ATL: FIONA - Models

[Riptide]

Besides the two runs today, the Euro has not brought this system even close to the US. The 12z run shifted right some hinting at a weakness but still too close to the carolinas.

Remember the ensembles?
Most of them suggested a Florida landfall, I never question the euro ensembles.

[ROCK]

If this is a threat to the GOM, every Texan on this board will jump up and down in excitement (good or bad) and the word 'Texas' will be used more than hurricane or category. LOL. When people refer to the GOM, I don't know why they just don't say Texas. I am guilty as hell so I'm not pointing fingers.

well it cant be as bad as the word "recurve" every other post.....

[sfwx]

If this is a threat to the GOM, every Texan on this board will jump up and down in excitement (good or bad) and the word 'Texas' will be used more than hurricane or category. LOL. When people refer to the GOM, I don't know why they just don't say Texas. I am guilty as hell so I'm not pointing fingers.

well it cant be as bad as the word "recurve" every other post.....

Or "FISH!!"

[gatorcane]

If this is a threat to the GOM, every Texan on this board will jump up and down in excitement (good or bad) and the word 'Texas' will be used more than hurricane or category. LOL. When people refer to the GOM, I don't know why they just don't say Texas. I am guilty as hell so I'm not pointing fingers.

well it cant be as bad as the word "recurve" every other post.....

To be fair nearly every model run for all three of the systems out there has shown nothing but recurve. It would not surprise me if even this system recurves though still early to know for sure.

[ROCK]

If this is a threat to the GOM, every Texan on this board will jump up and down in excitement (good or bad) and the word 'Texas' will be used more than hurricane or category. LOL. When people refer to the GOM, I don't know why they just don't say Texas. I am guilty as hell so I'm not pointing fingers.

well it cant be as bad as the word "recurve" every other post.....

To be fair nearly every model run for all three of the systems out there has shown nothing but recurve. It would not surprise me if even this system recurves though still early to know for sure.

if your hanging your hat on 97L model runs past 4-5 days then good luck with that...the trend is west with this system and from the current look of it might take some time to develop.

[vacanechaser]

If this is a threat to the GOM, every Texan on this board will jump up and down in excitement (good or bad) and the word 'Texas' will be used more than hurricane or category. LOL. When people refer to the GOM, I don't know why they just don't say Texas. I am guilty as hell so I'm not pointing fingers.

well it cant be as bad as the word "recurve" every other post.....

Or "FISH!!"

lol.. amen to both... some folks vocab is very limited... lol

its a joke folks..



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[cycloneye]

Fiona hits the Leewards.

[Weatherfreak000]

The pattern indeed suggests further west with every system. Makes me believe we have to be looking at a potential landfalling system between E and F.

[cycloneye]

Following Earl.

[Typhoon_Willie]

A good deal of high pressure to the north of both systems. Leewards get hit by the future Fiona and Earl gets a closer to the east coast. I hope that this is not the case of course.

[cycloneye]

I really dont think Earl and Fiona will be close at all as GFS shows. What do you think Ivan?

[Ivanhater]

I really dont think Earl and Fiona will be close at all as GFS shows. What do you think Ivan?

GFS is still lost in the department...

[vacanechaser]

I really dont think Earl and Fiona will be close at all as GFS shows. What do you think Ivan?

i'm not buying it... it tried the same thing with danielle and earl now earl and fiona to be... seems to be having an issue there... i dont think that earl if he gets as far as the gfs is showing, that it would take such a sharp cut northeast... i see why the model is doing it... i just dont know if it would happen... closer to hatteras and shifting out is a bet... but, way down the road...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[BigB0882]

I also don't see Fiona and Earl being so close to each other, makes you question the run completely.

[cycloneye]

00z CMC tracks possibly Fiona thru Antigua,St Maarten, BVI, then goes into Atlantic.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[Ivanhater]

00z Nogaps hits the Islands heading basically west

[Vortex]

Nogaps 00Z Loop....Heads right into the Bahamas as a strenhthening hurricane.





https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[superfly]

I can't take the GFS seriously until it stops trying to make Fiona catch up to Earl and somehow merge together.

[carolina_73]

[Scorpion]

I'm confused, what is turning into FL on that run?