ATL: NICOLE - Ex Tropical Storm - Discussion

[Aquawind]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

No surprise.. One of the most questionable calls I have seen but, a remote tropical threat to Florida made them pull the trigger..very poor organization from the getgo..

[sandyb]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

what city do you live in? I will look up your local for you and post the links here.

im in morehead city north carolina

[jlauderdal]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

really, i thought it was called tropical storm nicole

[artist]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

what city do you live in? I will look up your local for you and post the links here.

im in morehead city north carolina

here you go -

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... 76.732&e=0

Coastal Flood Advisory
High Surf Advisory
Wind Advisory
Flood Watch
Rip Current Statement
Special Weather Statement
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hydrologic Outlook

[HURAKAN]

29/1745 UTC 24.2N 81.9W ST2.5 NICOLE -- Atlantic

this system has never received a tropical classification

really, i thought it was called tropical storm nicole

you're right but Dvorak works with the shape of the storm in satellite images and in satellite images it looks subtropical

[WilmingtonSandbar]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

Well if he had to worry about a bridge closing, it wasn't Bald Head. They only have access by ferry, no cars (other than emergency and contractors) allowed. Bald Head is in the mouth of the Cape Fear River, South of Wilmington.

[sandyb]

i feel like this thing is really gonna ramp up like JB says it will, look at it, seems to be getting better organized by the minute..i hope the hurricane center will keep a close eye on this one

ok, I found your county and clicked on Bald Head Island as I remember you saying something about a bridge closing during the last storm up that way, so hope this is pretty close to you-
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

you have a flash flood warning, and a wind advisory as the 2 major things to watch for at this point.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text

Well if he had to worry about a bridge closing, it wasn't Bald Head. They only have access by ferry, no cars (other than emergency and contractors) allowed. Bald Head is in the mouth of the Cape Fear River, South of Wilmington.

no back when we talked about that druing Earl I was talking about Atlantic Beach bridge they close it when the winds get like 40 to 45 i knew what they were talking about but didnt correct them on the bridge...I am north east of yall

[artist]

RECON must be having communications problems, there has not been any obs, et al, for over 30 minutes now.

[invest man]

again correct me if I'm wrong but, is not what suppose come inland from down near wilmington suppose to be extra tropical in nature? So will this be Nicole's remnants or will it be the ET low?IM

[SeaBrz_FL]

RECON must be having communications problems, there has not been any obs, et al, for over 30 minutes now.

They were flying very close to Cuba; maybe they were forced to land for mojitos and a good cigar. (j/k) Really hope everything is ok with them.

[sandyb]

again correct me if I'm wrong but, is not what suppose come inland from down near wilmington suppose to be extra tropical in nature? So will this be Nicole's remnants or will it be the ET low?IM

from what i understand nicoles remnants are going to go ET so what is it that they have coming in around Wilmington..all the models show something interesting but what? help me out here too

[artist]

RECON must be having communications problems, there has not been any obs, et al, for over 30 minutes now.

They were flying very close to Cuba; maybe they were forced to land for mojitos and a good cigar. (j/k) Really hope everything is ok with them.

lol, well, we just received thier last report, they are returning home.

[artist]

looks like the Wilmington are of NC is dealing with lots of flooding. They have opened up some shelters. I posted the article in the Impact thread
My thoughts and prayers go out to all. I know you have been hit with so much rain before this, and now this is just adding insult to injury.

[sandyb]

RECON must be having communications problems, there has not been any obs, et al, for over 30 minutes now.

They were flying very close to Cuba; maybe they were forced to land for mojitos and a good cigar. (j/k) Really hope everything is ok with them.

lol, well, we just received thier last report, they are returning home.

whats the report say?

[invest man]

I really don't know what those models are seeing! Maybe they are under figuring the strength of the cold front and thus keeping the environment more condusive for development. However, it seems to me that the enviroment is getting less condusive to support what the models are seeing and that perhaps is why the NHC has backed off of it? IM

[sandyb]

i think my refresh button is going out! lol and my mouse needs batterys hey no problem I still have a stock of them from Earl still raining here in coastal NC no wind other than that of the cars as they go by and blow the trees...have has some power outages according to CCEMC my sister works there says a few limbs down on power lines maybe things will imporve tonight

[artist]

whats the report say?

nothing more. It just said they were returning to base.
There are areas of tropical storm force winds, but nothing more.

[Nimbus]

No surprises here. We have a sheared tropical storm headed north across Florida toward North Carolina. You can see the LLC just north of Cuba without much convection on the west side. Could tighten up some over the gulf stream but I doubt it will reach hurricane status.

[SeaBrz_FL]

I, too, send my best wishes to all of you Carolinians. Regardless of what the models are saying, you are still getting a LOT of rain on top of saturated ground and that can be much more dangerous than TS winds. I sincerely hope this "storm" keeps moving further east and takes some of that rain with it. It's clearing out now here in East CFL, so I can breathe a sigh of relief, but I will keep monitoring the thread to see how you all are doing. Take care, be safe.

[northjaxpro]

Absolutely. My prayers go out to all in the Eastern North Carolina area which is being impacted severely by flooding rains.

After Tropical Storm Fay in 2008 which dropped 14 inches at my home here in NE FL, I can certainly relate to what our neighbors up there are experiencing. I just hope that this system moves out quickly over these next 24 hours or so.