ATL : TROPICAL STORM GRACE

[pepeavilenho]

help!! where is NHC?

[DanieleItalyRm]

NHC no quiere seguir y no dará' nombre a ninguna sistema de Nord/Est Atlantico.
ELLOS QUIEREN CONSERVAR NOMBRE POR SISTEMA DEL TROPIC OR NORTE OWEST ATLANTIC (US), lo ha demostrado muchas veces.
90L no es a L-INVEST, es an EVIDENT TROPICAL STORM.
saludos da Italia

[Derek Ortt]

I SUSPECT that when Read took over, there was a change in naming protocol. These systems seemed to have been named in the early part of the decade. Nothing wrong with it, however

[pepeavilenho]

in spite of NHC, I continue looking the system...

[DanieleItalyRm]

PLEASE guys! this is a very small tropical cyclone! and the wam core many probably extremly small!

[cycloneye]

Looking at all the images above and this one,I dont see what caused NHC to not name this as Subtropical Storm.

[CrazyC83]

That looks more like a tropical storm...

[pepeavilenho]

argggggggg
when is the next nhc paper???

[Macrocane]

It won't be named even if it looks similar to Vince.

[HURAKAN]

Graceful,

Get it!!!

[leanne_uk]

Small but perfectly formed wouldnt you say

[HURAKAN]

834
ABNT20 KNHC 042352
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE CENTER OF A NON-TROPICAL
LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE AZORES
ISLANDS. THIS LOW IS MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD COOLER
WATERS AND DEVELOPMENT INTO SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT
LIKELY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[CrazyC83]

Remember the famous lines "if it looks like a hurricane, it probably is..."

They've said that for the last 72 hours that cooler waters would kill it...it hasn't!

[HURAKAN]

They've said that for the last 72 hours that cooler waters would kill it...it hasn't!

We all know that at some point it will. Incredible!

[leanne_uk]

Silly question but does anyone know where is this heading?

[HURAKAN]

Silly question but does anyone know where is this heading?

Cooler waters!!!

[cycloneye]

Invest 90L is active again

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al902009.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200910042352
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 90, 2009, DB, O, 2009100112, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL902009
AL, 90, 2009093012, , BEST, 0, 388N, 346W, 40, 995, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 30, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009093018, , BEST, 0, 374N, 331W, 40, 995, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009100100, , BEST, 0, 367N, 316W, 40, 995, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009100106, , BEST, 0, 369N, 298W, 40, 995, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009100112, , BEST, 0, 377N, 290W, 40, 995, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30, 1008, 350, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 90, 2009100118, , BEST, 0, 386N, 285W, 45, 984, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30, 1008, 350, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 90, 2009100200, , BEST, 0, 393N, 288W, 45, 984, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30, 1008, 350, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, D,
AL, 90, 2009100406, , BEST, 0, 387N, 295W, 40, 994, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009100412, , BEST, 0, 383N, 268W, 40, 994, EX, 34, NEQ, 30, 40, 40, 30,
AL, 90, 2009100418, , BEST, 0, 388N, 239W, 40, 994, EX

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 009.invest

[leanne_uk]

haha yes cooler waters i know that much but it the end of the system gonna head towards the Uk or east over Europe?

[breeze]

I'd think it would probably be too early to call where it's heading right now, so we've got
to go with Hurakan's "cooler waters" answer for now!

[cycloneye]

00 UTC Best Track

AL, 90, 2009100500, , BEST, 0, 402N, 213W, 40, 992, EX

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 009.invest