ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[wxman57]

Looks like the center will cross 61W at around 17.9N. Still moving WNW, and it still appears hurricane force winds will stay north of BVI and San Juan. Close call though.

[Aric Dunn]

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[jaxfladude]

Thoughts and prayers to those in the path or too close for comfort of Hurricane Earl.

[Scorpion]

Eye looks to be contracting pretty nicely, and the pressure is dropping as well.

[Evil Jeremy]

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http://img842.imageshack.us/img842/4342/63247547.gif

WSW or illusion?

[SunnyThoughts]

Wishing everyone well down in the islands as well as Puerto Rico..pretty fierce looking cane. Hope that turn to the north happens soon.

[pcolaman]

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http://img842.imageshack.us/img842/4342/63247547.gif

Wow Really tightening up!!!

[BigB0882]

hmmm.. maybe its moving straight north.... j/k ... not much north component in the last hour..

http://www.weather.an/radar/cappisxm.html

Almost appears to have wobbled slightly south west in that loop imo

I noticed that earlier. Hard to tell if it is a southwest wobble or if it is just the eye contracting and giving a southwest wobble appearance.

[pimentel2]

Wow, Earl looks really impressive on Radar atm.

[Stephanie]

There's an island directly to the SW of the eyewall per the animation above. What island is that? Is it Barbuda?

Best wishes to all in the islands that seem to be on their way of getting something out of Earl. Hopefully, it's just a lot of rain!

[HurrMark]

Seems that the storm is on a mostly westerly component...with a jog to the WNW here and there.

Just as a point reference, the first island over 18N is St. Martin, which is slightly past 63W. At 17.7N, it already is north of Barbuda (17.6N)...although if it doesn't turn soon, it will be right in the southern eyewall.

[terrapintransit]

Wow, Earl looks really impressive on Radar atm.

Agreed

[Stephanie]

Seems that the storm is on a mostly westerly component...with a jog to the WNW here and there.

Just as a point reference, the first island over 18N is St. Martin, which is slightly past 63W. At 17.7N, it already is north of Barbuda (17.6N)...although if it doesn't turn soon, it will be right in the southern eyewall.

Okay, that's the island I was looking at. It does look like it'll be real close to the eyewall.

[Normandy]

Sorry but sometimes you have to call a spade a spade. That loop Aric posted shows a nearly due west motion for the last few hours. The turn should start soon though, it must be nervous times on these islands now.

[bvigal]

There's an island directly to the SW of the eyewall per the animation above. What island is that? Is it Barbuda?

Best wishes to all in the islands that seem to be on their way of getting something out of Earl. Hopefully, it's just a lot of rain!

Yes, Barbuda. Thanks, Stephanie!

[lester]

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http://img842.imageshack.us/img842/4342/63247547.gif

WSW or illusion?

wsw. probably a wobble

[Stephanie]

Sorry but sometimes you have to call a spade a spade. That loop Aric posted shows a nearly due west motion for the last few hours. The turn should start soon though, it must be nervous times on these islands now.

I can't even imagine.

I agree on the motion.

Has the forward motion slowed down any?

[fd122]

Looks like some nasty weather is heading our way pretty soon.

[Scorpion]

Anguilla gets the the southern edge of the eye IMO

[Aric Dunn]

most recent recon position has it at 17.75.... 8pm NHC position... 17.7

so for about 4 hours its been moving at 280...