ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1601 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 3:45 pm

Yep this can't be far off from being a hurricane it seems...
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1602 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:10 pm

Looking very good on the Vis.imagery now, CDO looking very solid and won't be long before this is offically a hurricane.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

#1603 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:16 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1604 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:19 pm

Also Bill's got an amazing inflow there, very impressive looking hurricane.

Bermuda really has to watch this growing beast very closely.

The convection in the CDO is expanding very nicely, very good job this doesn't have the same steering currents as Ana did...
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

#1605 Postby jinftl » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:23 pm

A few models shifting south a bit?

Current Models...
Image




Prior Runs...
Image
0 likes   

paintplaye
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 380
Joined: Sun Jul 20, 2008 11:25 pm

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

#1606 Postby paintplaye » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:26 pm

Good shot here:

Image

It looks to have gone west just a tad, prob a wobble :lol: . Way to early to be on wobble watching.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1607 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:32 pm

Just a small adjustment to the south but so far Bill has if anything been trending to the right of the forecast path and models today and this may well continue even though the models are slightly shifting south with it.

I think this is a huge risk to Bermuda, they got a big hit with Fabian and if this places itself correctly this could be as big if not even bigger...
0 likes   

paintplaye
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 380
Joined: Sun Jul 20, 2008 11:25 pm

Re:

#1608 Postby paintplaye » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:36 pm

KWT wrote:Just a small adjustment to the south but so far Bill has if anything been trending to the right of the forecast path and models today and this may well continue even though the models are slightly shifting south with it.

I think this is a huge risk to Bermuda, they got a big hit with Fabian and if this places itself correctly this could be as big if not even bigger...


Idk the models could be on to something. Time will tell.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1609 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:43 pm

Maybe they are onto something and a further west track would spare Bermuda the worst of it but until the system stops moving to the right of the NHC I wouldn't really be too interested in them.

Looking very good, nice large developing hurricane.
0 likes   

HurricaneRobert
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 812
Joined: Fri May 18, 2007 9:31 pm

Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BILL (03L)

#1610 Postby HurricaneRobert » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:44 pm

This is taking forever to ramp up.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1611 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 4:48 pm

I think HR come back in 24hrs and you will find a rather better looking hurricane, probably a category-2 IMO.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38095
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1612 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:11 pm

Look at that trough!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1613 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:15 pm

Also the weakest run from the GFS in a little while. Looks like another very close shave with Bermuda as well...

Looks like the odds of a Bermuda hit are increasing as time goes on...
0 likes   

Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1614 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:17 pm

EURO on the board first this season? Jeez, I remember reading posts on here about that mean ol bad EURO...If this turns out to be right, EURO 1, et al 0
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38095
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1615 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:21 pm

Out to sea, way east of the 12z.

Image
0 likes   

HurricaneRobert
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 812
Joined: Fri May 18, 2007 9:31 pm

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1616 Postby HurricaneRobert » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:29 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:EURO on the board first this season? Jeez, I remember reading posts on here about that mean ol bad EURO...If this turns out to be right, EURO 1, et al 0


I think they said the euro was too slow, not that it was sniffing out a weakness like GFS did. Either one could be the considered the first correct model, I guess.
0 likes   

User avatar
sunnyday
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1590
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 8:16 pm

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1617 Postby sunnyday » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:32 pm

So, is Bill moving north and away from Fl. for sure (or as sure as one can be), or is there ANYTHING that can pull him toward the state? 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
Cookie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 477
Age: 37
Joined: Sun Dec 14, 2008 11:13 am
Location: Isle Of lewis scotland

#1618 Postby Cookie » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:44 pm

starting to look really good on the images being posted.

I know its a long long way out but is their a chance of the uk getting the remnants / tail end of bill?
0 likes   

Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: ATL:TROPICAL STORM BILL (Models)

#1619 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:49 pm

GFS had hits all over GOM......X
0 likes   

User avatar
weatherSnoop
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 702
Age: 62
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 10:06 pm
Location: Tampa, FL
Contact:

#1620 Postby weatherSnoop » Sun Aug 16, 2009 5:57 pm

Image

continues to tighten up
0 likes   


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests