ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION

[Frank2]

For the new members or visitors - anything we post here (myself included) is just our own opinion...

Frank

[lebron23]

What about that 2nd "landfall" if any. I have a test coming up as well

I'm feeling better there will not be any significant weather for my area.

Better move west if you want it canceled. Maybe to central or SE Louisiana.

I'm thinking SE Louisiana as well, maybe MS coast. Nothing extreme though.

Nearly the same thing i was thinking but more toward west LA coast. around a 70-90 mph storm

[HURAKAN]

32 mph, 1012 mb

[Stormcenter]

IMO as of right now I still don't see 97L becoming anything to write home about when all is said and done. Yes things can change rapidly but that's how I see right now. Anyway since some are picking final landfall locations. I'll take a crack at it. I'll go with somewhere along the AL/FL. state line.

[Aric Dunn]

Pressure continues to drop at this station.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... ?ID=MD0758

thats station is right in the path .. the forming low should pass right over it later tonight...

[Hurricane]

I'm thinking a SETX/SWLA final landfall.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[dixiebreeze]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

TAFB -- possible tropical cyclone 48 hrs.

[thetruesms]

Come tomorrow, this will be a whole new ball game.
I'm going with a TD at 5am, TS after recon and possible cat1 Friday night.
The ULL winds should improve overnight.

Heck, we may not have to wait that long.

This thing's starting to come together, but it's not going that fast. The ULL needs to really weaken or get on its horse to start looking at those scenarios

[Vortex]

Interesting Observation from the far SE bahams:
Lat/Lon: 22.4° N 73.0° WProvidenciales, TI (Airport)
Updated: 31 min 58 sec ago
79 °F
Scattered Clouds
Humidity: 89%
Dew Point: 75 °F
Wind: 32 mph from the ENE
Pressure: 29.89 in (Falling)
Visibility: 5.6 miles

[StormClouds63]

I'm thinking a SETX/SWLA final landfall.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If SW LA is destined to be impacted by some sort of a tropical system in 2010, I'd rather it be this one at its current strength. We want no part of August and September storms this season.

[Aric Dunn]

Grace Bay in the turks and caicos has a pressure of 1009mb and falling.... all locations are showing some decent pressure drops...

actually sorry its 1008mb 29.78 in

[tolakram]

Katrina thread, a couple of pages in, just for kicks.

viewtopic.php?f=56&t=71118&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=80

[Hurricane]

I'm thinking a SETX/SWLA final landfall.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If SW LA is destined to be impacted by some sort of a tropical system in 2010, I'd rather it be this one at its current strength. We want no part of August and September storms this season.

I actually enjoy Tropical Storms/Weak Hurricanes. They are fun to watch, and it makes your house feel cozy. However, I dread the major hurricanes, or any storm that causes serious destruction and loss of life.

[tolakram]

LLC, such that it is, appears to be moving due west at the moment.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

[ROCK]

Its not stacked vertically...and if anything its not a "vigorous" LLC either....maybe a moderate LLC...

[GraysonDave]

Katrina thread, a couple of pages in, just for kicks.

viewtopic.php?f=56&t=71118&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=80

LOL, the Katrina thread had 111 pages and this one is already up to 55? Holy cow what will happen when we get another bad storm?


Edit: Sorry bout this.....forgot where I was til after I hit submit.

[tolakram]

Katrina thread, a couple of pages in, just for kicks.

viewtopic.php?f=56&t=71118&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=80

LOL, the Katrina thread had 111 pages and this one is already up to 55? Holy cow what will happen when we get another bad storm?

Back in 2005 a new thread was created when the status changed, so it started new when TD declared.

[americanre1]

Katrina thread, a couple of pages in, just for kicks.

viewtopic.php?f=56&t=71118&st=0&sk=t&sd=a&start=80

LOL, the Katrina thread had 111 pages and this one is already up to 55? Holy cow what will happen when we get another bad storm?

Grayson that was well before this page became very popular, so there were not as many people on this page. If it would of been now there would of been well over a 1000 pages.

[hurricaneCW]

Nice LLC developing, is all that convection to the south part of its inflow? Anyway I don't see how we get this to develop unless the shear dies down. It's clearly running ahead of developing convection, but then I hear the similarities between this one and in Katrina's developing stages. Is it really that similar and can 97L become a big deal in the GOM?

[americanre1]

Ok back to this system, to the pro-mets will there be a chance that the break off of 97L that is now in the Caribbean might form something and cause problems in the Gulf after whatever 97L does??