ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[JPmia]

Frank2, how long is this polar trough pattern expected to remain in place? Do the models show any trends either way?

[Frank2]

Not sure, but the pattern has been there for many weeks and often those long-term patterns hang around for awhile - by the way, against my own protests earlier today about 240-hour maps, here's the latest GFS for Day 10, which shows a sharp trough in the NE US:

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/10d/gfsx_500p_10d.html

[canes04]

Frank2,

Step outside and tell us the wind direction. It has been from the east all day.

[artist]

weren't they doing some research with drones or something in this area around this time or last week or something?

[Frank2]

I'm inside with a blue nose and wearing a jacket (LOL) - but was outside at lunchtime, and did notice (actually since late yesterday) a change towards an easterly wind - the first time in many, many days, and explains why we are rain-free since yesterday (some parts of South Florida have had 1 foot of rain since this time last week, due to the southwesterly winds)...

...though I've noticed these short-term changes over the summer (being a bicyclist, wind is important to me), and the easterlies have lasted maybe a day or two only to return to the southerly direction they've favored for the past few months...

Frank

[cycloneye]

weren't they doing some research with drones or something in this area around this time or last week or something?

I know that some years ago,they went to a storm named Delta near the CV Islands,but I dont have clear details. Maybe, our friend pojo can shed light, but I haven't seen her at the board for a long time.

[HURAKAN]

weren't they doing some research with drones or something in this area around this time or last week or something?

I know that some years ago,they went to a storm named Delta near the CV Islands,but I dont have clear details. Maybe, our friend pojo can shed light, but I haven't seen her at the board for a long time.

They went to Debby in 2006.

[cycloneye]

weren't they doing some research with drones or something in this area around this time or last week or something?

I know that some years ago,they went to a storm named Delta near the CV Islands,but I dont have clear details. Maybe, our friend pojo can shed light, but I haven't seen her at the board for a long time.

They went to Debby in 2006.

I knew it was a D storm but was not clear about the name.

[HURAKAN]

Looking better ... D-MAX could close the deal

[Blown Away]

TAFB has 97L as "Possible Cyclone" in 72 hours moving WNW and gaining ground on Earl.

[cyclonic chronic]

wow! a few of the models predicted earl might eat this up.

[TheBurn]

wow! a few of the models predicted earl might eat this up.

[cycloneye]

Last visible image at sunset.

[drezee]

The Euro looks like Hugo...

[lonelymike]

Great posts Chris and Frank. The natives on the 97 model thread are getting excited. Nice to see there might be little reason for the excitement.

[jlauderdal]

I'm inside with a blue nose and wearing a jacket (LOL) - but was outside at lunchtime, and did notice (actually since late yesterday) a change towards an easterly wind - the first time in many, many days, and explains why we are rain-free since yesterday (some parts of South Florida have had 1 foot of rain since this time last week, due to the southwesterly winds)...

...though I've noticed these short-term changes over the summer (being a bicyclist, wind is important to me), and the easterlies have lasted maybe a day or two only to return to the southerly direction they've favored for the past few months...

Frank

funny i bike around 120 a week on a1a and always know the wind direction too, its been SE most of the summer, last few days SW but looks like we are getting to lock into deep E flow for the foreseeable future

after that trough kicks earl out then ridging to build back in for fiona

[supercane]

Whatever circulation there is does not have much convective support as seen on microwave:

[Typhoon_Willie]

Well we will see what happens during diurnal max then.

[perk]

Great posts Chris and Frank. The natives on the 97 model thread are getting excited. Nice to see there might be little reason for the excitement.

You might want to take a look at the last couple of runs of the euro.

[lonelymike]

Great posts Chris and Frank. The natives on the 97 model thread are getting excited. Nice to see there might be little reason for the excitement.

You might want to take a look at the last couple of runs of the euro.

I've seen the last two runs of the euro and both show a system a couple of hundred miles at least off the US East Coast. Taking into account wxman57's observation that the Euro has been too far west with most systems this year why should anyone be concerned yet...not saying it won't happen but 10 days out a lot can happen.