TC Bertha

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Squarethecircle
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#4321 Postby Squarethecircle » Sat Jul 19, 2008 10:12 am

CrazyC83 wrote:Why is Avila so shocked by Bertha at this point? Maintaining hurricane intensity at 42°N is not that uncommon.


It's not like it's a frequent occurrence, and most storms don't do it like Bertha (also most storms that do it haven't been around for weeks).
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#4322 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 10:21 am

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#4323 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 10:27 am

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#4324 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:52 pm

Looks like a threat to Iceland.

Image

Of course at that latitude the scales of the are thrown off, so its hard to tell.
Last edited by RL3AO on Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4325 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:53 pm

RL3AO wrote:Looks like a threat to Ireland.

Image


Iceland? =p And I concur.
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Re: Re:

#4326 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:54 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:Iceland? =p And I concur.


Why did I think that was Ireland?
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Re: Re:

#4327 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:55 pm

RL3AO wrote:
HarlequinBoy wrote:Iceland? =p And I concur.


Why did I think that was Ireland?


Haha well it's only a one letter difference.
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#4328 Postby cpdaman » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:13 pm

Chacor wrote:Definitely not, as there have been 70-kt hurricanes above 40N in July before.


in the atlantic....can you name some
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Re: Re:

#4329 Postby HurricaneRobert » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:24 pm

cpdaman wrote:in the atlantic....can you name some


Alex was 100 knots when it was around 40N.
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#4330 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:25 pm

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Re: Re:

#4331 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:27 pm

HurricaneRobert wrote:
cpdaman wrote:in the atlantic....can you name some


Alex was 100 knots when it was around 40N.


Alex formed on July 31st and reached 100 knots in August. One of the hurricanes in 1916 reached 40ºN as a 70-knot hurricane.
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Re:

#4332 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:31 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image



She looks like she's sleeping! :P
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Re:

#4333 Postby Ad Novoxium » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:30 pm

RL3AO wrote:Looks like a threat to Iceland.

Image

Of course at that latitude the scales of the are thrown off, so its hard to tell.


If Bertha makes landfall on Iceland while tropical, I'll hit myself with the keyboard to wake me up. Good thing it will likely never happen.
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#4334 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:05 pm

AL, 02, 2008071918, , BEST, 0, 437N, 443W, 65, 989, HU,

Still Hurricane Bertha.

Image
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Re: Re:

#4335 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:08 pm

Ad Novoxium wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Looks like a threat to Iceland.

Image

Of course at that latitude the scales of the are thrown off, so its hard to tell.


If Bertha makes landfall on Iceland while tropical, I'll hit myself with the keyboard to wake me up. Good thing it will likely never happen.


Lixion Avila's comments for such would likely be hilarious.

Can this make it to 50°N while still tropical?
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Re: Re:

#4336 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:08 pm

Ad Novoxium wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Looks like a threat to Iceland.

Image

Of course at that latitude the scales of the are thrown off, so its hard to tell.


If Bertha makes landfall on Iceland while tropical, I'll hit myself with the keyboard to wake me up. Good thing it will likely never happen.


Even as an extratropical storm, I suspect it'll bring dewpoints that Iceland never sees except in the immediate vicinity of the geothermal swimming holes.
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#4337 Postby bob rulz » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:17 pm

Isn't it supposed to be absorbed by an extratropical storm at the end of its forecast? I think the chances for a tropical hit on Iceland are pretty much nil.

But I guess stranger things have happened.

...or have they?
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#4338 Postby Buck » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:43 pm

...Bertha not yet giving in...hurricane headed quickly northeastward
over the North Atlantic...
At 500 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Bertha was located
near latitude 44.8 north...longitude 43.3 west or about 490 miles...
790 km...east-southeast of Cape Race Newfoundland.

Bertha is moving quickly toward the northeast near 25 mph...41
km/hr. A continued northeastward motion with a gradual increase in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days...until
Bertha is absorbed by a larger weather system.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Very slow weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days as Bertha loses tropical characteristics.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles...75 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230
miles...370 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb...29.21 inches.

Repeating the 500 PM AST position...44.8 N...43.3 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 25 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75 mph.
Minimum central pressure...989 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Knabb
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#4339 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:57 pm

Looks like Bertha is starting to weaken a little, the system is clearly tapping into the well above normal SST's in the region.
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#4340 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:09 pm

Looking at the latest Sat image (IR), the convection is gone on the Southern side and it is taking on "That" appearance...maybe one or two advisories left at most...Bye Bye Bertha, see you in 2014!
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