WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[breeze]

Wow, I absolutely HAD to run errands and I worried about our friends the whole time I was out!
I'm very glad that everyone seems to have made it through this.

[neil40]

Wow, I absolutely HAD to run errands and I worried about our friends the whole time I was out!
I'm very glad that everyone seems to have made it through this.

i hope the worst segment of this typhoon is over. My location is Pasay City, Metro Manila...8km South of Manila City. Occasional rain and gusts of wind...

[ozonepete]

What about the large lake SE of Manila? It looks like that lake will get an awful lot of rain and runoff...and also winds will be pushing from the lake area towards Manila...could that enhance flooding?

The winds are not as strong as were forecast, so I don't think the actual lake water will be pushed over the banks by the wind.

But it's quite possible there will be some flooding; it's just too early to know yet. And for that all you can do is watch your local TV or listen to radio for reports. So far it does look much less worse than it could have been though, at least right now. We all just have to stay on guard until daylight when everyone can go out and assess the damage.

[ozonepete]

Wow, I absolutely HAD to run errands and I worried about our friends the whole time I was out!
I'm very glad that everyone seems to have made it through this.

i hope the worst segment of this typhoon is over. My location is Pasay City, Metro Manila...8km South of Manila City. Occasional rain and gusts of wind...

Looks like the worst is over. Just another hour or two of occasional showers and gusty winds.

[ral]

Does anybody know where the eye is now? The rain got weaker, but you can hear "high altitude" howling.

[ozonepete]

Does anybody know where the eye is now? The rain got weaker, but you can hear "high altitude" howling.

It should be moving off the west side of the island southwest of Manila now...

[cycloneye]

The Phillippines dodged a big bullet with this system as it weakened as it moved at a fairly rapid pace over the Phillippines.Yes,flooding,yes strong winds but it could haved been much worse.

[neil40]

Wow, I absolutely HAD to run errands and I worried about our friends the whole time I was out!
I'm very glad that everyone seems to have made it through this.

i hope the worst segment of this typhoon is over. My location is Pasay City, Metro Manila...8km South of Manila City. Occasional rain and gusts of wind...

Looks like the worst is over. Just another hour or two of occasional showers and gusty winds.

Thanks for the info, Sir!
Do you have any information on Mirinae's core/eye right now?

[ral]

Okay... I am southwest of Manila. Thanks.

[cycloneye]

18:00Z JTWC Warning=Downgraded to Tropical Storm

WTPN32 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 020
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 23W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 14.3N 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 14.2N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 14.0N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.7N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 13.2N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 12.4N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 121.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MIRINAE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 23W HAS
MOVED OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF LUZON, WITH A LARGE DECREASE IN
CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 301710Z
AMSR-E PASS SHOWS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING CONTINUING TO WRAP INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LLCC, HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE
EASTERN HALF OF TS 23W HAS STARTED TO DISSIPATE. LAND INFLUENCES
HAVE WEAKENED THE SYSTEM DRAMATICALLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS (FROM
85 TO 55 KNOTS). TS 23W IS STILL TRACKING QUICKLY AS IT MOVES OVER
LUZON, WITH LITTLE DECREASE IN THE TRACK SPEED EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE LLCC TRYING TO RE-ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES
BACK OVER WATER WILL LIMIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. AFTER TAU 48, TS 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO VIETNAM AND
DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 22 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z.//
NNNN

[breeze]

Watching the radar loop, you can see where land interaction really weakened Mirinae.

[redisol]

Lost electric power here. It's only now that we sare experiencing strong winds after a break of more than an hour from heavy rain. Hope the worst is really over. location is Mandaluyong City

[theavocado]

Watching the radar loop, you can see where land interaction really weakened Mirinae.

I've been looking for loops of the Philippines RADAR, can you share the link?

[oaba09]

Still feeling powerful winds but no more rains

[breeze]

The only one I could find was from the Weather Channel - the last update was at 2:00pm EST,
though:

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/RPXX0017?from=recentsearch

[oaba09]

Is it weird that I'm feeling the worst winds right now? It wasn't this powerful earlier

[neil40]

Is it weird that I'm feeling the worst winds right now? It wasn't this powerful earlier

Even here in Pasay City, The sudden gusts of wind is heavier now...

[breeze]

Is it weird that I'm feeling the worst winds right now? It wasn't this powerful earlier

The north to east side is strongest, and that's what you're feeling now, my friend.

[oaba09]

Is it weird that I'm feeling the worst winds right now? It wasn't this powerful earlier

Even here in Pasay City, The sudden gusts of wind is heavier now...

The sky also looks weird............all our plants were brought down when I went out to check....These are the "typhoon winds" I'm familliar with

[oaba09]

there's zero rain right now...not even a slight drizzle.....the winds are so powerful however...