ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion
Earl is starting to show up on the French Antilles radar site, and I found an animated flavor at
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?81
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?81
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion
srainhoutx wrote:Already a hurricane ROCK.
just woke up.... cut me some slack!!!

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blazess556 wrote:earl is moving southwest according to recon vdms
It will take several center passes to determine the exact motion.
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Re:
blazess556 wrote:earl is moving southwest according to recon vdms
Hopefully just a wobble.
The following is the opinion of Cryomaniac, and isn't based on any evidence. As such it shouldn't be used for any purpose
The longer Earl keeps moving vaguely west (so between 260 and 280) the more it pushes the cone west, which brings all kinds of possibilities. Even at a very large stretch the chance of it reaching the GOM.
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Re:
blazess556 wrote:earl is moving southwest according to recon vdms
which is what I dont understand unless the distance between Dee and Earl is such that the ridge has nosed down in front...and is starting to fill....
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Re: Re:
Gustywind wrote:blazess556 wrote:earl is moving southwest according to recon vdms
? Sure that won't be good news for all the Leewards. Any link?
yeah, but it sure isn't moving westnorthwest.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion
He is pretty much trucking it west. When is he supposed to start turning north? I hope he does and soon, follows his sister Dee into the ocean.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion
Will a Pro met or someone with a better handle on these steering currents help me out on how and why this will turn WNW then NW? I'm looking at this steering chart and know the patterns are changing constantly but the through that lifted Danielle out is almost due north of Earl. shouldn't it be moving in NW direction now being on the edge of the ridge to it's NE. The upper trough over Cuba doesn't show up on these charts.

If I was guessing and that's all it would be guessing, I would think it would be moving due west to a tad SW then start re curving south of Cuba as the ridge over the Eastern seaboard shifted eastward.
I went back and check the charts for a deeper strom and think I can see what they and the models are counting on.

pretty big difference.
If I was guessing and that's all it would be guessing, I would think it would be moving due west to a tad SW then start re curving south of Cuba as the ridge over the Eastern seaboard shifted eastward.
I went back and check the charts for a deeper strom and think I can see what they and the models are counting on.
pretty big difference.
Last edited by tailgater on Sun Aug 29, 2010 9:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:If it doesn't start gaining latitude soon, it will be in the Caribbean Sea and would put Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands - at least - in the strongest part of the storm...
What strengh you put it right now?
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CrazyC83 wrote:If it doesn't start gaining latitude soon, it will be in the Caribbean Sea and would put Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands - at least - in the strongest part of the storm...
Agreed. He needs to turn and soon if the current forecasts are going to verify. What effect would his path have on 97 aka future Fiona?
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