ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

not sure what to expect on st maarten
so far so good
will it get worse?

Should be passing to your north

[cycloneye]

Web Cam in ST Maarten.

[plasticup]

Great bay is on the southern coast and faces slightly west, so it isn't likely to show the full strength of the storm.

[O Town]

Great bay is on the southern coast and faces slightly west, so it isn't likely to show the full strength of the storm.

So do you have a link to a cam on the east side??

[Nimbus]

The highest winds for St Maarten will probably occur when the winds just start to shift around from the SW then it will be over. Aparantly they still have power.

[tailgater]

Best of luck getting through this one Islanders.
I obvious don't know ahything about steering currents because the last directuon I would think Earl is going is to the NW, N NNE or due west but NW? someone help ne out here.

[Gustywind]

[HURAKAN]

Pelican Resort Club Webcam - St. Maarten

[Nimbus]

That was the high I saw building yesterday must be forecast to move or weaken quickly.

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like the East Coast could see a close call on this one if not a landfall!!!

[cycloneye]

Thank Sandy for posting that cam. Is added to the Caribbean thread at the U.S & Caribbean Weather forum (At first post) where there are many more if anyone wants to see them.

Here is a cam from ST John's bay.

[Dean4Storms]

Best of luck getting through this one Islanders.
I obvious don't know anything about steering currents because the last direction I would think Earl is going is to the NW, N NNE or due west but NW? someone help me out here.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real ... c/dlm4.GIF

That ridge over the eastern US is expected to weaken and shift SW as the week wears on and a trough in the Great Lakes will eventually swing off the eastern seaboard and turn Earl more NE.

[ColinDelia]

Gonna be some dangerous conditions up the US east coast. Rip currents and rough surf. This was in a coastal flood statement here in Melbourne, FL

" DOZENS OF RESCUES ALONG WITH ONE SURF RELATED FATALITY WERE REPORTED ON SATURDAY IN VERY HAZARDOUS OCEAN CONDITIONS."

[GCANE]

Rain rate imagery showed a hot-tower firing in a south quad feeder band at 5:35Z 17N 62W.

Looking at IR, it seems to have helped in CDO building.

Core is in great shape.

Only, thing is MIMIC-TPW shows in-feed may be getting choked off a bit.

In fact, it looks like a small boundary-layer dry-slot is in the SE quad.

Intensification for the short term may come from more localized WISHE.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... t72hrs.gif

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... t72hrs.gif

[wxman57]

There's a long St. Martin radar loop here:
http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mc ... aarten.gif

I downloaded it and edited the timing of the images to make it loop more smoothly on my PC. Earl took a quite significant NW jog in the past hour or two. This appears to be taking the southern eyewall north of St. Martin.

[pcolaman]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
Long range out of Puerto looks more to the west than wnw

[Dean4Storms]

There's a long St. Martin radar loop here:
http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mc ... aarten.gif

I downloaded it and edited the timing of the images to make it loop more smoothly on my PC. Earl took a quite significant NW jog in the past hour or two. This appears to be taking the southern eyewall north of St. Martin.

Thanks for that one!! Does it look to have slowed as well to you or am I seeing things?

[HURAKAN]

LOCATION...18.4N 62.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF ST. MARTIN
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM E OF ST. THOMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES

[pcolaman]

There's a long St. Martin radar loop here:
http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mc ... aarten.gif

I downloaded it and edited the timing of the images to make it loop more smoothly on my PC. Earl took a quite significant NW jog in the past hour or two. This appears to be taking the southern eyewall north of St. Martin.

Thanks for that one!! Does it look to have slowed as well to you or am I seeing things?

looks about the same to me ,Mabey alittle slower

[Aric Dunn]

the track forecast just keeps getting shifting ...