H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

[CrazyC83]

61 kt SFMR found that isn't suspect. 60 kt seems right for the moment.

[O Town]

The last dropsond has 993mb too.

Hmmm, wonder why mine says 991?

[Chacor]

Not buying the reading, since the readings before and after it are all suspect.

[Thunder44]

Not buying the reading, since the readings before and after it are all suspect.

I don't think it's hard to believe this storm is 5kts stronger, with the falling pressure, and increasing eyewall organization.

[Chacor]

Yeah, perhaps, but that individual reading I'm not reading too much into.

[HURAKAN]

I have to go. Please, someone take over the reports.

[Thunder44]

I have to go. Please, someone take over the reports.

I may post some this afternoon. Meanwhile I made a contest for this afternoon's flight. No more entrees after 12:30pm:

viewtopic.php?f=25&t=102071

[americanrebel]

Crazy are you going to do the maps, or is someone else going to help you with the maps?

[kurtpage]

Can somebody help me understand the difference between the USAF High-Density Observations and the NOAA High-Density Observations...

Thanks in advance...

[CrazyC83]

Crazy are you going to do the maps, or is someone else going to help you with the maps?

I don't do maps since I don't know how to run them.

[CrazyC83]

Currently sitting at 65 kt FL winds, which support a 60 kt intensity.

[Thunder44]

They are probably going to have to go in the SE Quad to find the strongest winds. They may not do that by the 2pm Advisory.

[KWT]

Yeah so far we've got the winds to support 60kts but not really above that yet.

[CrazyC83]

Recon found a closed eyewall, but no winds to support hurricane strength yet.

[O Town]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 22nd day of the month at 17:26Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 307)
Storm Number & Year: 04L in 2008
Storm Name: Dolly (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 16
Observation Number: 04
A. Time of Center Fix: 22nd day of the month at 17:06:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 24°14'N 94°47'W (24.23N 94.78W)
B. Center Fix Location: 206 miles (332 km) to the SE (125°) from Brownsville, TX, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,007m (9,865ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 58kts (~ 66.7mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the NE (36°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 111° at 66kts (From the ESE at ~ 76.0mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 37 nautical miles (43 statute miles) to the NE (37°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 990mb (29.23 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11°C (52°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,052m (10,013ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 13°C (55°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 7°C (45°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Possibly a circular with a diameter of 30 nautical miles (Vortex did not explicitly report an eye shape)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 4 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 66kts (~ 76.0mph) in the north quadrant at 16:55:40Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
UNABLE TO FIX SFC CENTER DUE TO UNDERCAST

[tolakram]

Can someone confirm if a hurricane hunter aircraft flew over the gulf shores area around 1:30PM EDT, heading east? It sure looked like one, handsome aircraft.

[RL3AO]

Can someone confirm if a hurricane hunter aircraft flew over the gulf shores area around 1:30PM EDT, heading east? It sure looked like one, handsome aircraft.

Nope. It took off from Biloxi at 11:05am EDT heading south.

[tolakram]

Ha, there's an air show near here today, I forgot. So perhaps it was one, or a similar plane just not on a mission today.

[KWT]

Recon found pressure of 988mbs on this pass but there was some winds s the extrap pressure may well actually be a little lower then that.

[Aric Dunn]

986mb