:
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#235 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:28 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:18z GFS may have Gaston in STX.... :roll:


why do you think that?
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#236 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:29 pm

18z model for GFS has been very inconsistent all season long....
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#237 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:30 pm

is it only the 18z gfs?
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#238 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:31 pm

IMHO, i prefer the 0z & 12z runs of that particular model.
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#239 Postby barometerJane61 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:31 pm

We dodged with Earl and Fiona.Doesn't look like Gaston will be turning away.The last thing we need is a monster in the GOM :eek:
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Re: ATL: GASTON - Models

#240 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 01, 2010 4:32 pm

yeah i agree. why does the euro and cmc run only twice a day?
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