ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[Sanibel]

Trust me. It's at the surface!

[srainhoutx]

Wave axis extends from 85W to near 30N. TUTT feature to the E as well.

[rrm]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

[southerngale]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

I haven't seen or heard anything like that.

Where did you hear that? If you have a link, please post it.

[Sanibel]

Gusting here. System pulling away to NW:

[CrazyC83]

very interesting link here showing the water temps in the area, it's a new one for me from LSU.

http://wavcis.csi.lsu.edu/forecasts/for ... c=currents

and if you click on the region of the gulf you are interested in it will bring up the last 48 or so of temps in a loop for you.
Oh! And click on currents to see the loop current temps as well.

I see it looks like it has 29 to 32 degree water to work with all the way up to the coast. How deep does that water extend though?

It is the exact same conditions that blew Charley up from 95 kt to 130 kt in less than 3 hours.

[rrm]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

I haven't seen or heard anything like that.

Where did you hear that? If you have a link, please post it.

i read it on khou weather forum

[smw1981]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

Depends on how fast it moves. One met just said it appears to be speeding up. I will stick with my original prediction that this thing will be inland again in the next 18 hours or so, and will therefore (hopefully) not have enough time to organize into anything of huge concern....

Disclaimer - this is just my opinion..im not a pro met..

[ROCK]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

I haven't seen or heard anything like that.

Where did you hear that? If you have a link, please post it.

Not going to head any west than maybe MS....

check out the current steering flow...it will be inland in 18-24hrs....at what strength is the big question...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

[Derek Ortt]

It is the exact same conditions that blew Charley up from 95 kt to 130 kt in less than 3 hours.

it was the big trough that blew up Charley. That was largely a QG enhancement

[Wx_Warrior]

Storm2K more reliable!

[gatorcane]

SAT images tonight do show a lot of good spin on this. It's good that it should be inland before it can ramp up though, seems to be on an organizing trend.

IR loop of GOM:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

[ROCK]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

I haven't seen or heard anything like that.

Where did you hear that? If you have a link, please post it.

i read it on khou weather forum

that explains it!!!

[gatorcane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Actually looking at this closer, I think a depression could form out of this later tonight, maybe a minimal TS before making landfall. This kindaof popped out of nowhere it seemed.

But given the extremely windy conditions across Southern FL today, it seemed something was brewing near us.

[CronkPSU]

so am I going to get a lot of rain and wind out of this tomorrow and monday?

[southerngale]

i hear there is a possible high pressure pushing down would that block it and send it west?

I haven't seen or heard anything like that.

Where did you hear that? If you have a link, please post it.

Not going to head any west than maybe MS....

check out the current steering flow...it will be inland in 18-24hrs....at what strength is the big question...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

Yeah, I knew that, just wondering where he/she heard it. I would have been surprised had it been a met or something. General consensus seems to be E GOM.

[CrazyC83]

so am I going to get a lot of rain and wind out of this tomorrow and monday?

Only if it makes a right turn. If it does, expect considerable rain and wind. Otherwise it should stay to the west of you.

[CronkPSU]

so am I going to get a lot of rain and wind out of this tomorrow and monday?

Only if it makes a right turn. If it does, expect considerable rain and wind. Otherwise it should stay to the west of you.

thanks, the local mets at 11 were too busy focused on Ana and Bill to even mention this and I keep seeing head inland tomorrow on this thread...gotta camp to run and gotta make sure the kids are safe!

[gatorcane]

To be honest 91L looks better than Ana, no kidding. Of course 91L has got about 84-86F SSTs to work with and less dry air.

[vacanechaser]

SAT images tonight do show a lot of good spin on this. It's good that it should be inland before it can ramp up though, seems to be on an organizing trend.

IR loop of GOM:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

yes, and thats the thing.... if you have been in these things like i have, no matter what strength it maybe, a strengthening system coming ashore is certainly one that can cause some troubles... even if it makes to t.s. status, it may very well be on the up swing and there is a stark difference in the effects... just have to wait and see...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team