ATL: Invest 97L in Central Atlantic

[cooter]

I do hope that it doesn't enter the Caribean. I came across this blog bc we are sailing out of Galveston Sunday and go to Jamaica, Caymen, and Cozmel. Just wanting good weather and waves for the trip. In reading and watching Invest 94/TSDolly and now Hurricane Dolly.....I have found a new hobby. This stuff is very interesting to me. I am a teacher/coach here in the Ft worth area and see myself learning about all this tropical weather on my spare time. It is interesting, but in no means want anyone hurt. My family has been affected by many canes and TS in living around Galveston for years. Look forward to the times. Thanks

[windycity]

Welcome to S2k!!! You will love this board, and it won't be long before you understand everything that is said. Now, with that said, i can't see this wave being a player, except for the fish. Time will tell, but i think the mets need a break.

[Sanibel]

Hmm. Good spin in the area Bertha thrived in?

[fasterdisaster]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I've got a close eye on this one. Can't see it doing anything for the next 2 or 3 days but the Azores high will push it southwest and there is a good chance I feel it can be a hurricane, POSSIBLY a major though I wouldn't bank on that. Unfortunately I also doubt it will be a fish, it's possible but the Azores high could push it south enough that by the time it recurves it will still affect the Leewards and the PR area.

[cycloneye]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I've got a close eye on this one. Can't see it doing anything for the next 2 or 3 days but the Azores high will push it southwest and there is a good chance I feel it can be a hurricane, POSSIBLY a major though I wouldn't bank on that. Unfortunately I also doubt it will be a fish, it's possible but the Azores high could push it south enough that by the time it recurves it will still affect the Leewards and the PR area.

Dont do that to me,no jk But seriously,anything can happen as the tropics always are full of surprises.

[Hurricaneman13]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The system doesn't look too impressive right now. Most of the models predict it to be a weak system. But if it does strengthen into a strong storm, it will probably go out to sea since it will most likely find a weakness in the ridge where it is now. If it was further south, it could have been a threat because it would probably develop into a strong system in the warmer waters further south. The NHC doesn't seem to have as much confidence in the system anymore as it used to over Africa.

[Honeyko]

Impressive or not, it's just way too far north to be anything but fish down the road.

(There's been maybe one or two storms in the whole of records which have tracked over the CVs and still managed to hit anything else other than Bermuda or New Foundland.)

[Hurricaneman13]

The CMC makes it a stronger tropical cyclone now when it turns near Bermuda.

[Cyclenall]

Impressive or not, it's just way too far north to be anything but fish down the road.

(There's been maybe one or two storms in the whole of records which have tracked over the CVs and still managed to hit anything else other than Bermuda or New Foundland.)

If it doesn't form into anything for the next 120 hours or similar, how could that be true? I haven't seen too many tropical waves just go north into the middle of the ocean for no reason.

[americanrebel]

If this investment stays small and doesn't intensify too much, this system could in fact move SW for a little bit, and then head W. If this happens this could follow the path of 94L/TS Dolly/Hurricane Dolly.

[abajan]

You know, it's hard to see anything developing out of this right now and I think it may soon be dropped as an invest. It looked so promising a couple days ago but now seems ready to "give up the ghost".

[HURAKAN]

Generating little convection but the circulation is still present. Not dead, just in hybernation!

[xironman]

double post

[xironman]

A little bit of convection, almost in full view on the floater http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/sloop-avn.html, and it has almost made it to 26 degree SST.

[HURAKAN]

Agree. I'm one of the first to always say, "it's not dead, until it's dead."

[Gustywind]

Tim Ballisty, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
5:10 a.m. ET 7/23/2008

A well-developed tropical low, that emerged from the African coast just east of the Cape Verde Islands, is also being monitored. The low has the potential for further development as it moves westward over the next couple of days.
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 230549
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

A LARGE AND WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR
EASTERN ATLANTIC JUST WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

[Gustywind]

AXNT20 KNHC 230619 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24W/26W SOUTH OF 23N...JUST WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...MOVING WEST 15 TO 20 KT. A 1010 MB
LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 14N ALONG THE WAVE. A MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 25W FROM 10N TO 23N. ISOLATED
MODERATE SHOWERS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 25W AND 28W.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 27W/28W SOUTH OF 23N MOVING WEST 15 TO
20 KT. A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 15N ALONG THE WAVE.
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 25W FROM 10N TO 23N.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN
15 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 17N26W 15N28W.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Over the years we have seen more than a few "waves in waiting" . So long as there is a surface feature (right now it's well defined) it could develop. Just as NHC stated it will continue to move westward. As far as track No devlopment, no re-curve. Just have to watch for a few days.