WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[HURAKAN]

JMA's track

[ricmood]

I think, according to JMA, it just gained lat.
JTWC reported it at 15.8 earlier

[HURAKAN]

Internally this system is struggling. Good news for the Philippines

[HURAKAN]

If there's any good news is that this system won't be the monster feared before. Still, the rains could prove deadly and Ketsana showed what a tropical storm can do.

[oaba09]

I think, according to JMA, it just gained lat.
JTWC reported it at 15.8 earlier

It's at 16.1 right now

[ricmood]

If there's any good news is that this system won't be the monster feared before. Still, the rains could prove deadly and Ketsana showed what a tropical storm can do.

How about the wind?

[StormingB81]

The little cluster i said ealier looks like it is better then this one...

[oaba09]

It's seems to be moving westwards at this moment.......

[drdavisjr]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... splay.html

According to MIMIC, winds are 90 knots

[StormingB81]

If that cluster that left the storm develops into anything has that ever happend before?

[cycloneye]

If there's any good news is that this system won't be the monster feared before. Still, the rains could prove deadly and Ketsana showed what a tropical storm can do.

Also,it is moving at a fairly good clip not slowly as other past storms and that will mitigate some of the effects.But still it will be a big deal in terms of flooding,landslides and wind damage.

[ricmood]

If there's any good news is that this system won't be the monster feared before. Still, the rains could prove deadly and Ketsana showed what a tropical storm can do.

Also,it is moving at a fairly good clip not slowly as other past storms and that will mitigate some of the effects.But still it will be a big deal in terms of flooding,landslides and wind damage.

It's like pulling a bandage. Quick and painful.

[ManilaTC]

Here is my forecast track, its unofficial...

Based from PAGASA, JTWC, JMA, KMA, CWB Beijing and Taiwan.

[dexterlabio]

i'm pretty sure that this won't be a major typhoon (cat3 above). however, a typhoon is still a typhoon. winds of 100kph can already be destructive and destroy properties.

well, it seem to move westward again after the sudden gain in latitude. i saw the local weather report, saying that signal#3 might be raised tomorrow evening here in metro manila. signal#1 might be raised later tonight.

[oaba09]

i'm pretty sure that this won't be a major typhoon (cat3 above). however, a typhoon is still a typhoon. winds of 100kph can already be destructive and destroy properties.

well, it seem to move westward again after the sudden gain in latitude. i saw the local weather report, saying that signal#3 might be raised tomorrow evening here in metro manila. signal#1 might be raised later tonight.

yeah...it seems to be moving westwards.....I'm still expecting a wsw track after a few hours....

[drdavisjr]

Right now I am not trusting my eyes on the lat/long points. Right now I am watching that ridge to the north and how the core interacts with it.

It does seem to be tracking the southern line, and that line, my friends, leads (at this moment) straight to Metro Manila.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[HURAKAN]

How about the wind?

Those in the path of the core of the typhoon will have to deal with the winds, which should cause some damage. But like we know, the rain is the main problem.

[oaba09]

Right now I am not trusting my eyes on the lat/long points. Right now I am watching that ridge to the north and how the core interacts with it.

It does seem to be tracking the southern line, and that line, my friends, leads (at this moment) straight to Metro Manila.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

It's important to watch the next few hours of mirinae because what happens next will pretty much determine mirinae's landfall area.....

[drdavisjr]

[dexterlabio]

Right now I am not trusting my eyes on the lat/long points. Right now I am watching that ridge to the north and how the core interacts with it.

It does seem to be tracking the southern line, and that line, my friends, leads (at this moment) straight to Metro Manila.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

i kinda agree with you. i am not trusting the sat animation in wunderground, but the core of the storm, as i observe, seems to be diving a bit as it moves westward.