otowntiger wrote:I understand what you are saying, but that run coupled with the weak high, the "perma trough" on the east coast, track record of this season alone, not to mention climatology, i.e. history of storms in this vicinity and I think you can at least begin to have a feeling for what this system may do. I won't be eating my words because I'm just commenting on my observations not making a prediction.
Is there a possibility that this will recurve? Defiantly. Is it likely? To early to tell. You can throw climatology out the window for the most part, because what matters is the current conditions, not what happened in the past. Yes, this may recurve, but it is waaaaaay to early to tell. Anything can happen in the tropics.