ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

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Aric Dunn
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#1001 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:36 pm

GFS is starting
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1002 Postby canes04 » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:41 pm

Luis and all my Island friends,

Good luck and stay safe. I'm sure tomorrow is going to be a crazy day for you guys.
Hopefully Earl won't get any stronger, but it appears he is doing so.

I have a feeling we will see some big changes tomorrow concerning the track.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1003 Postby Florida1118 » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:44 pm

I dont know...The NHC seems less than confident in the track right now then why didnt they change it at 11?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1004 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:46 pm

Do anyone notice something in this image?

Image
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#1005 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:48 pm

I am starting preparations now in SFL. Yea, I know its a long shot, but PR went from not being in the 5 day cone at all to a Hurricane watch, so why can't the same happen for Florida?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1006 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:49 pm

yes and theyre going to get a bad hurricane by the looks of it
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1007 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:50 pm

SAT PIC - Is that Felix the cat or the tasmanian devil sticking his tongue out? :lol:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1008 Postby canes04 » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:53 pm

ronjon,

good eye, you beat me to it.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1009 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:Do anyone notice something in this image?

Image


I give up Luis, eye forming????
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1010 Postby Ikester » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:54 pm

Yeah, Felix the cat or some kind of cartoon character.

I think we will see quite a shift in the track at 5am...IF...the euro and the gfs show a similar solution to the NAM. I doubt they'll move the cone 600 miles in one fowl swoop, but it could be done in stages.
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Florida1118

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1011 Postby Florida1118 » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:54 pm

Accualy in the pink and white I see the grim reaper
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1012 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:55 pm

I give up Luis, eye forming????


Is like the form of the devil.
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#1013 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:56 pm

In the animation posted by Ivanhater bottom of page 46, why do I see a shift to the north?
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Re:

#1014 Postby Ikester » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:58 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:In the animation posted by Ivanhater bottom of page 46, why do I see a shift to the north?


Perhaps, but it could be just the expanding CDO around the center.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1015 Postby Danny MD » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:03 pm

With this continuing to trend westward,

look out mid atlantic..

This is not scientific evidence by any means but I have a gut feeling that the mid atlantic is going to be effected in a big way. Here in DC we have had 3 historic blizzards this year( Snowiest year on record aswell ), thunderstorms which intensity has not been rivaled in the past 25 years, and even the strongest earthquake in history to effect the area happened earlier this summer.

The weather event that is missing to complete this weather crazy year is a hurricane, and it is coming.
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Re:

#1016 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:12 pm

gatorcane wrote:Well I thought a shortwave digging into the northeast us would erode the ridge. Also danielle was supposed to leave a weakness. They don't mention these reasons anymore.



yeah we know...glad to see you jump back on the band wagon after beating the Recurve drum for 3 days.... :wink:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1017 Postby Valkhorn » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:15 pm

Danny MD wrote:With this continuing to trend westward,

look out mid atlantic..

This is not scientific evidence by any means but I have a gut feeling that the mid atlantic is going to be effected in a big way. Here in DC we have had 3 historic blizzards this year( Snowiest year on record aswell ), thunderstorms which intensity has not been rivaled in the past 25 years, and even the strongest earthquake in history to effect the area happened earlier this summer.

The weather event that is missing to complete this weather crazy year is a hurricane, and it is coming.


Earthquakes aren't weather :)

Records are meant to be broken though.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1018 Postby painkillerr » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:16 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Hurricane watch for PR

Where is cycloneye who normally posts the advisories? :eek:



Not too sure what time it is in PR, but Luis is probably in bed by now :wink:



12:15AM in here in San Juan.
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#1019 Postby artist » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:18 pm

000
WTNT62 KNHC 290326
TCUAT2
update statement issued at 11:30:

TROPICAL STORM EARL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1130 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

AT 1130 PM AST...0330 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

#1020 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:23 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Hurricane watch for PR

Where is cycloneye who normally posts the advisories? :eek:


I am going to bed because I know Sunday will be a nailbiter and active day here.
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