Ex Invest 99L in Western Atlantic

[gatorcane]

well convection came back overnight just as I forecasted last night. Still predicting it will be the next named storm

I'll be moving the next couple of days so I won't be logged in for several days. Looks like we are going to have two invests to pay closely attention to.

[HURAKAN]

AL, 99, 2008080212, , BEST, 0, 187N, 430W, 30, 1008

30 knots now.

This one may also go straight to TS if it develops.

[HURAKAN]

[Sanibel]

Feeling August now. You could see this hinting at reconvecting last night. Didn't surprise me to see it cloud up this morning. Does it have enough left to strengthen? Warm SST's helping it now.

[cycloneye]

I got my Gas Siphoner, Genny, Ramen, and most importantly I have my Spaaz loaded and locked.

I suspect you mean generator, but I always had plenty of Genny in the fridge when I was stationed in upstate New York in the Navy.



When I was stationed in Orlando, Florida 32813, as a poorly paid E-4, my friends and I drank a lot of Old Milwaukee. For low priced beer, Genny was a step up.

Lets stay on topic and leave the sidebar issues to the off topic forum.

[KWT]

Still looks like its getting sheared to some extent but its much more active in terms of convection and it does look like its getting closer to being a TD. I suspect that we will have a TD from this in the next 24hrs given the set-up it has, though there is still the uncertainty of shear and how much of an impact that will be.

[cycloneye]

02/1145 UTC 18.5N 42.6W T1.0/1.0 99L -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[HURAKAN]

It has been a few days since we don't see that from 98L, now 99L.

[Dean4Storms]

I'd bet from the looks of visible Sat. that we have a TD already. I've never seen a system with such a large LL rotation close enough for Recon that was not discovered to be at least a TD, looks classic right now to me.

[Emmett_Brown]

Interesting. I would bet there is a closed low there for sure, but I think the fast westward speed of the low is causing the absence of westerly winds.

[HURAKAN]

[Honeyko]

It's had a closed low for days; it hasn't been classified due to lack of convection.

[stevetampa33614]

It's had a closed low for days; it hasn't been classified due to lack of convection.

Ya Quicksat confirmed a closed low off of africa already. Just no Convection. its just a swirling mass of clouds.

[tolakram]

It's had a closed low for days; it hasn't been classified due to lack of convection.

Ya Quicksat confirmed a closed low off of africa already. Just no Convection. its just a swirling mass of clouds.

The latest QuikSCAT did not confirm a closed low.

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

Looks like its on its way to being a tropical depression to me, probably still another 12-24hrs away however IMO but you can't miss what the warmer waters have done.

[HURAKAN]

[Emmett_Brown]

QuikSCAT

Here is the quickscat I was referring to. Notice no westerly winds on the last pass. I think that debatable whether this is considered a wave or a closed low. There are probably isobars that can be closed off synoptically. Often in the past, we have seen developing lows be "uncoiled" by fast westward motion. Seems to be happening here.

Convection is increasing, but waves have convection too. I dont think we will see TD classification today.

On another note, a wave might make it further west faster than a closed low, so that could be interesting down the road of this waits a few days before developing.

[KWT]

Well we saw what you are talking about with pre-Dolly as well, it looked a dead certain to be a TD yet several times recon could only find a broad low with no tighter center.

[HURAKAN]