ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion

[Cuber]

Gusty ... personal wx observation from where you are this morning please ... how much wind and moisture ?

[ColinDelia]

There's still some vorticity here but the area of 50 unit vorticity is only 1 square degree

[KWT]

I think Gaston has had it, looking very linear and pretty weak now IMO...

[Gustywind]

Gusty ... personal wx observation from where you are this morning please ... how much wind and moisture ?

Thunder is rumbling frequently but not loudly with sometimes very isolated lightnings, but no winds, no rain, weather is cloudy grey and sad.
Given Meteo-France radar, tstorms are approaching our area and as i'm not too far from the Meteo-France station at Abymes, le Raizet here is the latest infos Cuber:

Current Weather Conditions:
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe, Guadeloupe
(TFFR) 16-16N 061-31W 11M

Conditions at Sep 07, 2010 - 06:30 AM EDTSep 07, 2010 2010.09.07 1030 UTC
Wind from the E (080 degrees) at 5 MPH (4 KT)
Sky conditions partly cloudy
Temperature 80 F (27 C)
Dew Point 77 F (25 C)
Relative Humidity 88%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.88 in. Hg (1012 hPa)
ob TFFR 071030Z AUTO 08004KT 9999NDV FEW036/// SCT042/// 27/25 Q1012

24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 6 AM (10) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.88 (1012) E 5
5 AM (9) Sep 07 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.85 (1011) SE 2
4 AM (8) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.85 (1011) SW 5 light rain
3 AM (7) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.85 (1011) NW 2
2 AM (6) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.85 (1011) SSW 6
1 AM (5) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.88 (1012) Calm
Midnight (4) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.88 (1012) Calm
11 PM (3) Sep 06 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) WSW 3
I will keep you informed if anything happens. Stay tuned
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

[Cuber]

Thanks Gusty ... nothing better than personal observations

[Gustywind]

Thanks Gusty ... nothing better than personal observations

Yeah no problem my friend Ahh rain is coming now, thunder is more pronounced, weather is grey for now. I tkink that a first squall line is approaching us. Small gusts.

[WeatherGuesser]

I think Gaston has had it, looking very linear and pretty weak now IMO...

Yeah, but with it's history, I doubt too many folks are ready to stick a fork in it just yet.

[Gustywind]

Waouw how fast the things can change! A strong tstorm has burnt near my house very loud with brightness!

[Gustywind]

Lighntings are making a bright show ! The first squall lines are moving quickly now on Guadeloupe, strong cells bring a very nice convective activity. Thunder is loudy, rain is falling, wind is blowing in small gusts. No power outages for now but tkink we're won't be so far if things continue to deteriorate... If you don't see me you know why.
Gustywind

[cycloneye]

Here in San Juan, it all started around 3:30 AM with the first big band when heavy showers and loud thunder roared thru. But winds so far are normal in the 10-15 mph range.It looks like the rest of the day will be like this as the system moves westward. The circulation appears gone.

[chrisnnavarre]

Lighntings are making a bright show ! The first squall lines are moving quickly now on Guadeloupe, strong cells bring a very nice convective activity. Thunder is loudy, rain is falling, wind is blowing in small gusts. No power outages for now but tkink we're won't be so far if things continue to deteriorate... If you don't see me you know why.
Gustywind

Yep, this is what I'm seeing on visible and rainbow imagery this morning a storm with circulation, convection increasing passing through the Lesser Antilles heading for a position south of PR. This is our player this year folks, put you seat belts on. Not to bad on radar either...but you have to look east of PR that's where the storm appears to be.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... SAIC2.html

[msbee]

overcast here, and breezy, no rain.
Wind is from the East at about 13 MPH.
definitely a non event for us.

Looks like most of the convection is South of us, over Guadeloupe.
Stay dry Gusty!

[HURAKAN]

862
ABNT20 KNHC 071158
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 7 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM HERMINE...LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES WEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI
TEXAS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES WEST OF THE
NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
LOW MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH

[HURAKAN]

Gaston looks like le gone!

[msbee]

overcast here, and breezy, no rain.
Wind is from the East at about 13 MPH.
definitely a non event for us.

Looks like most of the convection is South of us, over Guadeloupe.
Stay dry Gusty!

airprot now reports wind from the east at 21 MPH
light rain showers

[abajan]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc10/ATL/09L.GASTON/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20100907.1115.goes13.x.vis1km_high.09LGASTON.25kts-1010mb-171N-610W.100pc.jpg

Gaston looks like le gone!

It may look like garbage now but if it reaches those incredibly warm waters in the western Caribbean, watch out! I’m just not willing to write this off just yet.

The preceding post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Gustywind]

overcast here, and breezy, no rain.
Wind is from the East at about 13 MPH.
definitely a non event for us.

Looks like most of the convection is South of us, over Guadeloupe.
Stay dry Gusty!

Thanks Msbee . Hopefully things have calm down for 30 minutes. What a brief but strong squall line. Be aware my friend from the Leewards and the Northern Leewards, PR, BVI.


Current Weather Conditions:
Le Raizet, Guadeloupe, Guadeloupe
(TFFR) 16-16N 061-31W 11M

Conditions at Sep 07, 2010 - 08:05 AM EDTSep 07, 2010 -2010.09.07 1205 UTC
Wind from the SE (130 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 KT) (direction variable)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions partly cloudy
Weather Light rain with thunder
Cumulonimbus clouds observed
Temperature 77 F (25 C)
Dew Point 73 F (23 C)
Relative Humidity 88%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.91 in. Hg (1013 hPa)
ob TFFR 071205Z 13006KT 100V170 9999 -TSRA FEW006CB SCT016 25/23 Q1013 TEMPO TSRA

24 Hour Summary
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 8 AM (12) Sep 07 77 (25) 73 (23) 29.91 (1013) SE 7 light rain with thunder
7 AM (11) Sep 07 77 (25) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) ESE 15 rain with thunder
6 AM (10) Sep 07 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.88 (1012) E 5

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 09, 2010090712, , BEST, 0, 168N, 624W, 20, 1011, LO

[Frank2]

I was also surprised that the NHC kept the remains at 70% for as long as they did...

As Bill said in Twister, "He has the technology but not the instincts", and weather does require instinct to know it on an intimate level, the same as fishing, hunting, farming or anything to do with the Earth...

Perhaps there was too much reliance on technology instead of the old instincts which showed otherwise, at least in the short term...

The environment hasn't been very favorable at all - perhaps it might do something in the western Caribbean, as some have said, but even then it appears to be headed for the Pacific, as others have mentioned here...

Frank