ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm GASTON - Discussion

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Bailey1777
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#101 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 7:58 pm

I know it's way early and everything is speculation but how far west can this one probably get?
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#102 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:02 pm

You can really see 98L come together and release partly from the ITCZ

Image
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#103 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:04 pm

:uarrow: how about that roll starting
Last edited by Vortex on Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#104 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:09 pm

I thought some of you might appreciate this sat animation of the basin...



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/pred ... ation.html
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#105 Postby weatherSnoop » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:15 pm

Vortex wrote:I thought some of you might appreciate this sat animation of the basin...



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/pred ... ation.html


Watching that makes it look like Fiona said "I will give you my right arm if you let me live"
Thanks for the loop
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#106 Postby AtlanticWind » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:25 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ir2.html

98L looks much healthier than Fiona this evening , still wondering why the GFS does not pick this up.
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#107 Postby blazess556 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 8:39 pm

01/0015 UTC 12.2N 31.9W T1.5/1.5 98L -- Atlantic
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#108 Postby caneseddy » Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:05 pm

Just remembered that last night Norcross on TWC, stated that he was more concerned about this storm having more of an impact on land than Fiona, FWIW
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#109 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:28 pm

Image

Latest
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#110 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:31 pm

nice strcture, possibly developing curved banding on the NW side..
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#111 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:35 pm

Kind of crazy that we have Fiona but this is only given a 20% chance. If Fiona got upgraded to TS so quickly then this should be a cherry for sure, haha
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Re:

#112 Postby blazess556 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:36 pm

Vortex wrote:nice strcture, possibly developing curved banding on the NW side..

that will shield it from the dry air.
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#113 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:08 pm

caneseddy wrote:Just remembered that last night Norcross on TWC, stated that he was more concerned about this storm having more of an impact on land than Fiona, FWIW


<-- not a big TWC watcher...didn't realize Norcross was on TWC these days. I really miss him on CBS4 down here. I always appreciated his views on the tropics, and generally pay attention when something has his attention. Thanks...
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#114 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:12 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:
caneseddy wrote:Just remembered that last night Norcross on TWC, stated that he was more concerned about this storm having more of an impact on land than Fiona, FWIW


<-- not a big TWC watcher...didn't realize Norcross was on TWC these days. I really miss him on CBS4 down here. I always appreciated his views on the tropics, and generally pay attention when something has his attention. Thanks...

He still only gets 2 min and then is cut off. He deserves better!
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#115 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:15 pm

I am sure the models will start picking up on it soon enough. The 0z in about 15 minutes should pick it up.....we shall see...great presentation and I would surmise that this wil develop a lot farther west and be a legit threat to the CONUS....subsidence to the north is keeping it in check right now...
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#116 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:19 pm

I wonder if the MJO is weakening?
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#117 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:24 pm

Gaston, est'ce que c'est toi?
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#118 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:27 pm

Nice rotation..certainly a SAL check for now..it has plenty of time. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/flash-ir2.html
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Re: ATL: Invest 98L - Discussion

#119 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:28 pm

Looks good
Getting some nice banding. . .
Image
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#120 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Aug 31, 2010 10:29 pm

I would go 40-50% on next TWO based on current trends.
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